NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	94		Excitement	2.0 [1291]		MVP	Pau Gasol (SAS): +10.0%
San Antonio Spurs	133		Comeback	1.0 [1295]		LVP	Justin Holiday (CHI): -7.0%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jerian Grant	0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	0.00	0.02	6	69%	0.04	1	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01
Bobby Portis	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	11	63%	0.02	3	0.00	5	100%	-0.00
Robin Lopez	0.00	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.05	-0.00	0.04	11	71%	0.04	3	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Paul Zipser	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quincy Pondexter	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	1	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Cristiano Felicio	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.05	0.00	0.05	5	62%	0.00	0	0.00	3	0%	0.00
Denzel Valentine	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	9	50%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Kay Felder	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.11	0.00	-0.10	11	27%	-0.01	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lauri Markkanen	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	5	60%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kris Dunn	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	0.00	0.04	15	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Justin Holiday	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.10	-0.00	-0.04	10	15%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Pau Gasol	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.17	0.00	0.07	11	87%	0.12	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Rudy Gay	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.11	0.01	0.02	7	83%	0.10	1	-0.00	4	100%	0.00
Bryn Forbes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	-0.00	10	65%	0.06	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Davis Bertans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.18	0.00	0.15	6	114%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Kyle Anderson	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.07	-0.00	0.04	8	68%	0.05	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Brandon Paul	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.09	0.00	0.08	9	79%	0.02	2	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01
LaMarcus Aldridge	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.05	0.00	0.04	11	64%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Patty Mills	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	6	42%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Darrun Hilliard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.07	0.00	-0.07	4	25%	0.00	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Costello	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dejounte Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.04	0.00	0.05	12	61%	0.01	2	-0.01	4	75%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.4	2.5	24.4	15.3	23.5	2.3	25.3	119.7
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +29.8%

SAS +8.5%

SAS +6.8%

SAS +0.3%

SAS +4.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	SAS	NBA	CHI	SAS	NBA
this game	14.4	14.9	14.7	94.9	135.7	107.5
season	14.2	15.5		103.2	106.7
opponent	14.5	15.0		104.1	110.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	15.5	13.0	14.0	14.9	14.4
SAS	13.3	16.5	16.7	13.3	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Quincy Pondexter	29	29	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	0.35	-12	-27	15	14.4	14.3	0.09	13.5	15.5	-2.00
Paul Zipser	15	17	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.26	-11	-28	17	14.5	14.3	0.21	16.0	14.7	1.35
Cristiano Felicio	39	40	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.32	-15	-24	9	14.6	14.2	0.35	14.1	15.4	-1.25
Kay Felder	30	30	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.42	-19	-20	1	13.9	14.6	-0.70	15.0	14.9	0.11
Lauri Markkanen	31	31	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.02	-8	-31	23	14.7	14.2	0.52	14.4	15.1	-0.73
Kris Dunn	52	53	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.20	-15	-24	9	13.7	15.0	-1.31	15.8	13.8	2.09
Bobby Portis	62	60	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.39	-23	-16	-7	13.9	15.1	-1.25	15.0	14.7	0.25
Jerian Grant	66	64	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.27	-21	-18	-3	14.7	13.8	0.89	15.3	14.1	1.22
Justin Holiday	51	50	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	0.09	-15	-24	9	14.4	14.3	0.08	15.0	14.7	0.27
Robin Lopez	56	54	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	0.32	-23	-16	-7	14.5	14.2	0.34	15.7	13.9	1.86
Denzel Valentine	64	62	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.58	-33	-6	-27	14.7	13.7	0.99	13.7	16.9	-3.12

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Pau Gasol	55	55	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.28	22	17	5	15.2	14.5	0.67	14.6	14.0	0.64
LaMarcus Aldridge	42	43	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.12	16	23	-7	15.8	14.2	1.65	15.0	13.9	1.06
Kyle Anderson	50	51	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.12	16	23	-7	15.3	14.5	0.84	14.2	14.6	-0.41
Brandon Paul	53	54	0.31	0.19	0.11	-0.37	23	16	7	14.6	15.2	-0.54	13.4	15.5	-2.08
Rudy Gay	39	40	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.35	22	17	5	14.3	15.3	-0.96	13.2	15.1	-1.94
Dejounte Murray	53	52	0.30	0.20	0.09	-0.64	32	7	25	13.9	16.1	-2.22	13.8	14.9	-1.11
Bryn Forbes	68	69	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.45	23	16	7	15.1	14.5	0.61	14.9	13.1	1.75
Patty Mills	39	40	0.20	0.30	-0.09	-0.09	10	29	-19	16.1	14.1	1.93	15.3	13.7	1.59
Darrun Hilliard	31	31	0.12	0.38	-0.26	-0.26	13	26	-13	14.5	15.1	-0.54	14.8	14.1	0.66
Matt Costello	22	21	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.21	7	32	-25	14.4	15.0	-0.62	14.2	14.4	-0.21
Davis Bertans	38	39	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	-0.34	11	28	-17	14.3	15.3	-0.98	14.6	14.2	0.35

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.61,0.67,0.72,0.77,0.79,0.84,0.81,0.86,0.85,0.91,0.89,0.9,0.9,0.95,0.89,0.84,0.81,0.81,0.77,0.8,0.9,0.91,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 86, BOS 103	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.66,0.69,0.72,0.75,0.77,0.77,0.81,0.79,0.82,0.85,0.88,0.88,0.89,0.88,0.84,0.86,0.82,0.81,0.79,0.87,0.9,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.3%
MIA 68, POR 106	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.62,0.69,0.67,0.72,0.75,0.77,0.8,0.81,0.81,0.83,0.88,0.89,0.9,0.88,0.93,0.89,0.81,0.81,0.82,0.83,0.86,0.94,0.93,0.92,0.94,0.89,0.94,0.92,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.0%
CHI 75, DET 107	0.5,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.59,0.66,0.68,0.72,0.75,0.78,0.84,0.81,0.75,0.81,0.83,0.85,0.89,0.91,0.86,0.88,0.83,0.84,0.83,0.87,0.93,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.6%