NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	89		Excitement	5.4 [775]		MVP	Bobby Simmons (LAC): +14.6%
Los Angeles Lakers	103		Comeback	1.4 [924]		LVP	Marko Jaric (LAC): -13.2%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bobby Simmons	0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.09	0.04	-0.02	15	72%	0.22	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Mikki Moore	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.00	4	75%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rick Brunson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Elton Brand	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	16	44%	0.00	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Quinton Ross	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	5	20%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shaun Livingston	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	4	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Wilcox	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	-0.02	11	50%	-0.02	4	-0.08	6	67%	-0.02
Corey Maggette	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.05,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.10	-0.03	-0.00	25	45%	-0.05	5	-0.08	3	100%	0.00
Marko Jaric	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.11	-0.02	0.00	10	20%	-0.10	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brian Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.03	0.02	4	75%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Walton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.02	0.00	2	125%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.02	-0.03	16	62%	0.17	5	-0.13	5	100%	0.02
Chucky Atkins	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,0,0,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.02	0.04	-0.01	16	50%	0.09	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.02
Chris Mihm	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	-0.01	0.01	7	68%	0.03	0	0.00	8	87%	0.01
Caron Butler	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.02	-0.00	10	58%	0.08	2	-0.06	4	75%	0.00
Kareem Rush	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Cook	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	12	46%	0.00	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Lamar Odom	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0.01	7	65%	0.05	2	-0.07	3	100%	0.02
Tierre Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.1	2.5	26.4	16.6	26.2	2.5	27.2	127.4
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +51.5%

LAL +14.3%

LAC -6.7%

LAC -8.2%

LAC -1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	LAL	NBA	LAC	LAL	NBA
this game	15.1	15.7	15.5	95.7	109.6	104.0
season	16.0	15.7		103.0	105.8
opponent	15.3	15.5		108.8	103.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	15.3	15.1	15.4	14.4	15.1
LAL	14.7	17.6	13.4	17.5	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Quinton Ross	21	20	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.02	-1	-13	12	15.7	14.9	0.76	18.1	15.1	3.02
Marko Jaric	60	61	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.06	-4	-10	6	14.8	15.5	-0.63	15.0	17.2	-2.20
Rick Brunson	13	12	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.02	-3	-11	8	14.1	15.2	-1.16	17.2	15.5	1.75
Elton Brand	76	77	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.03	-8	-6	-2	14.8	16.5	-1.71	15.1	18.8	-3.71
Chris Wilcox	76	77	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.03	-9	-5	-4	14.4	17.9	-3.51	16.4	12.7	3.68
Corey Maggette	79	81	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.01	-13	-1	-12	14.9	16.1	-1.17	16.1	13.3	2.80
Bobby Simmons	73	74	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.14	-9	-5	-4	14.8	16.0	-1.18	15.4	16.8	-1.37
Mikki Moore	34	34	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.13	-11	-3	-8	17.2	13.8	3.36	15.7	15.7	0.02
Shaun Livingston	33	34	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.13	-12	-2	-10	16.5	14.3	2.18	14.9	16.2	-1.32

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luke Walton	36	34	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.16	14	0	14	16.2	15.4	0.76	16.7	14.1	2.62
Chucky Atkins	82	80	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.10	16	-2	18	15.2	19.3	-4.14	14.7	17.5	-2.86
Kobe Bryant	90	89	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.08	15	-1	16	15.4	23.2	-7.86	14.9	18.0	-3.06
Brian Cook	48	45	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.14	11	3	8	16.3	15.1	1.25	15.3	14.9	0.37
Brian Grant	35	33	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.06	12	2	10	17.0	15.0	2.03	15.1	15.1	0.02
Chris Mihm	55	56	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.02	3	11	-8	14.4	17.6	-3.28	14.9	15.4	-0.55
Lamar Odom	50	52	0.02	0.48	-0.47	-0.04	2	12	-10	15.7	15.7	0.04	15.1	15.0	0.13
Kareem Rush	4	4	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.01	-1	15	-16	23.2	15.4	7.86	18.0	14.9	3.06
Tierre Brown	12	13	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	-0.01	-2	16	-18	19.3	15.2	4.14	17.5	14.7	2.86
Caron Butler	58	59	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	-0.07	0	14	-14	15.4	16.2	-0.76	14.1	16.7	-2.62

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.63,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.59,0.7,0.71,0.69,0.72,0.64,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.52,0.52,0.6,0.56,0.66,0.85,0.88,0.91,0.92,0.96,0.99,1,0.98,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 86, WAS 96	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.54,0.58,0.49,0.56,0.63,0.66,0.8,0.75,0.7,0.61,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.52,0.6,0.68,0.78,0.87,0.91,0.89,0.9,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.93,0.99,1,1,1	94.6%
LAL 86, MIN 96	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.44,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.54,0.56,0.62,0.67,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.66,0.59,0.69,0.64,0.61,0.63,0.68,0.63,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.56,0.63,0.71,0.7,0.84,0.93,0.86,0.9,0.9,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1	94.5%
UTA 86, DAL 109	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.43,0.41,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.55,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.67,0.63,0.6,0.67,0.64,0.64,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.78,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.7%