NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	87		Excitement	6.0 [622]		MVP	Dirk Nowitzki (DAL): +15.3%
Dallas Mavericks	91		Comeback	16.5 [163]		LVP	Ronald Murray (CLE): -11.2%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LeBron James	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0.02,0.02,0.04	0.07	0.00	0.03	27	58%	0.17	4	-0.13	8	100%	0.05
Anderson Varejao	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01	0.00	-0.03	-0.03	17	45%	0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	0.02
Ira Newble	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damon Jones	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0	0.05	-0.02	0.04	6	75%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Drew Gooden	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	0.00	0.01	6	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donyell Marshall	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	3	25%	-0.02	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Eric Snow	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	-0.02	-0.01	7	19%	-0.09	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Ronald Murray	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11	-0.06	-0.07	-0.02	11	50%	0.01	4	-0.12	2	100%	0.01

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.05	0.15	0.04	28	49%	0.17	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.03
Marquis Daniels	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.04	0.01	15	50%	0.07	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.01	17	49%	0.05	1	-0.01	7	71%	0.01
DeSagana Diop	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Erick Dampier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	4	64%	0.05	2	-0.05	3	33%	-0.04
DJ Mbenga	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rawle Marshall	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Josh Powell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jerry Stackhouse	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.08	0.01	-0.03	14	30%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Darrell Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	2	33%	-0.02	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.8	1.7	25.3	16.4	22.7	2.5	38.2	130.4
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +23.4%

CLE -2.7%

DAL +6.9%

DAL +19.4%

DAL +3.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	DAL	NBA	CLE	DAL	NBA
this game	16.3	15.4	15.6	95.6	100.0	104.4
season	16.2	16.4		105.6	109.0
opponent	15.6	15.5		102.9	103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	14.2	17.4	19.8	14.1	16.3
DAL	17.7	13.9	15.2	14.7	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anderson Varejao	22	20	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.07	2	-6	8	15.5	16.5	-1.04	15.7	15.3	0.43
Ronald Murray	73	74	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.23	7	-11	18	16.4	16.0	0.36	14.9	17.4	-2.45
Donyell Marshall	49	48	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.30	3	-7	10	15.3	17.5	-2.21	14.2	16.7	-2.44
Eric Snow	55	55	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.05	-10	6	-16	17.1	15.0	2.17	16.1	14.2	1.93
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	60	61	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.34	-1	-3	2	16.7	15.5	1.12	15.7	14.7	0.99
Drew Gooden	50	52	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.13	-8	4	-12	17.4	14.9	2.52	16.2	14.3	1.94
Damon Jones	60	60	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.47	-2	-2	0	15.0	18.7	-3.63	15.0	16.0	-0.92
LeBron James	86	85	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.37	-8	4	-12	16.4	14.4	2.00	15.3	16.0	-0.68

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Erick Dampier	56	57	0.77	-0.27	1.04	0.30	16	-12	28	15.8	14.7	1.05	16.8	15.4	1.44
Jason Terry	76	76	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.27	13	-9	22	15.6	14.1	1.55	16.3	16.2	0.10
Marquis Daniels	84	82	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.37	7	-3	10	15.4	15.4	-0.07	15.8	21.1	-5.36
Dirk Nowitzki	85	85	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.34	8	-4	12	15.2	18.3	-3.18	16.5	13.8	2.63
Darrell Armstrong	23	24	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.21	5	-1	6	13.6	16.0	-2.35	15.4	16.6	-1.24
Jerry Stackhouse	59	62	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.22	-1	5	-6	14.9	16.2	-1.37	16.6	15.6	1.03
DJ Mbenga	4	4	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	-0.00	-2	6	-8	11.5	15.5	-4.04	24.7	15.9	8.85
Rawle Marshall	27	26	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.09	-8	12	-20	16.1	15.0	1.12	14.3	17.1	-2.72
Josh Powell	13	13	-0.17	0.67	-0.83	0.04	-7	11	-18	15.5	15.3	0.21	18.7	15.9	2.81
DeSagana Diop	28	26	-0.24	0.74	-0.98	0.08	-11	15	-26	16.7	14.8	1.90	15.7	16.5	-0.88

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.27,0.28,0.2,0.17,0.13,0.16,0.09,0.13,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.11,0.14,0.2,0.23,0.16,0.24,0.29,0.36,0.5,0.6,0.71,0.72,0.81,0.78,0.76,0.67,0.81,0.93,0.97,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 109, SAC 120	0.5,0.5,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.44,0.42,0.34,0.38,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.34,0.35,0.26,0.25,0.27,0.23,0.24,0.22,0.14,0.1,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.1,0.18,0.15,0.19,0.21,0.33,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.65,0.83,0.88,0.92,0.95,0.9,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1	91.9%
TOR 87, DET 99	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.47,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.39,0.31,0.31,0.25,0.24,0.22,0.19,0.17,0.16,0.18,0.12,0.09,0.11,0.18,0.15,0.09,0.08,0.16,0.15,0.27,0.3,0.33,0.44,0.42,0.66,0.57,0.53,0.73,0.87,0.97,0.93,0.96,0.99,1,1,1	91.8%
SAS 99, HOU 103	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.47,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.38,0.33,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.27,0.29,0.22,0.15,0.13,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.19,0.18,0.25,0.27,0.19,0.2,0.15,0.14,0.2,0.4,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.57,0.62,0.68,0.86,0.85,0.93,0.89,0.97,0.97,0.85,1	91.4%