NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	86		Excitement	5.2 [813]		MVP	Jason Terry (DAL): +17.0%
Dallas Mavericks	109		Comeback	1.6 [951]		LVP	Erick Dampier (DAL): -18.1%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Matt Harpring	0.15	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.11	0.04	-0.00	15	69%	0.18	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Carlos Arroyo	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	12	67%	0.12	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Gordan Giricek	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	8	59%	0.07	2	-0.06	1	0%	-0.01
Kirk Snyder	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aleksandar Radojevic	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	0	50%	0.00	1	0.00	4	50%	0.00
Jarron Collins	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Mehmet Okur	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.01	8	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Howard Eisley	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.01	5	50%	-0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Kris Humphries	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	-0.02	-0.02	6	36%	-0.03	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Carlos Boozer	-0.10	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.02	-0.00	9	40%	-0.03	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Raja Bell	-0.18	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.12	-0.05	0.01	9	30%	-0.09	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.11	0.07	0.01	9	86%	0.20	2	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.07	0.03	0.00	19	65%	0.18	3	-0.08	8	100%	0.04
Devin Harris	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	0.01	0.02	3	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerry Stackhouse	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.01	12	58%	0.05	1	-0.04	7	100%	0.03
Calvin Booth	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Bradley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Alan Henderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marquis Daniels	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	9	43%	-0.02	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Darrell Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	-0.03	4	20%	-0.05	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Josh Howard	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.03	-0.02	0.04	15	50%	-0.05	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.00
Erick Dampier	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.19,-0.21,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.17	-0.02	-0.01	7	43%	-0.00	8	-0.18	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.8	2.3	26.4	16.4	25.5	2.7	29.2	127.4
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +0.6%

DAL +19.9%

DAL +16.5%

DAL +13.7%

UTA -0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	DAL	NBA	UTA	DAL	NBA
this game	16.3	13.5	15.5	88.7	113.5	104.0
season	16.7	14.9		102.3	108.2
opponent	15.5	15.1		103.4	106.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	16.3	15.0	16.2	18.1	16.3
DAL	13.0	14.4	11.5	15.4	13.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kirk Snyder	7	7	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.12	-4	-19	15	18.0	16.2	1.79	17.1	13.2	3.94
Aleksandar Radojevic	7	7	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.12	-4	-19	15	18.0	16.2	1.79	17.1	13.2	3.94
Matt Harpring	72	71	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	0.12	-6	-17	11	16.7	15.4	1.32	14.5	10.5	4.02
Howard Eisley	29	29	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.02	-4	-19	15	16.5	16.3	0.20	13.9	13.3	0.58
Jarron Collins	32	33	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.02	-5	-18	13	16.2	16.4	-0.13	13.2	13.6	-0.42
Raja Bell	55	54	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.09	-12	-11	-1	16.2	16.6	-0.41	13.4	13.6	-0.27
Kris Humphries	37	39	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.04	-11	-12	1	16.5	16.3	0.19	12.6	14.1	-1.47
Mehmet Okur	58	56	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.08	-14	-9	-5	16.2	16.6	-0.37	13.2	13.9	-0.70
Carlos Arroyo	68	67	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.16	-19	-4	-15	16.3	16.5	-0.20	13.3	13.9	-0.58
Gordan Giricek	49	48	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	0.08	-18	-5	-13	16.0	16.7	-0.65	12.6	14.4	-1.81
Carlos Boozer	71	69	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	0.07	-18	-5	-13	16.1	16.9	-0.80	13.3	14.1	-0.81

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Terry	64	63	0.72	-0.22	0.93	-0.11	28	-5	33	13.2	14.1	-0.86	15.8	17.4	-1.56
Dirk Nowitzki	82	82	0.56	-0.06	0.62	-0.09	22	1	21	13.2	15.3	-2.10	16.1	17.8	-1.73
Jerry Stackhouse	60	58	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.17	20	3	17	14.4	12.0	2.43	16.8	15.7	1.04
Marquis Daniels	59	61	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.06	12	11	1	12.4	15.2	-2.81	15.8	17.3	-1.54
Erick Dampier	72	74	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.06	15	8	7	13.2	14.3	-1.12	16.2	16.8	-0.58
Shawn Bradley	8	8	0.19	0.31	-0.12	-0.02	7	16	-9	10.2	13.8	-3.53	17.6	16.2	1.40
Josh Howard	69	73	0.17	0.33	-0.15	-0.12	10	13	-3	13.8	12.8	0.94	16.4	16.2	0.23
Alan Henderson	16	15	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.09	3	20	-17	18.4	12.5	5.86	16.7	16.3	0.39
Darrell Armstrong	16	14	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	-0.08	0	23	-23	14.5	13.3	1.21	16.9	16.2	0.69
Devin Harris	22	25	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	-0.10	-1	24	-25	13.3	13.6	-0.28	17.8	15.8	1.97
Calvin Booth	12	12	-0.13	0.63	-0.77	-0.11	-1	24	-25	12.7	13.6	-0.85	17.4	16.2	1.23

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.43,0.41,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.55,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.67,0.63,0.6,0.67,0.64,0.64,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.78,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 84, MIA 103	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.5,0.55,0.6,0.55,0.5,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.61,0.63,0.69,0.66,0.72,0.64,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.53,0.56,0.66,0.68,0.87,0.89,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.7%
MIL 117, CLE 124	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.57,0.49,0.53,0.52,0.53,0.58,0.55,0.56,0.54,0.47,0.48,0.46,0.54,0.64,0.64,0.7,0.68,0.63,0.64,0.58,0.64,0.68,0.59,0.69,0.69,0.66,0.75,0.81,0.89,0.93,0.96,0.99,0.97,0.96,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.5%
DAL 93, NOH 104	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.5,0.57,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.47,0.53,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.61,0.64,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.79,0.9,0.92,0.9,0.92,0.95,0.99,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.3%