NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	97		Excitement	5.3 [749]		MVP	Rasual Butler (WAS): +18.5%
Washington Wizards	113		Comeback	20.2 [184]		LVP	Andre Miller (SAC): -13.7%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Thompson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.01	0.02	-0.04	5	40%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carl Landry	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.00	6	67%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Williams	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	-0.03	-0.00	11	68%	0.06	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
DeMarcus Cousins	0.03	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.13,0.11,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.09	-0.03	0.04	17	60%	0.11	3	-0.08	16	75%	-0.02
Reggie Evans	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	-0.00	3	67%	0.03	2	-0.04	3	67%	-0.02
Ray McCallum	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.07	-0.04	0.05	8	75%	0.05	2	-0.06	4	75%	-0.01
Omri Casspi	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.01	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Nik Stauskas	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	9	33%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben McLemore	-0.08	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	-0.02	-0.03	10	32%	-0.05	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Andre Miller	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.08	-0.05	0.01	6	27%	-0.07	2	-0.06	3	67%	0.01

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rasual Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.10	0.09	0.00	10	70%	0.18	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Wall	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.14	0.02	0.06	15	77%	0.22	5	-0.12	10	90%	0.03
Kevin Seraphin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.08	0.02	0.00	5	100%	0.12	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Paul Pierce	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.12	0.00	0.04	11	77%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
DeJuan Blair	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	6	50%	0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcin Gortat	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.05	-0.00	0.04	9	65%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Otto Porter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ramon Sessions	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.05,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	37%	0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Drew Gooden	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	5	20%	-0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Bradley Beal	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	0.01	0.03	13	45%	-0.01	2	-0.05	5	80%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	1.6	28.3	15.8	29.2	2.3	27.4	128.8
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +49.2%

SAC -6.3%

SAC -4.1%

WAS +9.3%

WAS +1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	WAS	NBA	SAC	WAS	NBA
this game	15.3	15.0	15.1	103.2	117.7	104.2
season	14.9	15.1		103.7	102.9
opponent	15.3	14.8		101.7	107.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	14.3	15.8	17.0	14.2	15.3
WAS	15.1	15.5	14.3	15.2	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Reggie Evans	33	34	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.26	7	-23	30	16.0	14.9	1.07	14.8	15.2	-0.43
Carl Landry	37	37	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	0.19	-9	-7	-2	15.5	15.1	0.44	15.5	14.8	0.72
Ben McLemore	54	55	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	0.23	-14	-2	-12	15.4	15.1	0.26	15.6	14.2	1.39
Omri Casspi	31	30	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.12	-11	-5	-6	15.1	15.4	-0.32	15.8	14.7	1.15
Ray McCallum	56	59	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.05	-10	-6	-4	14.2	16.8	-2.63	15.5	14.2	1.30
Andre Miller	45	44	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	0.05	-12	-4	-8	16.2	14.4	1.73	14.3	15.7	-1.34
Nik Stauskas	44	46	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.29	-1	-15	14	14.8	15.7	-0.82	15.0	15.1	-0.04
Jason Thompson	46	46	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	0.05	-13	-3	-10	15.5	15.1	0.39	14.5	15.6	-1.08
DeMarcus Cousins	57	60	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.16	-7	-9	2	15.5	15.0	0.46	15.2	14.8	0.38
Derrick Williams	67	69	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.13	-10	-6	-4	15.1	15.8	-0.70	14.4	16.6	-2.21

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DeJuan Blair	37	34	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.08	17	-1	18	13.6	15.9	-2.27	13.3	16.4	-3.15
Ramon Sessions	27	28	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.14	14	2	12	14.6	15.2	-0.57	15.6	15.1	0.52
Bradley Beal	67	66	0.35	0.15	0.19	-0.12	16	0	16	15.3	14.6	0.70	14.9	16.1	-1.13
Rasual Butler	57	54	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.18	4	12	-8	14.8	15.4	-0.53	14.4	16.5	-2.13
Drew Gooden	49	48	0.26	0.24	0.03	-0.12	13	3	10	15.4	14.6	0.83	16.0	14.5	1.52
Marcin Gortat	64	62	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.05	7	9	-2	15.8	13.6	2.22	14.7	16.4	-1.71
John Wall	79	76	0.25	0.25	-0.01	-0.02	9	7	2	15.1	14.9	0.12	15.1	16.0	-0.89
Kevin Seraphin	31	33	0.12	0.38	-0.27	-0.03	5	11	-6	14.2	15.4	-1.25	17.6	14.0	3.59
Paul Pierce	44	45	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.04	2	14	-12	16.2	14.0	2.23	16.2	14.5	1.69
Otto Porter	25	24	-0.18	0.68	-0.87	0.02	-7	23	-30	13.6	15.5	-1.90	16.4	14.9	1.47

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.36,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.42,0.44,0.37,0.3,0.25,0.18,0.11,0.1,0.11,0.07,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.06,0.15,0.25,0.24,0.34,0.4,0.36,0.46,0.37,0.52,0.63,0.77,0.83,0.94,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 87, DET 99	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.47,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.39,0.31,0.31,0.25,0.24,0.22,0.19,0.17,0.16,0.18,0.12,0.09,0.11,0.18,0.15,0.09,0.08,0.16,0.15,0.27,0.3,0.33,0.44,0.42,0.66,0.57,0.53,0.73,0.87,0.97,0.93,0.96,0.99,1,1,1	92.4%
VAN 78, SAS 91	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.35,0.22,0.23,0.16,0.18,0.19,0.14,0.16,0.19,0.18,0.15,0.11,0.12,0.18,0.23,0.34,0.37,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.52,0.62,0.74,0.84,0.8,0.92,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1	92.3%
SAS 99, HOU 103	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.47,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.38,0.33,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.27,0.29,0.22,0.15,0.13,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.19,0.18,0.25,0.27,0.19,0.2,0.15,0.14,0.2,0.4,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.57,0.62,0.68,0.86,0.85,0.93,0.89,0.97,0.97,0.85,1	92.2%