NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	87		Excitement	5.8 [645]		MVP	Jerry Stackhouse (DET): +12.7%
Detroit Pistons	99		Comeback	16.4 [44]		LVP	Antonio Davis (TOR): -24.3%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jerome Williams	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.01	0.01	7	87%	0.11	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Keon Clark	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	6	83%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Morris Peterson	0.02	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	62%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Tracy Murray	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	50%	-0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alvin Williams	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	14	47%	-0.03	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.01
Chris Childs	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Dell Curry	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	0.00	3	0%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charles Oakley	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	14	36%	-0.06	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Vince Carter	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.13,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.14,-0.16,-0.19,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.13	-0.05	0.01	25	41%	-0.06	4	-0.13	4	75%	-0.02
Antonio Davis	-0.24	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24	-0.21	-0.05	-0.02	14	22%	-0.13	3	-0.11	4	75%	-0.00

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jerry Stackhouse	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,0.03,0,-0.04,0.06,0.11,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	-0.05	0.16	-0.02	32	48%	0.20	3	-0.07	9	100%	0.03
Brian Cardinal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.04	-0.01	4	75%	0.09	0	0.00	4	75%	0.02
Corliss Williamson	0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.12	0.00	0.04	15	68%	0.09	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Joe Smith	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.03	0.01	8	62%	0.07	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kornel David	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ben Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.03	0.01	6	62%	0.02	1	-0.04	1	0%	-0.02
Jud Buechler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mikki Moore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	1	100%	0.02	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Mateen Cleaves	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.09	-0.04	-0.01	7	31%	-0.07	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Chucky Atkins	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.18	-0.03	-0.01	9	19%	-0.18	1	-0.03	8	62%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	2.3	26.3	15.8	25.2	2.5	30.7	126.1
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +37.7%

DET +6.0%

TOR -6.7%

DET +8.1%

DET +4.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	DET	NBA	TOR	DET	NBA
this game	14.8	14.3	15.5	87.9	100.0	100.9
season	15.8	14.3		103.7	97.9
opponent	15.4	15.4		99.6	101.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	13.7	13.4	18.4	14.0	14.8
DET	15.1	15.4	12.1	14.2	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jerome Williams	48	48	0.25	-0.75	1.00	-0.02	9	-21	30	14.7	15.0	-0.29	13.4	15.0	-1.58
Morris Peterson	26	26	0.01	-0.51	0.52	0.07	-2	-10	8	14.3	15.0	-0.77	15.5	13.8	1.74
Tracy Murray	12	12	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	0.03	-3	-9	6	13.0	15.1	-2.09	13.5	14.4	-0.86
Charles Oakley	78	80	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	0.04	-4	-8	4	14.8	15.0	-0.14	14.5	13.2	1.35
Chris Childs	35	37	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.26	1	-13	14	13.7	15.5	-1.74	15.1	13.8	1.28
Alvin Williams	73	71	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.03	-12	0	-12	15.3	13.6	1.71	13.6	16.0	-2.39
Keon Clark	47	46	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.29	-1	-11	10	14.5	15.1	-0.58	14.9	13.7	1.23
Dell Curry	17	17	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.14	-14	2	-16	15.3	14.7	0.55	14.9	14.1	0.83
Antonio Davis	64	63	-0.58	0.08	-0.65	-0.08	-17	5	-22	15.6	13.5	2.09	13.7	15.3	-1.61
Vince Carter	95	95	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.12	-17	5	-22	15.0	11.7	3.22	14.3	12.5	1.83

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ben Wallace	85	85	0.83	-0.33	1.17	0.13	24	-12	36	14.1	15.4	-1.29	14.9	14.4	0.48
Jud Buechler	17	18	0.58	-0.08	0.67	0.14	15	-3	18	13.2	14.5	-1.23	15.1	14.8	0.27
Jerry Stackhouse	92	92	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.12	12	0	12	14.5	10.6	3.96	14.8	15.4	-0.64
Brian Cardinal	38	37	0.32	0.18	0.15	-0.06	13	-1	14	12.7	15.2	-2.50	16.1	14.1	1.94
Chucky Atkins	65	64	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.13	14	-2	16	13.5	15.6	-2.12	15.0	14.5	0.50
Corliss Williamson	72	72	0.25	0.25	-0.01	-0.08	11	1	10	14.6	13.3	1.26	14.8	14.9	-0.12
Mateen Cleaves	37	37	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.31	-4	16	-20	15.4	13.6	1.80	14.4	15.1	-0.78
Joe Smith	50	51	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.12	-5	17	-22	15.6	12.9	2.72	14.1	15.6	-1.45
Mikki Moore	23	23	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.11	-8	20	-28	14.7	14.1	0.52	14.3	15.0	-0.64
Kornel David	16	16	-0.28	0.78	-1.05	0.08	-12	24	-36	12.4	14.6	-2.24	15.2	14.8	0.42

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.47,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.39,0.31,0.31,0.25,0.24,0.22,0.19,0.17,0.16,0.18,0.12,0.09,0.11,0.18,0.15,0.09,0.08,0.16,0.15,0.27,0.3,0.33,0.44,0.42,0.66,0.57,0.53,0.73,0.87,0.97,0.93,0.96,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
VAN 78, SAS 91	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.35,0.22,0.23,0.16,0.18,0.19,0.14,0.16,0.19,0.18,0.15,0.11,0.12,0.18,0.23,0.34,0.37,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.52,0.62,0.74,0.84,0.8,0.92,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1	92.4%
SAC 97, WAS 113	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.36,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.42,0.44,0.37,0.3,0.25,0.18,0.11,0.1,0.11,0.07,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.06,0.15,0.25,0.24,0.34,0.4,0.36,0.46,0.37,0.52,0.63,0.77,0.83,0.94,1,1,1,1,1,1	92.4%
SAS 99, HOU 103	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.47,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.38,0.33,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.27,0.29,0.22,0.15,0.13,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.19,0.18,0.25,0.27,0.19,0.2,0.15,0.14,0.2,0.4,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.57,0.62,0.68,0.86,0.85,0.93,0.89,0.97,0.97,0.85,1	92.2%