NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	76		Excitement	3.1 [1125]		MVP	Avery Johnson (SAS): +3.4%
San Antonio Spurs	96		Comeback	1.1 [954]		LVP	Mitch Richmond (SAC): -12.3%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Gamble	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	14	52%	0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Kevin Salvadori	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Hurley	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	5	50%	-0.03	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Duane Causwell	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.10	0.01	-0.06	10	37%	-0.01	2	-0.02	4	25%	-0.00
Corliss Williamson	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.00	-0.02	0.04	14	52%	-0.04	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Michael Smith	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.11	-0.01	-0.05	4	33%	-0.02	3	-0.05	4	50%	-0.02
Mahmoud Abdul-Rauf	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	-0.00	-0.01	12	31%	-0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Olden Polynice	-0.12	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.17	-0.00	-0.05	13	31%	-0.08	5	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Mitch Richmond	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.13	0.00	-0.01	11	35%	-0.06	3	-0.06	4	50%	-0.02

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Avery Johnson	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	9	59%	0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Sean Elliott	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.03	-0.01	13	59%	0.09	3	-0.06	6	83%	0.03
Vernon Maxwell	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	6	67%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Monty Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	-0.02	5	62%	0.02	1	-0.00	6	67%	0.00
Cory Alexander	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	3	60%	0.01	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Carl Herrera	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.06	-0.00	0.05	12	58%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devin Gray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	2	50%	0.00	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Sasser	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	3	67%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Will Perdue	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	5	62%	0.02	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.00
Greg Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	3	37%	-0.01	1	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Vinny Del Negro	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	0.01	0.02	9	50%	0.01	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.1	2.6	30.4	16.4	23.4	1.7	23.2	124.8
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +51.6%

SAS +7.4%

SAC -10.2%

SAS +1.1%

SAS +0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	SAS	NBA	SAC	SAS	NBA
this game	18.2	15.5	15.6	89.4	111.6	104.4
season	15.4	16.8		102.4	100.8
opponent	15.4	15.4		109.4	106.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	19.2	16.9	22.7	14.5	18.2
SAS	15.8	14.4	14.4	17.4	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Salvadori	15	16	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-24	28	14.5	18.9	-4.40	16.8	15.3	1.56
Bobby Hurley	35	36	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.07	-2	-18	16	16.1	19.6	-3.51	15.4	15.6	-0.18
Duane Causwell	47	49	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.01	-5	-15	10	16.4	20.4	-4.01	15.9	15.1	0.72
Corliss Williamson	59	60	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.08	-4	-16	12	17.8	18.9	-1.11	16.9	12.4	4.53
Mitch Richmond	35	34	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	0.09	-14	-6	-8	18.7	17.8	0.91	14.6	16.2	-1.63
Mahmoud Abdul-Rauf	51	51	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.14	-17	-3	-14	19.6	15.9	3.69	15.3	15.9	-0.57
Olden Polynice	49	50	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	0.22	-22	2	-24	20.0	15.7	4.31	15.5	15.6	-0.16
Michael Smith	61	60	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	0.17	-21	1	-22	19.4	15.1	4.28	15.0	16.8	-1.86
Kevin Gamble	73	74	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	0.09	-19	-1	-18	17.8	20.3	-2.54	15.1	18.2	-3.05

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Will Perdue	58	58	0.57	-0.07	0.63	-0.11	23	-3	26	15.3	16.1	-0.83	19.2	15.9	3.32
Sean Elliott	40	42	0.42	0.08	0.35	-0.10	18	2	16	15.4	15.7	-0.32	19.5	16.8	2.71
Avery Johnson	55	57	0.41	0.09	0.33	-0.20	21	-1	22	15.5	15.7	-0.20	19.2	16.0	3.26
Carl Herrera	62	61	0.34	0.16	0.19	-0.21	19	1	18	16.0	14.2	1.80	19.3	15.1	4.22
Vernon Maxwell	47	45	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.22	1	19	-18	16.3	14.6	1.66	17.8	18.5	-0.70
Vinny Del Negro	41	42	0.21	0.29	-0.09	-0.29	17	3	14	14.2	16.8	-2.54	18.5	17.9	0.59
Monty Williams	30	29	0.12	0.38	-0.26	-0.23	12	8	4	16.0	15.3	0.75	18.3	18.1	0.29
Greg Anderson	42	42	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.05	5	15	-10	15.4	15.7	-0.37	16.6	19.7	-3.08
Cory Alexander	31	28	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.12	-1	21	-22	15.7	15.5	0.20	16.0	19.2	-3.26
Devin Gray	10	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.21	-7	27	-34	14.8	15.6	-0.84	10.6	19.1	-8.50
Jason Sasser	14	12	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.23	-8	28	-36	16.4	15.4	0.97	13.1	19.0	-5.90

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.66,0.65,0.7,0.62,0.66,0.71,0.76,0.77,0.79,0.82,0.81,0.76,0.82,0.78,0.77,0.82,0.92,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 80, MEM 109	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.57,0.57,0.65,0.64,0.63,0.64,0.6,0.66,0.69,0.75,0.78,0.83,0.83,0.79,0.77,0.82,0.75,0.81,0.8,0.85,0.87,0.93,0.95,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.2%
GSW 81, SAS 104	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.64,0.68,0.66,0.71,0.73,0.71,0.76,0.72,0.77,0.78,0.79,0.77,0.75,0.78,0.79,0.86,0.91,0.89,0.94,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.0%
POR 63, NOH 99	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.59,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.62,0.69,0.71,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.79,0.78,0.78,0.83,0.86,0.82,0.79,0.86,0.85,0.87,0.93,0.95,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.9%