NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	110		Excitement	4.6 [906]		MVP	Charlie Bell (MIL): +25.2%
Milwaukee Bucks	132		Comeback	2.2 [800]		LVP	Tim Thomas (PHX): -10.2%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eddie House	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.17	0.02	0.01	10	86%	0.19	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Steve Nash	0.18	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.14	0.02	-0.02	10	105%	0.27	5	-0.09	2	100%	0.02
Raja Bell	0.09	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	-0.01	0.07	-0.03	12	46%	0.09	1	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
James Jones	0.07	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.00	0.01	8	75%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Marion	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	13	48%	0.03	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Leandro Barbosa	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	-0.01	-0.05	8	50%	0.07	3	-0.07	4	100%	0.02
Brian Grant	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pat Burke	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nikoloz Tskitishvili	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	67%	0.00	0	0.00	1	0%	0.00
Boris Diaw	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.02	-0.01	10	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Tim Thomas	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.00	0.03	12	40%	-0.04	3	-0.07	1	0%	-0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Charlie Bell	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.12	0.08	-0.05	12	79%	0.27	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Michael Redd	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.19	0.06	0.02	15	76%	0.25	1	-0.03	7	57%	-0.01
Toni Kukoc	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.14	0.04	-0.02	10	81%	0.23	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Mo Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	-0.00	-0.04	11	65%	0.11	3	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Dan Gadzuric	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.11	-0.00	0.05	10	77%	0.08	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Andrew Bogut	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	9	70%	0.11	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Ervin Johnson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jiri Welsch	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jermaine Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Magloire	0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	3	62%	0.03	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Joe Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Simmons	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	0.04	13	58%	0.02	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.5	2.4	26.6	16.7	27.2	2.4	25.7	122.3
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +50.6%

PHX -8.8%

MIL +11.9%

PHX -6.4%

MIL +2.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	MIL	NBA	PHX	MIL	NBA
this game	12.7	16.4	15.6	111.1	133.3	104.4
season	13.8	15.5		110.2	104.6
opponent	15.5	16.1		106.0	105.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	13.8	11.5	13.2	12.3	12.7
MIL	14.4	18.0	16.2	17.0	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
James Jones	50	50	0.21	-0.71	0.92	0.00	7	-29	36	13.4	12.1	1.30	17.0	15.7	1.27
Pat Burke	5	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-24	26	11.0	12.8	-1.83	19.0	16.2	2.79
Nikoloz Tskitishvili	5	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-24	26	11.0	12.8	-1.83	19.0	16.2	2.79
Boris Diaw	82	82	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	0.19	-9	-13	4	12.9	12.1	0.75	16.2	17.1	-0.85
Eddie House	35	35	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.03	-6	-16	10	13.0	12.6	0.36	14.9	17.2	-2.31
Tim Thomas	36	37	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.21	-13	-9	-4	12.7	12.7	0.02	14.9	17.2	-2.33
Shawn Marion	72	70	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.09	-12	-10	-2	12.7	12.8	-0.11	16.3	16.6	-0.28
Steve Nash	66	65	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.12	-16	-6	-10	12.7	12.7	0.02	16.9	15.3	1.61
Raja Bell	75	76	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	0.17	-24	2	-26	12.8	12.5	0.31	16.7	15.3	1.42
Brian Grant	16	16	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	-0.02	-18	-4	-14	13.1	12.7	0.39	17.7	16.1	1.59
Leandro Barbosa	53	54	-0.63	0.13	-0.77	0.04	-23	1	-24	11.9	13.7	-1.75	16.1	16.7	-0.66

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Redd	89	89	0.62	-0.12	0.75	-0.20	28	-6	34	16.0	19.7	-3.72	12.8	12.5	0.26
Jamaal Magloire	39	40	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.02	16	6	10	16.1	16.5	-0.50	14.1	11.8	2.33
Charlie Bell	70	71	0.42	0.08	0.35	-0.10	18	4	14	16.6	15.8	0.84	13.0	12.1	0.88
Andrew Bogut	63	64	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.03	12	10	2	16.0	16.9	-0.88	13.0	12.3	0.65
Bobby Simmons	72	72	0.33	0.17	0.15	-0.05	13	9	4	16.6	15.8	0.74	12.7	12.9	-0.26
Toni Kukoc	55	55	0.18	0.32	-0.14	-0.11	10	12	-2	16.3	16.5	-0.18	12.8	12.7	0.06
Dan Gadzuric	32	32	0.12	0.38	-0.26	-0.23	12	10	2	16.8	16.1	0.68	12.8	12.7	0.06
Mo Williams	54	54	0.07	0.43	-0.35	-0.25	11	11	0	16.1	16.6	-0.45	12.1	13.5	-1.34
Ervin Johnson	4	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	24	-26	17.7	16.3	1.46	7.3	12.9	-5.57
Jiri Welsch	4	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	24	-26	17.7	16.3	1.46	7.3	12.9	-5.57
Jermaine Jackson	4	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	24	-26	17.7	16.3	1.46	7.3	12.9	-5.57
Joe Smith	9	9	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	0.00	-4	26	-30	18.3	16.2	2.18	12.0	12.8	-0.81

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.49,0.42,0.41,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.63,0.53,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.58,0.62,0.72,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 94, UTA 113	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.37,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.7,0.61,0.61,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.27,0.37,0.42,0.33,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.55,0.61,0.8,0.86,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.3%
NJN 65, MIA 90	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.56,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.49,0.41,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.58,0.74,0.81,0.82,0.86,0.89,0.96,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.2%
NJN 100, NYK 111	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.53,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.27,0.46,0.42,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.82,0.86,0.89,0.96,0.95,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.94,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1	94.2%