inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 109 Excitement4.3 [937] MVPBeno Udrih (SAC): +21.9%
Sacramento Kings 120 Comeback32.8 [87] LVPEarl Barron (MIA): -4.8%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Shawn Marion0.100,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.120.020.041268%0.1000.004100%0.01
Jason Williams0.090,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.14-0.010.041175%0.0900.002100%0.00
Dwyane Wade0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.070.090.000.011565%0.134-0.051090%0.01
Udonis Haslem0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.030.01-0.01560%0.0500.0000%0.00
Dorell Wright0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.000.001100%0.0400.001100%0.00
Alexander Johnson0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.000.01-0.01367%0.041-0.0200%0.00
Mark Blount-0.000,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.01-0.02750%0.011-0.0100%0.00
Marcus Banks-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.01-0.030.00567%0.042-0.06250%-0.02
Ricky Davis-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.050.04-0.040.051064%-0.012-0.04250%-0.01
Earl Barron-0.050,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.070.00-0.022100%0.045-0.0800%0.00

Sacramento Kings
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Beno Udrih0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.220.220.210.070.061285%0.2200.003100%0.01
Metta World Peace0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.160.050.102267%0.152-0.034100%0.02
Kevin Martin0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.05,0.01,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.130.030.061271%0.204-0.101782%0.02
John Salmons0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.080.000.024100%0.0700.0000%0.00
Brad Miller0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.010.04-0.001250%0.071-0.01475%0.00
Quincy Douby0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Francisco Garcia0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.000.010.00150%0.0100.002100%0.01
Spencer Hawes0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.000.00-0.00367%0.031-0.0200%0.00
Anthony Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.000.00-0.001100%0.021-0.0200%0.00
Shelden Williams00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Mikki Moore0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.070.03-0.04540%0.053-0.0500%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.42.630.015.535.62.527.6137.1
league avg27.92.430.016.226.62.433.3140.1
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAC +25.7%
SAC +5.2%
SAC +12.5%
SAC +5.9%
SAC +0.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIASACNBAMIASACNBA
this game15.715.415.4118.5129.0105.7
season16.014.999.0105.6
opponent15.015.4108.0108.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIA14.214.615.818.815.7
SAC15.014.814.218.115.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Dorell Wright990.15-0.650.80-0.067-182511.016.2-5.2216.315.31.02
Earl Barron40380.10-0.600.710.100-111113.817.1-3.2814.715.9-1.22
Mark Blount3336-0.06-0.440.38-0.215-162116.315.40.9816.414.81.64
Alexander Johnson2424-0.15-0.350.21-0.264-151915.915.60.2317.214.82.43
Jason Williams6162-0.24-0.260.020.08-110-1114.717.7-3.0215.515.20.32
Marcus Banks3131-0.26-0.24-0.02-0.260-111117.714.73.0215.215.5-0.32
Shawn Marion7879-0.31-0.19-0.12-0.05-9-2-715.914.61.2515.315.8-0.44
Ricky Davis5253-0.510.01-0.52-0.33-6-5-117.413.53.8215.814.80.98
Udonis Haslem5655-0.610.11-0.730.12-2514-3915.615.9-0.3014.616.6-1.98
Dwyane Wade7678-0.610.11-0.73-0.03-209-2915.715.9-0.2015.017.6-2.61

Sacramento Kings
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Beno Udrih76740.74-0.240.980.1221-103115.415.30.1415.914.90.95
Brad Miller77750.65-0.150.810.2115-41915.515.00.4916.611.84.84
Mikki Moore66660.430.070.360.0214-31714.816.9-2.0915.217.0-1.80
Metta World Peace77760.370.130.250.0212-11315.216.5-1.3215.417.3-1.94
John Salmons33310.310.190.120.28110-917.814.13.6416.915.11.85
Francisco Garcia22210.260.240.020.2029-716.815.01.7917.015.31.61
Kevin Martin74740.230.27-0.04-0.0083514.917.3-2.4015.217.6-2.37
Shelden Williams11-0.010.51-0.51-0.01011-1112.015.4-3.450.015.9-15.88
Quincy Douby55-0.100.60-0.700.02-415-1915.815.40.4118.015.62.43
Spencer Hawes1719-0.150.65-0.80-0.03-415-1914.315.7-1.3613.916.2-2.22
Anthony Johnson1718-0.240.74-0.980.05-1021-3115.315.4-0.1414.915.9-0.95


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.44,0.42,0.34,0.38,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.34,0.35,0.26,0.25,0.27,0.23,0.24,0.22,0.14,0.1,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.1,0.18,0.15,0.19,0.21,0.33,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.65,0.83,0.88,0.92,0.95,0.9,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
TOR 104, LAL 1220.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.4,0.37,0.34,0.35,0.37,0.35,0.34,0.35,0.3,0.31,0.27,0.31,0.24,0.2,0.25,0.24,0.17,0.19,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.1,0.05,0.13,0.12,0.15,0.26,0.44,0.37,0.4,0.56,0.74,0.7,0.65,0.83,0.81,0.83,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,192.1%
CLE 87, DAL 910.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.27,0.28,0.2,0.17,0.13,0.16,0.09,0.13,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.11,0.14,0.2,0.23,0.16,0.24,0.29,0.36,0.5,0.6,0.71,0.72,0.81,0.78,0.76,0.67,0.81,0.93,0.97,1,191.9%
SAS 99, HOU 1030.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.47,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.38,0.33,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.27,0.29,0.22,0.15,0.13,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.19,0.18,0.25,0.27,0.19,0.2,0.15,0.14,0.2,0.4,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.57,0.62,0.68,0.86,0.85,0.93,0.89,0.97,0.97,0.85,191.2%