NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Hornets	72		Excitement	3.0 [1210]		MVP	Ray Allen (SEA): +10.6%
Seattle SuperSonics	97		Comeback	1.2 [1163]		LVP	J.R. Smith (NOH): -13.0%

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Maciej Lampe	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.01	0.02	5	60%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Casey Jacobsen	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	5	60%	0.03	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bostjan Nachbar	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.03	11	50%	0.04	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lee Nailon	-0.00	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	7	75%	0.07	4	-0.07	6	83%	0.01
David West	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	9	42%	-0.03	1	-0.00	1	100%	0.00
P.J. Brown	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	0.00	0.01	5	50%	-0.02	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Dan Dickau	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.08	0.00	-0.04	10	36%	-0.03	2	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Jackson Vroman	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	0.00	0.01	3	50%	-0.01	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
J.R. Smith	-0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.18	-0.00	-0.05	15	21%	-0.11	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ray Allen	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.21	0.00	0.10	19	76%	0.12	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Antonio Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	5	81%	0.04	2	-0.00	6	100%	0.02
Danny Fortson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	3	62%	0.02	2	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Ronald Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	0.01	0.04	9	56%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Evans	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nick Collison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	57%	0.01	1	-0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Mateen Cleaves	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damien Wilkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	5	42%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Luke Ridnour	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	-0.00	-0.03	9	48%	0.03	3	-0.06	3	100%	0.01
Jerome James	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	6	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rashard Lewis	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.15	0.00	-0.06	12	21%	-0.09	1	0.00	4	75%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.0	0.8	28.1	15.8	27.0	1.8	23.3	124.7
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +16.8%

SEA +3.1%

SEA +16.7%

SEA +11.9%

SEA +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOH	SEA	NBA	NOH	SEA	NBA
this game	17.0	16.2	15.5	83.7	110.2	104.0
season	16.5	16.5		97.7	109.5
opponent	15.6	15.7		107.9	105.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOH	15.4	17.8	17.1	17.6	17.0
SEA	15.2	13.5	20.8	16.0	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Maciej Lampe	35	36	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	0.25	-14	-11	-3	17.5	16.6	0.90	15.6	16.5	-0.93
David West	39	40	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	0.26	-15	-10	-5	17.4	16.6	0.79	15.5	16.7	-1.21
Casey Jacobsen	42	42	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	0.25	-16	-9	-7	18.0	15.9	2.09	15.9	16.4	-0.44
Dan Dickau	65	67	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.09	-11	-14	3	16.4	18.5	-2.08	16.0	16.7	-0.67
Lee Nailon	50	52	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.03	-9	-16	7	16.2	18.0	-1.85	16.4	15.8	0.60
Bostjan Nachbar	36	36	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.21	-16	-9	-7	18.0	16.2	1.85	15.8	16.4	-0.60
Jackson Vroman	47	48	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.02	-10	-15	5	16.6	17.4	-0.79	16.7	15.5	1.21
P.J. Brown	51	52	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.01	-11	-14	3	16.6	17.5	-0.90	16.5	15.6	0.93
J.R. Smith	65	67	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	0.12	-23	-2	-21	16.8	17.5	-0.75	16.5	15.2	1.27

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rashard Lewis	61	61	0.54	-0.04	0.58	-0.43	33	-8	41	16.0	16.4	-0.36	17.5	15.6	1.96
Nick Collison	50	47	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.18	17	8	9	14.7	18.1	-3.47	17.1	16.7	0.43
Ronald Murray	48	46	0.31	0.19	0.13	-0.24	19	6	13	14.6	18.0	-3.47	17.7	16.1	1.50
Ray Allen	69	68	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.33	21	4	17	16.4	15.4	1.01	17.2	16.1	1.14
Antonio Daniels	40	40	0.26	0.24	0.03	-0.38	22	3	19	15.8	16.4	-0.57	19.4	14.8	4.53
Reggie Evans	35	35	0.25	0.25	-0.01	-0.08	11	14	-3	18.4	14.7	3.72	15.8	17.8	-1.99
Luke Ridnour	48	46	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.15	3	22	-19	16.4	15.8	0.57	14.8	19.4	-4.53
Danny Fortson	29	29	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.03	5	20	-15	15.3	16.6	-1.21	18.8	16.0	2.83
Jerome James	30	30	0.12	0.38	-0.26	-0.03	5	20	-15	18.7	14.8	3.86	15.7	17.6	-1.98
Mateen Cleaves	6	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	29	-33	15.2	16.2	-1.07	10.6	17.3	-6.75
Damien Wilkins	24	23	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.20	-7	32	-39	16.9	15.9	0.98	15.4	17.5	-2.07

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.59,0.63,0.58,0.54,0.6,0.66,0.75,0.73,0.76,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.84,0.87,0.84,0.86,0.88,0.82,0.85,0.89,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 63, NOH 99	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.59,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.62,0.69,0.71,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.79,0.78,0.78,0.83,0.86,0.82,0.79,0.86,0.85,0.87,0.93,0.95,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.1%
CLE 83, PHI 106	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.62,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.65,0.68,0.65,0.63,0.64,0.69,0.69,0.73,0.76,0.79,0.82,0.86,0.85,0.83,0.9,0.88,0.82,0.82,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.9%
CHI 80, CLE 101	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.62,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.73,0.75,0.78,0.76,0.78,0.82,0.79,0.8,0.84,0.86,0.84,0.9,0.87,0.96,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.8%