NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	90		Excitement	4.6 [909]		MVP	Rodney Hood (UTA): +11.2%
Utah Jazz	103		Comeback	1.6 [953]		LVP	Nemanja Bjelica (MIN): -13.2%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zach LaVine	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.09	0.02	-0.00	12	73%	0.15	3	-0.04	2	50%	0.00
Karl-Anthony Towns	0.07	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.17	0.02	0.11	17	82%	0.21	5	-0.14	5	100%	0.02
Gorgui Dieng	0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.10	-0.00	0.03	12	61%	0.07	0	0.00	9	67%	-0.02
Shabazz Muhammad	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	10	46%	0.02	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Nikola Pekovic	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Rubio	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.09	-0.00	-0.05	6	19%	-0.05	1	-0.00	4	75%	0.00
Tayshaun Prince	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Wiggins	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.10	-0.03	-0.01	11	21%	-0.13	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Nemanja Bjelica	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.09	-0.04	-0.00	3	0%	-0.07	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rodney Hood	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.07	0.03	-0.01	16	61%	0.15	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Derrick Favors	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.07	0.02	-0.02	16	57%	0.14	1	-0.03	3	67%	0.00
Trey Burke	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.03	0.01	11	55%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gobert	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	-0.00	-0.03	8	70%	0.09	2	-0.02	4	50%	-0.03
Raul Neto	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	-0.00	-0.02	5	75%	0.06	1	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Joe Ingles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.01	2	75%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Booker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	-0.01	7	79%	0.11	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Withey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trey Lyles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Gordon Hayward	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	0.05	9	57%	-0.00	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.0	2.5	32.7	15.0	26.1	2.4	30.3	133.0
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +53.9%

MIN -7.2%

MIN -1.1%

UTA +4.9%

MIN -0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	UTA	NBA	MIN	UTA	NBA
this game	15.9	16.8	14.9	103.4	115.7	105.1
season	14.8	16.3		104.8	104.6
opponent	15.0	15.0		102.8	108.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	17.6	13.9	17.0	15.4	15.9
UTA	16.7	16.7	15.1	18.9	16.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ricky Rubio	56	57	0.12	-0.62	0.75	-0.02	5	-18	23	14.8	18.0	-3.26	16.8	16.8	-0.09
Karl-Anthony Towns	66	66	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.08	0	-13	13	15.6	16.9	-1.28	17.1	15.9	1.24
Andrew Wiggins	66	67	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.11	0	-13	13	15.3	17.9	-2.60	16.8	16.6	0.20
Gorgui Dieng	72	73	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.15	0	-13	13	15.8	16.4	-0.57	17.2	15.1	2.10
Tayshaun Prince	47	47	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.09	-8	-5	-3	17.1	14.6	2.46	15.3	18.4	-3.06
Nemanja Bjelica	18	20	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.00	-13	0	-13	16.0	15.9	0.09	15.4	17.2	-1.72
Nikola Pekovic	18	19	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.01	-13	0	-13	17.4	15.6	1.84	15.6	17.1	-1.47
Zach LaVine	55	58	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.09	-14	1	-15	15.7	16.3	-0.60	17.4	15.6	1.75
Shabazz Muhammad	37	38	-0.69	0.19	-0.87	-0.04	-22	9	-31	17.7	14.6	3.08	17.6	16.2	1.43

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derrick Favors	64	63	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.15	13	0	13	17.1	16.0	1.04	15.6	16.8	-1.19
Trevor Booker	44	41	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.11	19	-6	25	15.7	17.8	-2.14	16.5	15.4	1.15
Trey Burke	34	33	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.11	10	3	7	17.2	16.5	0.68	15.6	16.1	-0.52
Rodney Hood	68	66	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.02	14	-1	15	16.7	17.1	-0.40	16.1	15.3	0.79
Chris Johnson	23	21	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.20	5	8	-3	16.3	17.0	-0.65	17.8	15.3	2.41
Joe Ingles	30	27	0.18	0.32	-0.13	-0.17	12	1	11	17.5	16.4	1.13	14.8	16.4	-1.62
Rudy Gobert	54	56	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.17	-1	14	-15	17.6	15.6	1.96	16.9	14.1	2.85
Gordon Hayward	64	66	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.15	-1	14	-15	17.0	16.2	0.82	15.8	16.2	-0.40
Raul Neto	48	48	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.09	-1	14	-15	16.1	17.6	-1.53	15.9	16.0	-0.17
Jeff Withey	6	5	0.04	0.46	-0.41	-0.01	2	11	-9	17.2	16.8	0.41	15.8	15.9	-0.14
Trey Lyles	10	9	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	0.05	-7	20	-27	15.3	17.0	-1.67	9.2	16.7	-7.48

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.54,0.66,0.69,0.56,0.67,0.64,0.5,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.59,0.66,0.83,0.93,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.91,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 85, ORL 93	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.66,0.66,0.61,0.56,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.55,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.59,0.74,0.9,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,0.98,1,1	94.8%
GSW 79, WAS 97	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.55,0.6,0.51,0.59,0.56,0.52,0.58,0.64,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.57,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.42,0.52,0.56,0.69,0.67,0.85,0.87,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.0%
GSW 100, MIA 115	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.43,0.41,0.37,0.45,0.47,0.39,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.66,0.64,0.69,0.73,0.59,0.5,0.45,0.43,0.48,0.48,0.58,0.55,0.68,0.73,0.79,0.88,0.89,0.9,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1	93.9%