inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Boston Celtics 72 Excitement3.0 [1204] MVPKyle Korver (ATL): +16.8%
Atlanta Hawks 89 Comeback1.0 [1085] LVPPaul Millsap (ATL): -12.7%


Boston Celtics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Amir Johnson0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.010.011158%0.0600.002100%0.01
Terry Rozier0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.070.000.06771%0.0200.0000%0.00
John Holland0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jordan Mickey0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
James Young0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Evan Turner-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.00-0.031246%0.042-0.042100%0.01
RJ Hunter-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.050.00-0.0330%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Jonas Jerebko-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.03-0.000.05658%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Tyler Zeller-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.080.00-0.06729%-0.022-0.0100%0.00
Jared Sullinger-0.060,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.05-0.000.01540%-0.022-0.0400%0.00
Marcus Smart-0.090,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.16-0.00-0.071114%-0.062-0.0300%0.00
Isaiah Thomas-0.100,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.05-0.000.041542%-0.073-0.03887%0.01
Jae Crowder-0.120,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.17-0.00-0.05911%-0.073-0.0500%0.00

Atlanta Hawks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kyle Korver0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.170.170.170.000.01994%0.1700.0000%0.00
Jeff Teague0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.07-0.010.01-0.06965%0.114-0.042100%0.01
Thabo Sefolosha0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.110.000.09580%0.0200.00560%-0.00
Al Horford0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.080.000.071171%0.032-0.022100%0.00
Dennis Schroder0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.010.000.00657%0.021-0.012100%0.00
Tim Hardaway Jr.0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.010.00-0.01343%0.0000.001100%0.00
Kirk Hinrich00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Lamar Patterson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0200%0.0010.0000%0.00
Mike Muscala0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.05-0.00-0.03440%0.012-0.032100%0.01
Mike Scott0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.030.00-0.01933%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Kent Bazemore0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.130.00-0.061418%-0.0600.0000%0.00
Paul Millsap0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.13-0.240.00-0.111215%-0.065-0.072100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.82.829.717.727.02.731.4136.1
league avg24.52.329.515.826.72.333.5136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ATL +38.2%
BOS -1.8%
ATL +3.0%
ATL +7.9%
ATL +2.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsBOSATLNBABOSATLNBA
this game15.614.414.975.092.7105.1
season13.914.2104.5104.1
opponent15.115.0100.3101.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
BOS15.915.315.315.815.6
ATL12.414.115.316.214.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
John Holland220.00-0.500.500.06-2-151321.015.45.5511.014.5-3.51
Jordan Mickey220.00-0.500.500.06-2-151321.015.45.5511.014.5-3.51
James Young220.00-0.500.500.06-2-151321.015.45.5511.014.5-3.51
RJ Hunter3129-0.01-0.490.47-0.165-222714.316.2-1.9315.813.81.99
Tyler Zeller2928-0.07-0.430.36-0.070-171714.416.0-1.6016.313.72.61
Jonas Jerebko4041-0.07-0.430.36-0.308-253314.716.2-1.4815.213.91.32
Terry Rozier4544-0.17-0.330.16-0.08-3-141116.314.91.4516.312.83.47
Amir Johnson4341-0.22-0.280.050.04-9-8-115.415.7-0.2214.214.6-0.47
Evan Turner6764-0.29-0.21-0.080.00-10-7-316.014.61.4014.514.40.05
Jared Sullinger2830-0.35-0.15-0.200.12-16-1-1516.515.21.2713.115.0-1.95
Marcus Smart6163-0.38-0.12-0.270.20-203-2315.615.50.0813.216.9-3.72
Jae Crowder7071-0.46-0.04-0.420.04-170-1715.415.9-0.4914.115.4-1.36
Isaiah Thomas6063-0.47-0.03-0.440.03-170-1715.515.6-0.0314.015.3-1.37

Atlanta Hawks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kyle Korver68680.460.040.42-0.2725-83314.215.0-0.7915.216.4-1.22
Paul Millsap70690.450.050.40-0.1119-22114.115.3-1.2515.416.1-0.71
Jeff Teague57570.400.100.31-0.091701713.615.7-2.1115.116.3-1.17
Al Horford64640.400.100.31-0.2121-42513.616.0-2.3916.114.51.55
Kent Bazemore63620.360.140.210.03116513.516.3-2.8414.817.0-2.23
Mike Scott37380.120.38-0.250.07215-1315.913.52.3716.515.01.51
Dennis Schroder37370.100.40-0.310.15-219-2115.913.52.4516.015.30.71
Tim Hardaway Jr.21220.090.41-0.310.01314-1114.314.5-0.1917.515.02.57
Thabo Sefolosha38380.090.41-0.320.29-724-3116.712.93.8116.115.20.81
Mike Muscala21210.020.48-0.450.26-825-3315.414.21.2713.016.3-3.28
Kirk Hinrich220.000.50-0.50-0.06215-1311.014.5-3.5121.015.45.55
Lamar Patterson220.000.50-0.50-0.06215-1311.014.5-3.5121.015.45.55


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.67,0.66,0.75,0.78,0.83,0.81,0.79,0.8,0.81,0.81,0.82,0.87,0.87,0.83,0.8,0.75,0.77,0.82,0.84,0.86,0.86,0.88,0.88,0.82,0.86,0.85,0.9,0.87,0.91,0.89,0.91,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
NYK 90, CHI 1090.5,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.68,0.71,0.75,0.79,0.8,0.77,0.79,0.8,0.82,0.84,0.9,0.93,0.91,0.88,0.85,0.82,0.84,0.78,0.76,0.81,0.75,0.8,0.81,0.84,0.89,0.87,0.84,0.88,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.92,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,196.0%
IND 83, DET 1070.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.6,0.62,0.67,0.77,0.78,0.81,0.83,0.85,0.87,0.84,0.87,0.85,0.8,0.81,0.78,0.74,0.68,0.78,0.77,0.81,0.86,0.84,0.88,0.88,0.89,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.93,0.95,0.9,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.8%
NOK 73, DAL 850.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.62,0.67,0.71,0.74,0.75,0.79,0.77,0.76,0.81,0.83,0.82,0.78,0.84,0.83,0.85,0.87,0.85,0.85,0.8,0.85,0.93,0.88,0.91,0.91,0.92,0.93,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.9,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.7%