NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	85		Excitement	4.9 [503]		MVP	Matt Harpring (ORL): +3.4%
Orlando Magic	93		Comeback	1.4 [426]		LVP	Charlie Ward (NYK): -19.9%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Larry Johnson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	9	56%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	4	70%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Marcus Camby	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Scott	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Childs	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	5	36%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Chris Dudley	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.02	2	83%	0.02	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Latrell Sprewell	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05	-0.00	0.00	0.05	16	59%	-0.01	3	-0.04	9	67%	-0.04
Allan Houston	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.15	-0.04	-0.01	18	30%	-0.15	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.03
Patrick Ewing	-0.18	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.06	-0.04	0.08	13	55%	-0.08	4	-0.10	5	60%	-0.01
Charlie Ward	-0.20	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.10	-0.06	0.04	5	60%	-0.02	6	-0.17	0	0%	0.00

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Matt Harpring	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	3	71%	0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Darrell Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	-0.01	-0.04	5	83%	0.07	4	-0.04	8	100%	0.02
Horace Grant	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	14	50%	0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Doug Overton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Doleac	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Nick Anderson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	18	47%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Dan Schayes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	2	62%	-0.01	1	-0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Derek Strong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	7	29%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ike Austin	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	13	48%	-0.03	1	-0.04	3	67%	-0.01
Bo Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.17	-0.02	-0.06	6	17%	-0.11	2	-0.02	6	17%	-0.05
Anfernee Hardaway	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.14	-0.03	-0.01	14	36%	-0.08	3	-0.08	5	80%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.6	2.0	29.2	16.8	30.5	1.0	37.0	141.1
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +1.1%

ORL +13.8%

ORL +11.2%

ORL +17.2%

ORL +6.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	ORL	NBA	NYK	ORL	NBA
this game	14.6	15.7	15.8	89.5	97.9	99.6
season	16.0	16.1		97.0	98.0
opponent	15.6	16.6		95.7	95.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	14.8	13.2	17.2	13.5	14.6
ORL	14.6	16.3	15.5	16.5	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marcus Camby	1	0	0.06	-0.56	0.62	0.06	0	-8	8	2.0	14.7	-12.73	0.0	15.7	-15.72
Larry Johnson	67	66	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.42	13	-21	34	14.1	15.7	-1.53	15.7	15.8	-0.11
Dennis Scott	12	15	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.01	-2	-6	4	16.8	14.3	2.56	14.7	15.9	-1.17
Patrick Ewing	76	75	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.27	7	-15	22	14.5	14.9	-0.37	16.2	13.9	2.30
Kurt Thomas	40	38	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.06	-11	3	-14	13.9	15.1	-1.17	14.0	16.9	-2.86
Charlie Ward	67	67	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.44	6	-14	20	13.5	17.2	-3.66	15.6	16.0	-0.40
Allan Houston	81	79	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.24	-5	-3	-2	14.6	14.7	-0.13	16.7	10.7	5.97
Latrell Sprewell	70	72	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.09	-11	3	-14	15.3	12.8	2.50	15.0	18.0	-2.96
Chris Dudley	21	23	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	0.01	-17	9	-26	14.3	14.7	-0.40	15.2	15.9	-0.66
Chris Childs	40	40	-0.61	0.11	-0.71	-0.02	-20	12	-32	16.7	13.1	3.58	16.6	15.0	1.61

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nick Anderson	74	74	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.35	6	2	4	16.3	13.6	2.69	14.8	14.0	0.77
Darrell Armstrong	59	57	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.09	14	-6	20	15.3	16.3	-0.99	14.4	14.9	-0.45
Horace Grant	60	61	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.32	5	3	2	14.9	17.1	-2.17	15.1	13.8	1.30
Matt Harpring	22	21	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.11	12	-4	16	14.9	16.0	-1.05	15.1	14.4	0.70
Dan Schayes	18	16	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.00	15	-7	22	18.0	15.2	2.82	19.2	13.7	5.52
Ike Austin	47	48	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.06	2	6	-4	16.4	15.1	1.32	15.2	14.0	1.23
Anfernee Hardaway	82	82	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.21	-4	12	-16	15.3	18.5	-3.18	14.4	15.7	-1.27
Derek Strong	29	29	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.07	3	5	-2	15.2	16.0	-0.78	13.0	15.3	-2.25
Doug Overton	2	3	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	11	-14	16.5	15.7	0.80	15.3	14.6	0.76
Bo Outlaw	66	68	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.25	-10	18	-28	16.5	13.9	2.62	13.8	16.6	-2.78
Michael Doleac	16	16	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	-0.06	0	8	-8	13.7	16.1	-2.36	12.5	15.0	-2.53

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.66,0.66,0.61,0.56,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.55,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.59,0.74,0.9,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,0.98,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 90, UTA 103	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.54,0.66,0.69,0.56,0.67,0.64,0.5,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.59,0.66,0.83,0.93,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.91,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.8%
GSW 79, WAS 97	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.55,0.6,0.51,0.59,0.56,0.52,0.58,0.64,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.57,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.42,0.52,0.56,0.69,0.67,0.85,0.87,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.6%
CLE 89, MIL 107	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.42,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.56,0.51,0.5,0.62,0.63,0.51,0.46,0.58,0.56,0.55,0.62,0.64,0.67,0.75,0.9,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.4%