NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	63		Excitement	2.9 [1219]		MVP	JJ Hickson (POR): +4.9%
New Orleans Hornets	99		Comeback	1.1 [1038]		LVP	LaMarcus Aldridge (POR): -13.1%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
JJ Hickson	0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.00	0.01	5	83%	0.06	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Victor Claver	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.00	0.00	-0.03	10	55%	0.05	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Matthews	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Babbitt	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Meyers Leonard	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	0.00	0.03	3	60%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	100%	0.00
Joel Freeland	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.00	5	60%	0.00	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Will Barton	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.09	-0.01	-0.05	12	36%	-0.02	3	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Ronnie Price	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Nicolas Batum	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	-0.01	0.00	10	15%	-0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damian Lillard	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.01	0.00	15	35%	-0.06	3	-0.06	4	100%	0.00
LaMarcus Aldridge	-0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.14	-0.00	-0.02	11	25%	-0.08	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.01

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Austin Rivers	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	6	57%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Darius Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	4	37%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	11	54%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Al-Farouq Aminu	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	9	56%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Greivis Vasquez	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	8	50%	0.04	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
Lance Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0	50%	0.00	0	0.00	4	50%	0.00
Xavier Henry	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Davis	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.04	0.00	0.05	17	58%	0.03	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Brian Roberts	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.03	0.00	0.06	5	58%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Ryan Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.03	0.00	0.06	14	50%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robin Lopez	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	6	36%	-0.03	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Roger Mason Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	0.05	7	43%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	2.3	24.6	15.5	25.3	1.7	25.4	118.1
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOH +25.0%

POR -0.8%

NOH +10.3%

NOH +15.0%

NOH +0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	NOH	NBA	POR	NOH	NBA
this game	17.0	15.9	15.4	72.4	112.5	104.1
season	15.8	16.3		104.3	103.9
opponent	15.6	15.3		108.1	107.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	17.6	17.1	16.0	17.3	17.0
NOH	15.1	15.0	16.7	17.0	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Wesley Matthews	3	3	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.01	0	-36	36	19.0	16.9	2.06	18.0	15.8	2.16
Ronnie Price	22	24	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	0.34	-14	-22	8	16.8	17.1	-0.32	15.5	16.1	-0.56
Joel Freeland	31	32	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.38	-17	-19	2	16.5	17.3	-0.77	16.7	15.5	1.22
Meyers Leonard	31	33	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	0.43	-19	-17	-2	16.8	17.1	-0.37	16.0	15.9	0.10
Luke Babbitt	21	21	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.13	-9	-27	18	14.3	17.9	-3.59	17.3	15.5	1.81
Will Barton	47	48	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.56	-27	-9	-18	16.2	18.0	-1.78	16.1	15.7	0.38
JJ Hickson	40	39	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	0.04	-10	-26	16	17.8	16.3	1.46	15.6	16.2	-0.62
Nicolas Batum	59	58	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	0.14	-17	-19	2	17.0	17.1	-0.09	15.6	16.5	-0.85
Victor Claver	63	64	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.43	-27	-9	-18	17.8	14.9	2.95	15.4	17.4	-2.02
LaMarcus Aldridge	53	54	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	0.11	-18	-18	0	17.6	16.1	1.52	15.8	16.1	-0.24
Damian Lillard	65	64	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	0.22	-22	-14	-8	17.1	16.8	0.32	16.1	15.5	0.56

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Greivis Vasquez	48	48	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.14	17	19	-2	15.4	16.5	-1.04	17.9	15.9	1.93
Al-Farouq Aminu	52	52	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.10	15	21	-6	15.7	16.1	-0.39	17.2	16.7	0.55
Anthony Davis	48	49	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.40	24	12	12	15.9	15.9	0.02	18.6	15.0	3.57
Austin Rivers	51	49	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.05	8	28	-20	16.1	15.7	0.40	17.4	16.5	0.95
Ryan Anderson	46	46	0.27	0.23	0.04	-0.55	28	8	20	15.6	16.2	-0.63	16.6	17.5	-0.90
Robin Lopez	38	37	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.01	7	29	-22	16.2	15.7	0.48	17.5	16.6	0.87
Jason Smith	33	32	0.21	0.29	-0.09	-0.23	15	21	-6	15.7	16.0	-0.34	16.0	17.6	-1.60
Roger Mason Jr.	37	38	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.62	28	8	20	15.7	16.1	-0.40	16.5	17.4	-0.95
Darius Miller	36	35	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.44	21	15	6	16.1	15.7	0.39	16.7	17.2	-0.55
Brian Roberts	40	39	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.42	19	17	2	16.5	15.4	1.04	15.9	17.9	-1.93
Lance Thomas	7	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	37	-38	17.4	15.8	1.65	14.5	17.2	-2.70
Xavier Henry	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	37	-38	15.7	15.9	-0.17	10.0	17.3	-7.35

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.59,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.62,0.69,0.71,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.79,0.78,0.78,0.83,0.86,0.82,0.79,0.86,0.85,0.87,0.93,0.95,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 93, ORL 103	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.59,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.66,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.75,0.78,0.76,0.75,0.76,0.76,0.81,0.84,0.84,0.81,0.86,0.87,0.83,0.86,0.91,0.88,0.9,0.92,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,0.98,1,1,1,1	97.2%
NOH 72, SEA 97	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.59,0.63,0.58,0.54,0.6,0.66,0.75,0.73,0.76,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.84,0.87,0.84,0.86,0.88,0.82,0.85,0.89,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.1%
CLE 78, DET 90	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.71,0.75,0.8,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.86,0.87,0.85,0.8,0.81,0.86,0.9,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.9,0.92,0.91,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.1%