NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Hornets	84		Excitement	3.1 [1156]		MVP	Reggie Miller (IND): +7.9%
Indiana Pacers	91		Comeback	1.0 [1256]		LVP	David Wesley (NOH): -10.5%

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Darrell Armstrong	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	-0.00	0.02	4	100%	0.07	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Bryce Drew	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Traylor	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steven Smith	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.01	3	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
David West	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	1	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Sean Rooks	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	3	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.01
George Lynch	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	4	25%	-0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stacey Augmon	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.00	-0.01	0.03	5	50%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
P.J. Brown	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.11	0.00	-0.04	15	39%	-0.03	3	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Baron Davis	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	0.01	-0.00	25	58%	0.06	8	-0.12	10	80%	0.00
Jamaal Magloire	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	2	17%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
David Wesley	-0.10	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	0.00	0.01	10	42%	-0.05	3	-0.06	4	100%	0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Reggie Miller	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.09	0.00	0.02	6	85%	0.08	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Jamaal Tinsley	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.01	-0.02	9	75%	0.10	4	-0.04	6	83%	0.01
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0	0.00	-0.10	0.00	-0.10	20	50%	0.04	4	-0.03	12	67%	-0.00
Fred Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	11	43%	-0.00	0	0.00	8	100%	0.02
Metta World Peace	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	7	56%	0.02	3	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Jamison Brewer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	0	50%	-0.00	2	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00
Scot Pollard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Foster	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Austin Croshere	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	5	31%	-0.01	0	0.00	3	67%	0.00
Al Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.07	0.00	-0.05	7	41%	-0.02	2	-0.00	3	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	1.8	33.1	1.0	26.7	2.3	47.4	136.5
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +26.4%

IND +4.1%

IND +2.4%

IND +13.4%

IND +3.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOH	IND	NBA	NOH	IND	NBA
this game	15.3	15.8	15.7	91.3	97.8	100.5
season	16.0	16.7		99.3	101.1
opponent	15.7	15.7		94.7	99.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOH	20.1	13.3	15.6	12.9	15.3
IND	15.2	19.4	13.7	15.3	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bryce Drew	2	2	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-8	9	8.5	15.5	-6.96	3.5	16.1	-12.60
Steven Smith	22	22	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.03	-1	-6	5	14.0	15.7	-1.77	12.1	17.0	-4.84
Robert Traylor	12	12	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	0.08	-5	-2	-3	15.7	15.2	0.42	12.4	16.3	-3.92
George Lynch	18	20	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.05	-1	-6	5	18.2	14.6	3.56	16.9	15.5	1.43
David West	20	20	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.17	2	-9	11	16.6	14.9	1.72	17.5	15.4	2.13
Sean Rooks	14	14	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.03	-4	-3	-1	16.0	15.2	0.82	16.1	15.8	0.37
David Wesley	62	64	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.43	7	-14	21	15.0	15.8	-0.78	16.2	15.0	1.25
Stacey Augmon	36	36	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.21	-2	-5	3	15.0	15.5	-0.50	16.7	15.3	1.46
Jamaal Magloire	46	47	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.07	-7	0	-7	16.6	14.0	2.52	16.9	14.7	2.20
Darrell Armstrong	68	68	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.23	-2	-5	3	13.8	19.5	-5.62	15.7	16.2	-0.56
P.J. Brown	72	72	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.13	-9	2	-11	15.4	15.1	0.26	16.1	15.0	1.07
Baron Davis	88	88	-0.58	0.08	-0.67	-0.17	-14	7	-21	15.5	11.5	3.98	15.5	21.6	-6.10

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeff Foster	38	39	0.47	0.03	0.45	-0.20	23	-16	39	14.3	16.9	-2.51	17.7	13.5	4.23
Jermaine O'Neal	80	79	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.15	10	-3	13	15.0	21.1	-6.10	15.1	16.3	-1.17
Jamaal Tinsley	64	65	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.02	14	-7	21	15.2	17.1	-1.90	15.6	14.6	0.95
Reggie Miller	61	62	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.29	-1	8	-9	15.5	16.5	-0.98	15.3	15.3	0.01
Metta World Peace	44	47	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.15	3	4	-1	15.9	15.8	0.07	17.1	13.4	3.68
Fred Jones	54	51	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.31	-3	10	-13	16.6	14.8	1.78	13.0	18.2	-5.26
Al Harrington	44	42	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.10	2	5	-3	17.0	14.8	2.14	14.7	15.8	-1.13
Scot Pollard	24	22	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.01	4	3	1	17.2	15.4	1.80	15.3	15.3	-0.04
Austin Croshere	27	25	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.31	-8	15	-23	16.6	15.5	1.13	15.0	15.4	-0.47
Jamison Brewer	29	28	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.34	-9	16	-25	17.1	15.2	1.90	14.2	15.8	-1.57

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.75,0.8,0.83,0.83,0.87,0.88,0.91,0.9,0.88,0.82,0.81,0.8,0.78,0.85,0.8,0.8,0.84,0.84,0.89,0.85,0.91,0.91,0.94,0.97,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,0.97,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
BKN 86, MEM 95	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.72,0.79,0.81,0.81,0.81,0.86,0.88,0.89,0.91,0.86,0.77,0.75,0.76,0.81,0.8,0.82,0.84,0.82,0.94,0.92,0.93,0.89,0.93,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.95,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.91,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.1%
HOU 98, LAL 110	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.66,0.71,0.74,0.76,0.81,0.83,0.87,0.88,0.9,0.86,0.85,0.84,0.83,0.81,0.75,0.83,0.87,0.88,0.81,0.8,0.9,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.9%
CHA 84, NOP 105	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.63,0.68,0.74,0.76,0.78,0.79,0.82,0.88,0.88,0.87,0.84,0.85,0.87,0.83,0.85,0.84,0.88,0.89,0.88,0.92,0.86,0.89,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.94,0.92,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.6%