NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	92		Excitement	3.3 [1146]		MVP	Dirk Nowitzki (DAL): +20.3%
Dallas Mavericks	104		Comeback	1.0 [1276]		LVP	Jerry Stackhouse (DAL): -7.6%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyle Korver	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07	0.10	-0.00	0.04	11	70%	0.09	1	-0.02	5	80%	-0.01
Kevin Ollie	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	3	75%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Chris Webber	0.03	0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	0.00	0.03	17	54%	0.05	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Matt Barnes	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Allen Iverson	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.02	-0.02	22	54%	0.09	6	-0.09	10	90%	0.02
Shavlik Randolph	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.01	0	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
John Salmons	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.03	5	69%	0.03	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Andre Iguodala	-0.02	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	6	33%	-0.01	1	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01
Steven Hunter	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	2	50%	0.00	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.16,0.18,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.20	0.02	0.01	20	68%	0.22	1	-0.01	7	100%	0.02
Jason Terry	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.20	0.00	0.00	14	86%	0.21	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Marquis Daniels	0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	-0.02	0.02	-0.09	16	41%	0.09	0	0.00	7	57%	-0.02
Erick Dampier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	3	75%	0.05	2	-0.03	6	83%	0.01
DeSagana Diop	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	4	60%	0.05	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Adrian Griffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	6	33%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darrell Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	5	50%	0.02	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Jerry Stackhouse	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.16	0.01	-0.08	11	28%	-0.02	4	-0.06	3	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.4	1.8	28.1	17.7	29.1	2.4	31.2	137.8
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +28.3%

DAL +5.8%

DAL +14.3%

DAL +1.2%

DAL +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	DAL	NBA	PHI	DAL	NBA
this game	13.8	18.7	15.6	104.5	116.9	104.4
season	15.2	16.4		104.1	109.0
opponent	15.6	15.3		102.9	106.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	15.4	13.4	15.1	11.3	13.8
DAL	13.4	20.0	19.9	22.4	18.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Salmons	55	54	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.33	9	-21	30	12.3	16.4	-4.07	20.0	16.7	3.22
Kyle Korver	65	64	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.34	7	-19	26	13.4	14.9	-1.48	20.1	15.1	4.97
Matt Barnes	13	15	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.03	-4	-8	4	13.1	13.9	-0.87	15.7	19.3	-3.56
Shavlik Randolph	18	19	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	0.06	-7	-5	-2	13.5	13.9	-0.40	15.8	19.5	-3.63
Steven Hunter	30	30	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.01	-11	-1	-10	12.5	14.5	-2.00	19.8	18.1	1.66
Chris Webber	70	70	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.21	-5	-7	2	13.9	13.5	0.40	19.5	15.8	3.63
Kevin Ollie	50	51	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.14	-18	6	-24	15.3	11.9	3.43	17.7	20.1	-2.37
Andre Iguodala	51	53	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.12	-19	7	-26	15.5	11.5	3.93	16.9	21.3	-4.43
Allen Iverson	88	89	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.15	-12	0	-12	13.8	0.0	13.82	18.7	0.0	18.70

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Adrian Griffin	53	52	0.61	-0.11	0.73	-0.24	29	-17	46	17.5	20.5	-3.07	14.8	12.4	2.32
Jason Terry	59	61	0.48	0.02	0.47	-0.01	17	-5	22	19.3	17.5	1.75	14.3	12.8	1.45
DeSagana Diop	39	41	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.02	13	-1	14	19.3	18.2	1.09	15.2	12.6	2.62
Marquis Daniels	68	68	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.18	6	6	0	20.1	14.1	5.96	13.3	15.5	-2.18
Dirk Nowitzki	63	63	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.07	8	4	4	17.9	20.7	-2.82	13.6	14.3	-0.65
Jerry Stackhouse	65	63	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.25	-2	14	-16	19.4	16.8	2.61	13.3	15.0	-1.65
Erick Dampier	49	45	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.23	-3	15	-18	18.2	19.3	-1.14	12.8	14.9	-2.04
Darrell Armstrong	49	47	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.28	-8	20	-28	17.5	20.1	-2.59	13.5	14.2	-0.66

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.6,0.62,0.67,0.72,0.75,0.76,0.77,0.74,0.73,0.71,0.73,0.81,0.85,0.87,0.87,0.86,0.82,0.87,0.86,0.78,0.83,0.83,0.82,0.78,0.86,0.86,0.93,0.91,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.88,0.89,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 90, CHI 109	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.68,0.71,0.75,0.79,0.8,0.77,0.79,0.8,0.82,0.84,0.9,0.93,0.91,0.88,0.85,0.82,0.84,0.78,0.76,0.81,0.75,0.8,0.81,0.84,0.89,0.87,0.84,0.88,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.92,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%
NOK 73, DAL 85	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.62,0.67,0.71,0.74,0.75,0.79,0.77,0.76,0.81,0.83,0.82,0.78,0.84,0.83,0.85,0.87,0.85,0.85,0.8,0.85,0.93,0.88,0.91,0.91,0.92,0.93,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.9,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%
BOS 72, ATL 89	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.67,0.66,0.75,0.78,0.83,0.81,0.79,0.8,0.81,0.81,0.82,0.87,0.87,0.83,0.8,0.75,0.77,0.82,0.84,0.86,0.86,0.88,0.88,0.82,0.86,0.85,0.9,0.87,0.91,0.89,0.91,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.5%