inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Dallas Mavericks 94 Excitement5.4 [722] MVPMarvin Williams (UTA): +10.7%
Utah Jazz 113 Comeback2.7 [759] LVPShawn Marion (DAL): -13.6%


Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Brandan Wright0.100,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.020.02883%0.131-0.02250%-0.02
O.J. Mayo0.040,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04-0.010.02-0.03955%0.082-0.04475%-0.00
Rodrigue Beaubois0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.05-0.000.00573%0.071-0.031100%0.00
Darren Collison0.040,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.07-0.020.011263%0.081-0.043100%0.00
Jae Crowder0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.040.01-0.061133%0.0200.0020%-0.01
Bernard James0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.000.01-0.01550%0.0110.006100%0.02
Dominique Jones0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jared Cunningham-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.070.00-0.0630%-0.001-0.0000%0.00
Eddy Curry-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.04-0.00-0.02150%-0.0220.0020%-0.03
Vince Carter-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.01-0.011243%0.011-0.044100%0.01
Dahntay Jones-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.01-0.01425%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Elton Brand-0.120,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.10-0.04-0.02828%-0.082-0.05250%-0.00
Shawn Marion-0.140,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.10-0.04-0.01736%-0.034-0.1100%0.00

Utah Jazz
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Marvin Williams0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.110.010.011368%0.141-0.035100%0.02
Mo Williams0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.04,0.03,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.040.03-0.031657%0.132-0.035100%0.02
Paul Millsap0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.010.020.001246%0.0300.00475%-0.00
Derrick Favors0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.03-0.040.00-0.06260%0.043-0.01667%-0.01
DeMarre Carroll0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.02-0.00-0.04536%0.0100.00475%0.01
Randy Foye0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.05-0.000.04962%0.031-0.023100%0.01
Gordon Hayward0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.010.000.001044%0.0100.00560%-0.01
Alec Burks0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0200%0.0000.0020%0.00
Jeremy Evans0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.000.00050%0.0000.00250%0.00
Kevin Murphy0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.02250%0.0010.0000%0.00
Enes Kanter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.08-0.00-0.07550%0.054-0.0620%-0.01
Jamaal Tinsley0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.05-0.01-0.00425%-0.031-0.0200%0.00
Al Jefferson0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.01-0.010.031146%-0.041-0.024100%0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.31.732.815.730.52.335.3141.6
league avg24.82.329.514.026.82.333.1134.3
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DAL -1.6%
UTA +13.9%
UTA +24.6%
UTA +13.2%
DAL -0.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDALUTANBADALUTANBA
this game14.713.715.494.0109.7104.1
season14.516.0104.3104.6
opponent15.115.6105.0105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DAL14.715.616.612.314.7
UTA14.713.811.814.313.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Eddy Curry19200.01-0.510.510.010-191911.115.6-4.4913.013.8-0.75
Jared Cunningham1415-0.01-0.490.480.11-4-151111.015.3-4.3513.413.7-0.29
Dominique Jones22-0.01-0.490.48-0.010-191911.514.8-3.3110.513.7-3.21
Brandan Wright5150-0.03-0.470.43-0.061-202116.413.03.4114.612.71.88
Elton Brand5251-0.10-0.400.31-0.04-2-171515.514.01.5015.212.23.02
O.J. Mayo6161-0.12-0.380.26-0.09-1-181716.012.83.1514.612.22.43
Jae Crowder4650-0.16-0.340.180.13-10-9-113.715.6-1.9712.814.5-1.65
Shawn Marion5961-0.18-0.320.14-0.211-202115.513.71.7914.512.42.14
Vince Carter4346-0.20-0.300.110.07-9-10113.815.5-1.6713.014.2-1.25
Darren Collison6465-0.23-0.270.03-0.15-3-161316.012.63.3714.612.02.66
Rodrigue Beaubois3638-0.27-0.23-0.030.20-16-3-1312.616.0-3.3712.014.6-2.66
Dahntay Jones1717-0.540.04-0.590.19-256-3116.014.51.529.714.4-4.72
Bernard James3639-0.650.15-0.800.14-278-3513.515.4-1.9411.714.8-3.15

Utah Jazz
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Mo Williams63620.55-0.050.600.021811713.913.20.7015.114.11.02
Randy Foye50470.450.050.40-0.111901913.014.3-1.3413.815.5-1.72
Paul Millsap67660.350.150.21-0.171811713.913.10.7916.012.43.57
Derrick Favors41380.330.170.170.01118312.914.1-1.2014.115.1-0.98
DeMarre Carroll35340.300.200.09-0.03118313.313.9-0.6014.914.60.30
Marvin Williams62600.200.30-0.09-0.06910-114.013.10.9215.214.01.28
Al Jefferson58570.170.33-0.17-0.07811-314.412.71.7515.713.52.20
Enes Kanter34330.140.36-0.210.09217-1512.914.0-1.0612.515.8-3.32
Gordon Hayward47470.050.45-0.400.02118-1714.612.91.7016.413.23.22
Alec Burks660.000.50-0.500.03-120-2112.213.7-1.588.515.1-6.64
Jeremy Evans660.000.50-0.500.03-120-2112.213.7-1.588.515.1-6.64
Kevin Murphy660.000.50-0.500.03-120-2112.213.7-1.588.515.1-6.64
Jamaal Tinsley4038-0.050.55-0.60-0.08118-1713.213.9-0.7014.115.1-1.02


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.37,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.7,0.61,0.61,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.27,0.37,0.42,0.33,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.55,0.61,0.8,0.86,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
PHX 110, MIL 1320.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.49,0.42,0.41,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.63,0.53,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.58,0.62,0.72,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,194.3%
UTA 87, LAC 1020.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.41,0.4,0.43,0.41,0.41,0.43,0.37,0.4,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.55,0.65,0.73,0.84,0.89,0.9,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.97,1,1,1,1,193.3%
MIN 90, UTA 1030.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.54,0.66,0.69,0.56,0.67,0.64,0.5,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.59,0.66,0.83,0.93,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.91,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,193.0%