NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	81		Excitement	5.4 [758]		MVP	Earl Boykins (DEN): +28.1%
Denver Nuggets	99		Comeback	1.2 [1037]		LVP	Luol Deng (CHI): -19.8%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andres Nocioni	0.08	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.10	-0.01	0.00	11	79%	0.10	2	-0.02	6	100%	0.04
Kirk Hinrich	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.01	10	50%	0.06	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	3	67%	0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Adrian Griffin	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	2	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Othella Harrington	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	71%	0.03	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Jannero Pargo	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Duhon	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Eric Piatkowski	-0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	0.02	5	50%	-0.05	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Ben Gordon	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.08	-0.04	0.00	8	44%	-0.02	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Eddy Curry	-0.13	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.09	-0.03	0.01	7	56%	0.00	5	-0.13	4	50%	-0.03
Antonio Davis	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.09	-0.06	-0.02	8	39%	-0.05	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.02
Luol Deng	-0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.15	-0.06	-0.01	13	25%	-0.12	2	-0.08	2	50%	-0.02

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Earl Boykins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.25,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.28	0.21	0.08	0.01	15	80%	0.28	0	0.00	10	100%	0.04
Bryon Russell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.02	0.04	-0.02	5	58%	0.09	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Andre Miller	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	0.02	7	73%	0.07	3	-0.09	8	100%	0.04
Nikoloz Tskitishvili	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DerMarr Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kenyon Martin	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	11	52%	0.04	3	-0.08	3	33%	-0.02
Rodney White	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Camby	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	2	33%	-0.05	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Carmelo Anthony	0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	15	56%	0.03	5	-0.10	2	50%	0.00
Greg Buckner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	2	33%	-0.03	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Francisco Elson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	6	36%	-0.04	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.0	2.6	28.4	16.3	27.7	1.8	27.6	133.3
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +26.9%

DEN +5.8%

CHI -5.0%

DEN +16.4%

DEN +5.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	DEN	NBA	CHI	DEN	NBA
this game	15.0	15.0	15.5	84.4	103.1	104.0
season	15.1	14.8		100.1	103.8
opponent	15.6	15.4		102.3	98.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	13.5	15.3	17.0	14.1	15.0
DEN	14.2	13.5	15.0	17.8	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eric Piatkowski	44	43	0.16	-0.66	0.81	-0.05	7	-25	32	14.8	15.1	-0.34	14.7	15.3	-0.54
Adrian Griffin	18	19	0.06	-0.56	0.62	0.03	1	-19	20	11.9	15.7	-3.71	15.9	14.8	1.06
Jannero Pargo	11	11	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	0.20	-8	-10	2	12.6	15.3	-2.62	16.3	14.9	1.39
Othella Harrington	26	26	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.05	-3	-15	12	14.4	15.2	-0.79	16.8	14.4	2.37
Tyson Chandler	26	27	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.03	-4	-14	10	14.4	15.2	-0.79	13.7	15.6	-1.86
Ben Gordon	31	31	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.03	-7	-11	4	14.7	15.1	-0.32	14.5	15.3	-0.87
Chris Duhon	33	35	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.17	-15	-3	-12	13.6	15.7	-2.06	15.8	14.6	1.24
Luol Deng	44	46	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.03	-12	-6	-6	15.1	14.9	0.20	14.9	15.2	-0.29
Antonio Davis	63	61	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.05	-14	-4	-10	14.8	15.2	-0.39	15.7	13.9	1.77
Andres Nocioni	61	60	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.03	-14	-4	-10	16.0	13.2	2.72	14.6	15.7	-1.13
Eddy Curry	56	55	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.03	-13	-5	-8	15.9	13.6	2.24	14.3	16.0	-1.72
Kirk Hinrich	67	66	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.18	-8	-10	2	15.9	12.9	2.95	15.0	15.1	-0.08

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Earl Boykins	60	58	0.57	-0.07	0.63	-0.14	24	-6	30	15.4	14.4	0.96	15.1	14.7	0.37
Francisco Elson	54	56	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.10	14	4	10	15.4	14.6	0.84	15.8	13.8	2.03
Kenyon Martin	75	75	0.40	0.10	0.29	-0.16	19	-1	20	14.2	18.1	-3.97	15.1	14.3	0.80
Bryon Russell	34	33	0.33	0.17	0.15	-0.11	15	3	12	16.5	14.2	2.30	14.0	15.5	-1.51
DerMarr Johnson	22	22	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.08	6	12	-6	13.6	15.5	-1.82	14.7	15.0	-0.36
Andre Miller	70	70	0.22	0.28	-0.07	-0.11	11	7	4	15.0	15.0	0.00	14.6	15.8	-1.22
Carmelo Anthony	59	61	0.19	0.31	-0.12	-0.11	10	8	2	14.7	15.5	-0.77	14.9	15.1	-0.29
Nikoloz Tskitishvili	21	21	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.13	-1	19	-20	18.1	14.2	3.97	14.3	15.1	-0.80
Greg Buckner	46	46	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.10	-2	20	-22	14.6	15.4	-0.79	15.3	14.6	0.66
Rodney White	11	11	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.03	-2	20	-22	16.5	14.9	1.60	15.9	14.8	1.07
Marcus Camby	28	27	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	0.03	-4	22	-26	13.6	15.6	-2.03	14.4	15.2	-0.71

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.56,0.5,0.49,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.62,0.52,0.52,0.7,0.7,0.73,0.85,0.86,0.91,0.83,0.85,0.92,0.93,0.98,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 91, POR 99	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.5,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.5,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.66,0.69,0.72,0.64,0.63,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.52,0.61,0.62,0.59,0.59,0.69,0.66,0.68,0.74,0.77,0.82,0.8,0.85,0.9,0.91,0.9,0.97,1,1,1,1	94.9%
BOS 86, UTA 99	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.38,0.48,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.67,0.69,0.7,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.45,0.52,0.62,0.59,0.52,0.59,0.59,0.74,0.85,0.9,0.96,0.89,0.85,0.86,0.91,0.87,0.97,0.97,0.98,1,1	94.8%
CLE 89, MIL 107	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.42,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.56,0.51,0.5,0.62,0.63,0.51,0.46,0.58,0.56,0.55,0.62,0.64,0.67,0.75,0.9,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.7%