inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
San Antonio Spurs 84 Excitement4.7 [883] MVPDanny Green (SAS): +19.5%
Miami Heat 103 Comeback1.6 [918] LVPTim Duncan (SAS): -15.1%


San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Danny Green0.190,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.190.200.030.036142%0.231-0.0400%0.00
Tiago Splitter0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.030.01-0.03540%0.021-0.0100%0.00
Boris Diaw0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Matt Bonner0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.030.000.03462%0.0000.0000%0.00
Tracy McGrady0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Patty Mills0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.01333%0.0000.0000%0.00
Cory Joseph0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.060.000.06389%0.0010.00367%0.00
DeJuan Blair-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.00-0.03425%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Kawhi Leonard-0.020,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.040.01-0.011236%-0.001-0.0110%-0.02
Gary Neal-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.01-0.02-0.00762%0.063-0.082100%0.01
Manu Ginobili-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.07-0.02-0.00642%-0.003-0.0800%0.00
Tony Parker-0.150,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.13-0.05-0.021441%-0.055-0.09475%-0.00
Tim Duncan-0.150,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.10-0.06-0.011330%-0.121-0.04475%-0.01

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Mario Chalmers0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.150.130.030.011266%0.1500.005100%0.03
Mike Miller0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.140.120.040.013150%0.1400.0000%0.00
Ray Allen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.110.030.04881%0.1100.0000%0.00
Chris Andersen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.060.000.01390%0.061-0.01475%-0.01
Chris Bosh0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.060.010.011060%0.0500.0000%0.00
Udonis Haslem0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.030.02-0.00456%0.0500.001100%0.00
Rashard Lewis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.000.00367%0.0010.0000%0.00
Shane Battier0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.010.000.01350%0.0000.0000%0.00
James Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.030.00-0.0320%0.0000.0000%0.00
Joel Anthony00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Norris Cole0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.040.00-0.03520%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Dwyane Wade0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.09-0.01-0.041336%-0.022-0.0420%-0.05
LeBron James0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.2,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.14-0.02-0.040.071747%-0.072-0.072100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.23.630.216.531.61.628.4138.1
league avg24.82.329.514.026.82.333.1134.3
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +26.9%
MIA +6.0%
SAS -12.1%
MIA +25.8%
MIA +3.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSASMIANBASASMIANBA
this game18.316.415.4101.2124.1104.1
season15.215.7106.4110.2
opponent15.915.1102.499.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SAS19.919.618.315.618.3
MIA17.015.616.017.116.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tiago Splitter43410.19-0.690.870.25-2-171518.817.71.0914.718.0-3.32
Cory Joseph16170.17-0.670.84-0.1812-314314.119.3-5.2418.615.82.81
Matt Bonner1314-0.00-0.500.50-0.155-242914.219.1-4.9018.715.92.77
Tracy McGrady1314-0.00-0.500.50-0.155-242914.219.1-4.9018.715.92.77
Patty Mills1314-0.00-0.500.50-0.155-242914.219.1-4.9018.715.92.77
DeJuan Blair1314-0.00-0.500.50-0.155-242914.219.1-4.9018.715.92.77
Danny Green5353-0.04-0.460.430.23-9-10118.717.61.0815.518.0-2.44
Boris Diaw1818-0.09-0.410.330.00-3-161316.218.9-2.7120.015.44.58
Tim Duncan5150-0.45-0.05-0.41-0.04-14-5-919.316.72.6616.316.6-0.28
Kawhi Leonard5857-0.48-0.02-0.450.14-212-2319.814.75.1115.418.7-3.32
Gary Neal3835-0.580.08-0.660.24-289-3719.916.93.0615.517.1-1.55
Manu Ginobili3030-0.610.11-0.710.07-234-2717.818.5-0.7118.515.23.33
Tony Parker5658-0.620.12-0.740.17-278-3519.815.14.7715.019.8-4.79

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Mario Chalmers60610.62-0.120.73-0.2630-114115.818.0-2.2019.315.53.80
LeBron James69690.59-0.090.69-0.2629-103916.018.3-2.2619.412.66.88
Ray Allen43420.56-0.060.62-0.2327-83515.817.1-1.2819.117.51.58
Mike Miller26280.450.050.39-0.2022-32516.816.20.6419.217.81.34
Chris Andersen25250.320.180.15-0.03127515.816.7-0.8719.117.91.13
Chris Bosh54540.080.42-0.33-0.18910-116.116.9-0.8018.617.61.03
Dwyane Wade51510.060.44-0.39-0.06415-1116.316.7-0.4018.917.21.69
Rashard Lewis990.000.50-0.500.18-625-3119.616.03.5311.719.1-7.43
Shane Battier990.000.50-0.500.18-625-3119.616.03.5311.719.1-7.43
James Jones990.000.50-0.500.18-625-3119.616.03.5311.719.1-7.43
Joel Anthony990.000.50-0.500.18-625-3119.616.03.5311.719.1-7.43
Udonis Haslem2827-0.060.56-0.630.03-322-2515.217.0-1.8019.317.81.55
Norris Cole2322-0.120.62-0.730.21-1130-4118.015.82.2015.519.3-3.80


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.5,0.55,0.6,0.55,0.5,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.61,0.63,0.69,0.66,0.72,0.64,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.53,0.56,0.66,0.68,0.87,0.89,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
UTA 86, DAL 1090.5,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.43,0.41,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.55,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.67,0.63,0.6,0.67,0.64,0.64,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.78,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,194.7%
NOH 86, ORL 960.5,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.42,0.45,0.5,0.56,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.61,0.57,0.67,0.71,0.72,0.7,0.61,0.61,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.66,0.73,0.76,0.81,0.84,0.93,0.91,0.93,0.97,0.98,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,194.3%
BOS 79, CHI 900.5,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.4,0.39,0.49,0.49,0.62,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.44,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.52,0.7,0.74,0.82,0.81,0.82,0.86,0.91,0.9,0.97,0.95,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,194.0%