NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	86		Excitement	5.5 [696]		MVP	Troy Hudson (MIN): +20.3%
Minnesota Timberwolves	96		Comeback	1.3 [1018]		LVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): -16.4%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Slava Medvedenko	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.02	0.00	3	100%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Karl Malone	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.01	6	72%	0.06	2	-0.02	6	50%	-0.04
Bryon Russell	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Horace Grant	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rick Fox	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.01	-0.02	0.02	5	60%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Luke Walton	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	0.02	3	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shaquille O'Neal	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.02,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	-0.02	-0.05	15	55%	0.04	3	-0.08	14	57%	-0.02
Kareem Rush	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	0.01	-0.01	7	21%	-0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Devean George	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	4	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gary Payton	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.11	-0.04	-0.01	10	45%	0.00	5	-0.14	2	100%	0.01
Kobe Bryant	-0.16	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.19,-0.14,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.11	-0.04	0.02	20	37%	-0.11	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.02

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Troy Hudson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.17,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.09	0.11	-0.00	11	68%	0.20	0	0.00	6	83%	0.00
Mark Madsen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.02	-0.02	3	75%	0.06	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.00
Fred Hoiberg	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	0	100%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Latrell Sprewell	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.06	0.02	-0.04	17	42%	0.03	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.01
Trenton Hassell	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	3	50%	0.01	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.02
Oliver Miller	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ervin Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.04	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Kevin Garnett	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	20	48%	0.03	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Wally Szczerbiak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	4	40%	-0.02	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Michael Olowokandi	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	0.03	6	33%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Cassell	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.03	0.02	15	52%	0.02	4	-0.12	3	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.0	1.8	29.6	14.8	31.7	2.5	30.6	136.0
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +23.3%

MIN +3.6%

MIN +9.3%

MIN +6.5%

MIN +7.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	MIN	NBA	LAL	MIN	NBA
this game	16.7	14.6	15.7	94.5	103.2	100.5
season	15.4	15.6		102.8	103.2
opponent	16.1	15.6		98.4	99.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	17.2	17.8	16.0	15.9	16.7
MIN	14.1	13.0	14.7	16.8	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Karl Malone	40	41	0.11	-0.61	0.73	-0.09	7	-17	24	16.7	16.8	-0.11	15.4	13.9	1.47
Bryon Russell	10	12	0.05	-0.55	0.61	-0.03	3	-13	16	13.4	17.1	-3.75	14.2	14.7	-0.49
Rick Fox	41	42	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.07	-2	-8	6	17.3	16.3	1.01	15.2	14.1	1.09
Kobe Bryant	74	73	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.11	-1	-9	8	17.0	15.6	1.41	14.3	15.8	-1.54
Gary Payton	75	76	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.21	1	-11	12	16.5	18.0	-1.53	15.3	11.5	3.75
Luke Walton	17	17	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.20	0	-10	10	15.6	17.0	-1.41	18.9	13.6	5.25
Shaquille O'Neal	81	82	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.16	-3	-7	4	16.5	18.5	-1.98	14.2	17.2	-2.94
Slava Medvedenko	18	19	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.01	-9	-1	-8	17.3	16.6	0.74	13.8	14.8	-0.94
Devean George	16	17	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.05	-8	-2	-6	15.4	17.0	-1.58	14.5	14.6	-0.08
Derek Fisher	16	17	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.00	-11	1	-12	18.0	16.5	1.53	11.5	15.3	-3.75
Horace Grant	21	21	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	0.01	-13	3	-16	19.3	16.0	3.38	12.5	15.2	-2.67
Kareem Rush	46	48	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.13	-14	4	-18	16.4	17.0	-0.61	14.3	14.9	-0.66

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Troy Hudson	39	36	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.10	13	-3	16	13.5	15.4	-1.86	16.8	16.7	0.11
Kevin Garnett	77	74	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.12	6	4	2	14.7	14.1	0.56	16.9	16.1	0.83
Latrell Sprewell	79	77	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.14	5	5	0	14.9	13.1	1.79	16.7	17.0	-0.31
Trenton Hassell	66	63	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.10	6	4	2	15.3	12.9	2.35	16.8	16.6	0.19
Michael Olowokandi	36	40	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.02	8	2	6	16.0	13.7	2.30	18.7	15.2	3.50
Wally Szczerbiak	27	28	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.11	4	6	-2	12.9	15.3	-2.35	16.6	16.8	-0.19
Oliver Miller	16	15	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.07	5	5	0	11.7	15.2	-3.51	16.8	16.7	0.08
Mark Madsen	35	33	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.13	3	7	-4	14.7	14.6	0.11	15.1	17.7	-2.58
Fred Hoiberg	17	16	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.05	5	5	0	13.1	14.9	-1.88	15.6	17.0	-1.42
Ervin Johnson	19	18	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.09	-2	12	-14	14.1	14.7	-0.61	15.9	16.9	-0.99
Sam Cassell	54	55	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.11	-3	13	-16	15.4	13.5	1.86	16.7	16.8	-0.11

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.44,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.54,0.56,0.62,0.67,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.66,0.59,0.69,0.64,0.61,0.63,0.68,0.63,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.56,0.63,0.71,0.7,0.84,0.93,0.86,0.9,0.9,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 89, LAL 103	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.63,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.59,0.7,0.71,0.69,0.72,0.64,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.52,0.52,0.6,0.56,0.66,0.85,0.88,0.91,0.92,0.96,0.99,1,0.98,1,1,1,1	94.5%
ATL 86, PHI 98	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.62,0.65,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.62,0.67,0.72,0.73,0.66,0.66,0.61,0.59,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.49,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.45,0.48,0.59,0.67,0.64,0.66,0.85,0.93,0.92,0.91,0.95,0.94,0.93,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.4%
LAC 74, IND 89	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.5,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.65,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.61,0.67,0.54,0.62,0.58,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.65,0.65,0.65,0.73,0.63,0.68,0.7,0.81,0.88,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.3%