inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 68 Excitement2.4 [1254] MVPLaMarcus Aldridge (POR): +10.3%
Portland Trail Blazers 106 Comeback1.0 [1184] LVPDaequan Cook (MIA): -5.5%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Yakhouba Diawara0.020,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.010.00-0.01550%0.0200.0000%0.00
Joel Anthony0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.000.00-0.01260%0.031-0.011100%0.00
Marcus Banks0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.070.000.05685%0.031-0.021100%0.00
Mark Blount0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.03-0.00-0.041035%0.0100.0000%0.00
Shaun Livingston0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Chris Quinn-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.0100%0.001-0.0100%0.00
Michael Beasley-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.060.00-0.041839%-0.0210.0000%0.00
Udonis Haslem-0.020,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.050.00-0.03930%-0.0200.002100%0.00
Dwyane Wade-0.040,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.100.00-0.061437%0.013-0.04450%-0.01
Mario Chalmers-0.040,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.07-0.00-0.031036%-0.022-0.022100%0.01
Daequan Cook-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.12-0.00-0.0780%-0.0500.0000%0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
LaMarcus Aldridge0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.090.00-0.011070%0.111-0.00367%-0.00
Nicolas Batum0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.110.000.01983%0.111-0.0100%0.00
Greg Oden0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.050.000.02671%0.051-0.012100%0.01
Travis Outlaw0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.070.000.04875%0.042-0.014100%0.01
Channing Frye0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.120.000.101174%0.0200.001100%0.00
Rudy Fernandez0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.040.000.031065%0.052-0.0300%0.00
Joel Przybilla0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.000.00-0.011100%0.022-0.022100%0.01
Jerryd Bayless0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0200%0.0010.0000%0.00
Ike Diogu0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.030.00-0.0320%0.0000.0000%0.00
Steve Blake0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.080.00-0.06844%0.034-0.042100%0.01
Brandon Roy0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.100.00-0.081129%-0.011-0.01667%-0.01
Sergio Rodriguez0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.070.00-0.0430%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game29.22.427.415.524.31.725.3125.8
league avg26.42.430.116.527.12.433.3140.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
POR +36.0%
POR +5.3%
POR +14.0%
MIA -6.6%
POR +1.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIAPORNBAMIAPORNBA
this game17.316.615.580.0124.7106.4
season16.016.7105.9111.0
opponent16.015.7105.8105.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIA16.716.217.918.717.3
POR14.615.119.917.316.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Shaun Livingston12120.00-0.500.500.21-7-312415.117.7-2.6018.216.31.87
Marcus Banks4040-0.10-0.400.290.22-11-271616.617.9-1.3116.117.0-0.83
Mark Blount4344-0.15-0.350.210.23-13-251216.618.1-1.5416.017.2-1.22
Chris Quinn2021-0.17-0.330.150.44-21-17-419.016.82.2715.317.0-1.70
Daequan Cook4343-0.19-0.310.130.55-25-13-1217.217.4-0.1715.317.9-2.60
Michael Beasley5052-0.21-0.290.090.12-11-271618.116.12.0017.115.81.27
Joel Anthony3736-0.22-0.280.070.61-28-10-1817.517.10.3916.416.7-0.26
Yakhouba Diawara3232-0.30-0.20-0.100.34-22-16-619.815.84.0518.615.33.25
Mario Chalmers5352-0.33-0.17-0.15-0.03-10-281817.217.6-0.3916.716.30.38
Dwyane Wade5555-0.41-0.09-0.320.12-18-20216.419.0-2.5516.716.30.41
Udonis Haslem4038-0.43-0.07-0.360.27-24-14-1016.917.7-0.7916.716.40.26

Portland Trail Blazers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Nicolas Batum38400.440.060.38-0.202216618.315.13.2116.717.9-1.21
Steve Blake46470.380.120.26-0.181919017.215.81.3316.817.9-1.14
Brandon Roy52520.380.120.25-0.031424-1017.015.91.1216.818.2-1.41
LaMarcus Aldridge45460.370.130.25-0.121721-417.016.01.0216.518.3-1.78
Joel Przybilla39390.250.250.00-0.422315813.918.8-4.8317.017.6-0.59
Greg Oden41400.250.25-0.00-0.191523-819.114.24.9918.616.22.42
Travis Outlaw44440.130.37-0.23-0.512216615.118.1-3.0617.317.30.05
Channing Frye40390.130.37-0.25-0.492117416.017.0-1.0218.316.51.78
Sergio Rodriguez36360.110.39-0.27-0.502117415.717.2-1.4618.016.81.14
Rudy Fernandez35330.060.44-0.39-0.271127-1614.817.8-2.9518.616.52.16
Jerryd Bayless990.000.50-0.50-0.15533-2820.316.14.2114.117.7-3.59
Ike Diogu560.000.50-0.500.00038-3815.816.6-0.8110.817.8-6.98


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.62,0.69,0.67,0.72,0.75,0.77,0.8,0.81,0.81,0.83,0.88,0.89,0.9,0.88,0.93,0.89,0.81,0.81,0.82,0.83,0.86,0.94,0.93,0.92,0.94,0.89,0.94,0.92,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
CLE 86, BOS 1030.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.66,0.69,0.72,0.75,0.77,0.77,0.81,0.79,0.82,0.85,0.88,0.88,0.89,0.88,0.84,0.86,0.82,0.81,0.79,0.87,0.9,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.6%
CHI 94, SAS 1330.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.61,0.67,0.72,0.77,0.79,0.84,0.81,0.86,0.85,0.91,0.89,0.9,0.9,0.95,0.89,0.84,0.81,0.81,0.77,0.8,0.9,0.91,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.0%
MIA 71, SEA 1000.5,0.49,0.54,0.61,0.67,0.73,0.75,0.71,0.68,0.75,0.76,0.81,0.84,0.85,0.9,0.89,0.9,0.93,0.9,0.9,0.88,0.85,0.86,0.85,0.86,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.9,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.0%