NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	86		Excitement	5.7 [659]		MVP	Erick Strickland (BOS): +16.4%
Utah Jazz	99		Comeback	1.8 [740]		LVP	Vitaly Potapenko (BOS): -16.7%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Erick Strickland	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.05	0.07	-0.04	10	57%	0.16	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Paul Pierce	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.16,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	-0.00	-0.02	19	67%	0.17	6	-0.12	4	50%	-0.02
Joe Johnson	0.03	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	6	67%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tony Battie	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Blount	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Walker	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	0.03	18	50%	-0.01	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Eric Williams	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	3	50%	0.00	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Anderson	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.11	-0.04	-0.02	13	29%	-0.10	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Vitaly Potapenko	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.10	-0.07	0.00	9	20%	-0.17	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Crotty	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.11	0.03	0.01	6	92%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bryon Russell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.04	0.06	0.00	11	66%	0.15	2	-0.05	7	100%	0.04
Donyell Marshall	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.02	0.05	-0.02	12	61%	0.13	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.01
John Stockton	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.02	6	67%	0.04	1	-0.03	6	67%	-0.03
DeShawn Stevenson	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Greg Ostertag	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	9	40%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
John Starks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Karl Malone	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	0.01	18	45%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	50%	0.02
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.10	0.00	-0.01	3	42%	-0.02	3	-0.07	6	83%	0.02
Jarron Collins	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.03	-0.00	4	75%	0.04	6	-0.14	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.6	1.7	27.6	15.4	23.4	1.7	27.1	120.6
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +29.6%

UTA +13.2%

UTA +16.3%

BOS -8.6%

BOS -0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	UTA	NBA	BOS	UTA	NBA
this game	15.3	16.4	15.6	94.5	108.8	102.3
season	15.0	16.1		100.9	102.9
opponent	15.1	15.7		101.9	98.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	12.6	15.0	16.8	17.0	15.3
UTA	16.7	17.0	16.7	15.0	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joe Johnson	57	57	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.09	0	-13	13	14.7	16.2	-1.52	15.5	17.7	-2.19
Tony Battie	30	31	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.09	0	-13	13	13.8	16.0	-2.27	15.7	16.7	-0.94
Mark Blount	4	3	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.04	-6	-7	1	20.2	15.1	5.19	11.7	16.5	-4.86
Vitaly Potapenko	54	51	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.11	-6	-7	1	15.6	14.9	0.71	17.4	15.0	2.43
Antoine Walker	82	82	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.27	-1	-12	11	14.6	21.9	-7.33	16.9	11.4	5.46
Kenny Anderson	73	74	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.07	-9	-4	-5	15.2	15.7	-0.54	15.7	19.3	-3.60
Paul Pierce	82	82	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.19	-5	-8	3	15.4	14.4	0.93	16.6	14.6	2.01
Eric Williams	40	42	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	0.05	-14	1	-15	15.6	15.0	0.56	17.2	15.6	1.63
Erick Strickland	33	33	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	0.13	-24	11	-35	18.0	13.7	4.26	15.7	16.7	-1.04

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bryon Russell	49	51	0.49	0.01	0.47	-0.07	19	-6	25	16.5	16.2	0.28	15.8	14.6	1.18
Greg Ostertag	47	49	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.14	10	3	7	17.1	15.6	1.54	16.5	13.9	2.65
Karl Malone	77	78	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.07	12	1	11	15.8	19.4	-3.54	15.3	15.3	-0.03
Andrei Kirilenko	36	34	0.41	0.09	0.33	-0.03	15	-2	17	17.1	15.9	1.19	16.4	14.6	1.84
John Crotty	40	39	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.17	8	5	3	18.3	14.8	3.46	16.4	14.4	2.01
Donyell Marshall	76	76	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.06	4	9	-5	16.1	17.6	-1.48	14.8	17.7	-2.93
John Stockton	54	54	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.01	5	8	-3	15.1	18.2	-3.08	14.5	16.4	-1.84
Jarron Collins	37	36	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.10	-2	15	-17	16.4	16.4	-0.02	13.6	16.4	-2.86
John Starks	8	8	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.05	-1	14	-15	15.0	16.5	-1.49	19.9	14.8	5.03
DeShawn Stevenson	31	30	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	0.08	-5	18	-23	16.2	16.4	-0.26	13.0	16.4	-3.36

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.38,0.48,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.67,0.69,0.7,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.45,0.52,0.62,0.59,0.52,0.59,0.59,0.74,0.85,0.9,0.96,0.89,0.85,0.86,0.91,0.87,0.97,0.97,0.98,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 81, DEN 99	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.56,0.5,0.49,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.62,0.52,0.52,0.7,0.7,0.73,0.85,0.86,0.91,0.83,0.85,0.92,0.93,0.98,1,1,1,1,1	94.8%
LAL 86, MIN 96	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.44,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.54,0.56,0.62,0.67,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.66,0.59,0.69,0.64,0.61,0.63,0.68,0.63,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.56,0.63,0.71,0.7,0.84,0.93,0.86,0.9,0.9,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1	94.0%
CLE 89, MIL 107	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.42,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.56,0.51,0.5,0.62,0.63,0.51,0.46,0.58,0.56,0.55,0.62,0.64,0.67,0.75,0.9,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.5%