inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Seattle SuperSonics 73 Excitement2.9 [1222] MVPMichael Redd (MIL): +14.9%
Milwaukee Bucks 99 Comeback1.0 [1260] LVPRashard Lewis (SEA): -7.9%


Seattle SuperSonics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Nick Collison0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.070.000.06582%0.0100.001100%0.00
Antonio Daniels0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.01-0.01953%0.011-0.011100%0.00
Robert Swift0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Vitaly Potapenko0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Ronald Murray-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.070.00-0.071339%-0.002-0.002100%0.00
Danny Fortson-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.05-0.00-0.02450%-0.012-0.024100%0.01
Reggie Evans-0.040,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.080.00-0.04533%-0.012-0.0320%-0.02
Jerome James-0.040,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.05-0.00-0.0120%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Ray Allen-0.050,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.08-0.00-0.031642%-0.042-0.016100%0.02
Vladimir Radmanovic-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.140.00-0.08712%-0.042-0.022100%0.01
Rashard Lewis-0.080,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.09-0.01-0.021431%-0.071-0.0110%-0.02
Luke Ridnour-0.080,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.09-0.01-0.02833%-0.052-0.03250%-0.01

Milwaukee Bucks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Michael Redd0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.150.130.020.012562%0.171-0.02683%-0.00
Joe Smith0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.070.00-0.001262%0.0700.002100%0.00
Zaza Pachulia0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.00-0.012100%0.041-0.0200%0.00
Desmond Mason0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.030.00-0.041750%0.042-0.03475%-0.00
Calvin Booth0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.02337%0.0000.00250%0.00
Reece Gaines00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Dan Gadzuric0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.01250%0.011-0.0100%0.00
Mo Williams0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.030.00-0.01850%0.012-0.0300%0.00
Marcus Fizer0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.030.00-0.01333%-0.001-0.0200%0.00
Erick Strickland0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.020.000.01558%-0.022-0.012100%0.00
Toni Kukoc0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.06-0.00-0.01430%-0.041-0.02250%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.32.427.115.624.42.526.4123.6
league avg51.62.428.612.725.12.130.4153.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIL +50.8%
SEA -3.3%
MIL +0.4%
MIL +1.4%
MIL +0.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSEAMILNBASEAMILNBA
this game15.815.715.579.3108.8104.0
season16.516.0109.5104.4
opponent15.015.6107.4107.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SEA16.014.017.016.315.8
MIL13.317.314.318.015.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Nick Collison36370.05-0.550.60-0.105-313614.916.4-1.5717.114.72.40
Robert Swift670.00-0.500.50-0.031-272813.016.0-3.0117.015.51.45
Vitaly Potapenko10110.00-0.500.500.03-1-252415.015.9-0.9118.015.32.66
Ronald Murray4341-0.02-0.480.460.04-2-242214.417.1-2.7117.114.52.62
Danny Fortson4342-0.10-0.400.29-0.100-262614.217.2-2.9716.415.01.34
Jerome James1919-0.21-0.290.080.08-10-16619.714.84.9413.216.3-3.10
Rashard Lewis4547-0.21-0.290.08-0.01-7-191216.315.40.9315.815.50.22
Antonio Daniels6362-0.24-0.260.020.23-16-10-614.718.3-3.5916.014.91.07
Vladimir Radmanovic5147-0.27-0.23-0.050.28-19-7-1215.516.2-0.7315.515.8-0.26
Luke Ridnour3939-0.49-0.01-0.470.19-23-3-2017.314.72.6414.116.8-2.68
Reggie Evans4544-0.50-0.00-0.500.23-25-1-2417.014.62.4114.416.8-2.42
Ray Allen6059-0.510.01-0.510.46-337-4016.913.73.2115.116.8-1.73

Milwaukee Bucks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Desmond Mason77770.59-0.090.68-0.3833-74015.317.6-2.3416.512.54.00
Joe Smith60620.56-0.060.62-0.2628-23014.617.7-3.1116.015.40.67
Mo Williams67680.51-0.010.52-0.4031-53615.117.3-2.2715.815.9-0.08
Michael Redd78800.450.050.40-0.142061415.317.7-2.3716.014.61.42
Dan Gadzuric17180.250.25-0.01-0.141313012.916.3-3.4117.115.51.54
Zaza Pachulia16160.130.37-0.240.04323-2016.615.51.1017.715.42.34
Calvin Booth33330.130.37-0.25-0.281412215.915.50.3415.815.80.00
Toni Kukoc34350.010.49-0.49-0.14521-1617.214.82.4215.216.2-1.04
Erick Strickland3333-0.010.51-0.520.11-430-3417.614.63.0115.416.1-0.70
Reece Gaines1818-0.040.54-0.570.02-228-3017.415.22.1613.116.5-3.36
Marcus Fizer2220-0.070.57-0.630.26-1137-4817.415.12.2513.616.4-2.83


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.62,0.66,0.71,0.68,0.73,0.71,0.76,0.82,0.81,0.84,0.89,0.88,0.91,0.92,0.88,0.84,0.77,0.78,0.74,0.72,0.78,0.88,0.86,0.91,0.85,0.89,0.88,0.91,0.9,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
NOH 84, IND 910.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.75,0.8,0.83,0.83,0.87,0.88,0.91,0.9,0.88,0.82,0.81,0.8,0.78,0.85,0.8,0.8,0.84,0.84,0.89,0.85,0.91,0.91,0.94,0.97,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,0.97,0.99,1,196.6%
MIA 68, POR 1060.5,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.62,0.69,0.67,0.72,0.75,0.77,0.8,0.81,0.81,0.83,0.88,0.89,0.9,0.88,0.93,0.89,0.81,0.81,0.82,0.83,0.86,0.94,0.93,0.92,0.94,0.89,0.94,0.92,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.1%
MIN 83, DAL 1030.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.62,0.61,0.63,0.69,0.71,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.81,0.82,0.8,0.82,0.86,0.82,0.84,0.79,0.82,0.79,0.77,0.84,0.88,0.91,0.94,0.93,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,196.0%