NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	90		Excitement	2.8 [1206]		MVP	Kirk Hinrich (CHI): +11.1%
Chicago Bulls	109		Comeback	1.0 [1160]		LVP	Iman Shumpert (NYK): -7.8%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Amar'e Stoudemire	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.10	0.00	0.05	8	87%	0.06	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carmelo Anthony	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.00	0.00	-0.03	17	57%	0.09	4	-0.06	3	100%	0.00
J.R. Smith	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.01	12	50%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	14	47%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Shannon Brown	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Toure Murry	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	60%	0.00	1	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Earl Clark	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Tyler	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	2	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pablo Prigioni	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.01	1	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	5	57%	-0.00	1	-0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Raymond Felton	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.09	-0.01	-0.03	10	33%	-0.03	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Iman Shumpert	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.10	0.00	-0.02	6	25%	-0.05	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kirk Hinrich	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.11	0.00	-0.00	6	92%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jimmy Butler	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.02	0.02	-0.05	13	47%	0.11	1	-0.02	14	64%	-0.02
Carlos Boozer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.01	-0.04	13	50%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.01	-0.03	9	53%	0.06	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Tony Snell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.02	4	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joakim Noah	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.03	10	46%	0.04	1	-0.01	8	62%	-0.02
D.J. Augustin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.18	-0.00	0.16	10	88%	0.02	1	0.00	6	83%	0.00
Taj Gibson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	15	41%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Jimmer Fredette	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tornike Shengelia	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Erik Murphy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.8	2.7	28.2	17.7	28.0	2.6	32.3	138.2
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +30.6%

CHI +4.2%

CHI +3.8%

CHI +9.4%

CHI +1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	CHI	NBA	NYK	CHI	NBA
this game	15.5	17.0	15.1	102.3	122.5	105.2
season	16.0	16.3		106.4	101.1
opponent	15.3	15.4		99.6	107.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	13.9	15.2	17.3	15.7	15.5
CHI	16.1	19.0	17.0	16.3	17.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Toure Murry	10	10	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-18	17	12.1	15.9	-3.82	12.9	17.6	-4.67
Shannon Brown	10	10	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-18	17	12.1	15.9	-3.82	12.9	17.6	-4.67
Earl Clark	10	10	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-18	17	12.1	15.9	-3.82	12.9	17.6	-4.67
Jeremy Tyler	10	10	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-18	17	12.1	15.9	-3.82	12.9	17.6	-4.67
Amar'e Stoudemire	41	41	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.13	0	-19	19	16.4	14.7	1.64	17.8	16.4	1.32
Tim Hardaway Jr.	47	48	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	0.09	-9	-10	1	14.5	16.7	-2.19	17.0	17.1	-0.14
Iman Shumpert	36	38	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.04	-9	-10	1	16.1	15.1	0.96	16.2	17.6	-1.41
Pablo Prigioni	31	34	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.15	-16	-3	-13	15.1	15.7	-0.60	16.5	17.4	-0.83
Carmelo Anthony	69	69	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.06	-10	-9	-1	15.6	15.0	0.62	18.0	13.7	4.31
J.R. Smith	50	48	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	0.13	-17	-2	-15	16.3	14.4	1.83	18.2	15.7	2.43
Raymond Felton	55	54	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.05	-15	-4	-11	16.4	13.9	2.53	17.5	16.3	1.25
Tyson Chandler	71	73	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.02	-15	-4	-11	16.0	13.2	2.79	17.6	14.5	3.10

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike Dunleavy	57	56	0.52	-0.02	0.54	-0.24	26	-7	33	17.1	17.0	0.07	15.8	15.0	0.77
Kirk Hinrich	54	53	0.52	-0.02	0.53	-0.30	28	-9	37	18.0	15.6	2.33	16.5	13.9	2.66
Joakim Noah	67	65	0.49	0.01	0.48	-0.19	23	-4	27	17.8	14.6	3.20	16.4	13.0	3.31
Carlos Boozer	45	45	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.18	22	-3	25	16.5	17.6	-1.08	15.5	15.5	0.00
Jimmy Butler	75	75	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.04	16	3	13	17.5	14.4	3.19	15.7	14.5	1.21
D.J. Augustin	50	50	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.12	-2	21	-23	16.3	18.1	-1.79	15.0	16.1	-1.04
Taj Gibson	49	50	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.17	-4	23	-27	17.6	16.4	1.17	15.6	15.4	0.17
Jimmer Fredette	8	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	19	-19	13.5	17.4	-3.90	11.4	15.8	-4.41
Tornike Shengelia	8	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	19	-19	13.5	17.4	-3.90	11.4	15.8	-4.41
Erik Murphy	9	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	22	-25	14.1	17.4	-3.26	12.0	15.9	-3.89
Tony Snell	23	23	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.29	-11	30	-41	16.1	17.4	-1.23	14.0	16.0	-2.02

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.68,0.71,0.75,0.79,0.8,0.77,0.79,0.8,0.82,0.84,0.9,0.93,0.91,0.88,0.85,0.82,0.84,0.78,0.76,0.81,0.75,0.8,0.81,0.84,0.89,0.87,0.84,0.88,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.92,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 73, MIL 99	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.62,0.66,0.71,0.68,0.73,0.71,0.76,0.82,0.81,0.84,0.89,0.88,0.91,0.92,0.88,0.84,0.77,0.78,0.74,0.72,0.78,0.88,0.86,0.91,0.85,0.89,0.88,0.91,0.9,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%
PHI 92, DAL 104	0.5,0.49,0.6,0.62,0.67,0.72,0.75,0.76,0.77,0.74,0.73,0.71,0.73,0.81,0.85,0.87,0.87,0.86,0.82,0.87,0.86,0.78,0.83,0.83,0.82,0.78,0.86,0.86,0.93,0.91,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.88,0.89,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1	96.0%
BOS 72, ATL 89	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.67,0.66,0.75,0.78,0.83,0.81,0.79,0.8,0.81,0.81,0.82,0.87,0.87,0.83,0.8,0.75,0.77,0.82,0.84,0.86,0.86,0.88,0.88,0.82,0.86,0.85,0.9,0.87,0.91,0.89,0.91,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%