inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Cleveland Cavaliers 89 Excitement4.8 [844] MVPMichael Redd (MIL): +16.4%
Milwaukee Bucks 107 Comeback1.5 [936] LVPLeBron James (CLE): -10.7%


Cleveland Cavaliers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Carlos Boozer0.100,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.040.03-0.041572%0.215-0.10667%-0.01
Kedrick Brown0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.080.02-0.00872%0.1000.00250%-0.01
Tony Battie0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.03-0.00-0.03540%0.0010.0000%0.00
Jason Kapono0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.040.00-0.0410%0.0010.0000%0.00
DeSagana Diop0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0200%0.0010.0000%0.00
Kevin Ollie0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.030.000.031100%0.0000.002100%0.00
Dajuan Wagner-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.050.00-0.0520%-0.001-0.0000%0.00
Mateen Cleaves-0.020,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.01-0.000.01850%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Lee Nailon-0.030,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.02-0.001145%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Ira Newble-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.00-0.0010%-0.021-0.0300%0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.06-0.03-0.00536%-0.022-0.0710%-0.01
LeBron James-0.110,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.08-0.04-0.011950%0.025-0.132100%0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Michael Redd0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.11,0.09,0.12,0.19,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.160.060.09-0.021857%0.181-0.024100%0.02
Dan Gadzuric0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.030.00-0.03757%0.0700.0000%0.00
Joe Smith0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.050.01-0.001065%0.071-0.013100%0.01
Brian Skinner0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.050.030.04969%0.071-0.02875%-0.01
Damon Jones0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.02-0.01-0.003100%0.052-0.0400%0.00
Daniel Santiago00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Erick Strickland0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Marcus Haislip00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Brevin Knight0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.030.00-0.01442%-0.0100.00475%-0.00
Toni Kukoc0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.08-0.00-0.07544%-0.012-0.00650%0.00
Keith Van Horn0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.05,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.04-0.00-0.03844%0.032-0.0500%0.00
Desmond Mason0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.05-0.02-0.031549%0.022-0.06786%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game28.33.630.916.725.73.729.3138.2
league avg47.82.427.914.324.82.129.8150.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIL +11.5%
MIL +16.4%
MIL +7.2%
MIL +16.8%
CLE -1.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCLEMILNBACLEMILNBA
this game14.416.015.793.7112.6100.5
season15.715.399.8103.6
opponent15.515.5103.3102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
CLE12.317.414.014.214.4
MIL17.216.914.815.116.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jason Kapono670.00-0.500.500.000-181812.514.5-1.9817.915.82.05
Dajuan Wagner1112-0.00-0.500.500.03-1-171612.814.6-1.7415.016.1-1.10
DeSagana Diop1516-0.01-0.490.480.08-3-151214.314.4-0.0314.916.2-1.30
Zydrunas Ilgauskas5554-0.03-0.470.440.03-2-161413.315.8-2.4516.515.31.17
Kevin Ollie2220-0.15-0.350.200.03-6-12616.013.92.1416.915.71.19
Lee Nailon5958-0.17-0.330.16-0.11-2-161413.715.4-1.6616.315.50.82
Ira Newble2221-0.23-0.270.050.13-12-6-615.813.91.8415.216.2-0.92
Mateen Cleaves6567-0.29-0.21-0.08-0.11-6-12613.615.9-2.3016.215.30.95
LeBron James7373-0.35-0.15-0.200.03-13-5-814.813.01.7715.517.5-1.95
Kedrick Brown3636-0.37-0.13-0.240.10-16-2-1415.713.52.2015.816.1-0.25
Carlos Boozer7473-0.43-0.07-0.350.01-15-3-1214.015.5-1.5015.816.6-0.82
Tony Battie3738-0.48-0.02-0.45-0.07-14-4-1015.613.52.1115.916.0-0.02

Milwaukee Bucks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Desmond Mason71730.430.070.36-0.011531215.617.1-1.5613.716.5-2.85
Brian Skinner71720.430.070.350.011441016.015.90.0613.716.3-2.57
Michael Redd71700.390.110.280.1399016.215.30.8914.813.21.63
Joe Smith54540.380.120.260.06117416.015.90.0513.415.7-2.29
Damon Jones46470.250.250.000.05711-416.415.50.9212.815.9-3.11
Brevin Knight49480.250.25-0.00-0.07117415.516.4-0.9215.912.83.11
Keith Van Horn40390.180.32-0.14-0.17126615.816.0-0.1915.813.32.48
Toni Kukoc37370.120.38-0.26-0.08711-415.716.1-0.4216.313.13.22
Dan Gadzuric24230.070.43-0.35-0.04414-1015.916.0-0.0616.313.72.57
Daniel Santiago440.000.50-0.500.00018-1818.015.92.139.514.6-5.07
Erick Strickland440.000.50-0.500.00018-1818.015.92.139.514.6-5.07
Marcus Haislip440.000.50-0.500.00018-1818.015.92.139.514.6-5.07


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.42,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.56,0.51,0.5,0.62,0.63,0.51,0.46,0.58,0.56,0.55,0.62,0.64,0.67,0.75,0.9,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
GSW 79, WAS 970.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.55,0.6,0.51,0.59,0.56,0.52,0.58,0.64,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.57,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.42,0.52,0.56,0.69,0.67,0.85,0.87,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,194.7%
CHI 81, DEN 990.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.56,0.5,0.49,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.62,0.52,0.52,0.7,0.7,0.73,0.85,0.86,0.91,0.83,0.85,0.92,0.93,0.98,1,1,1,1,194.7%
DET 82, TOR 890.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.55,0.53,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.48,0.49,0.42,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.69,0.69,0.74,0.75,0.87,0.93,0.98,0.95,0.97,0.92,0.89,0.91,0.99,0.96,0.97,0.98,194.6%