NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	75		Excitement	1.8 [780]		MVP	Don Reid (DET): +7.3%
Detroit Pistons	107		Comeback	1.0 [746]		LVP	Rusty LaRue (CHI): -5.2%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mark Bryant	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	0.00	0.02	11	64%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dickey Simpkins	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	9	70%	0.06	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
Cory Carr	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	7	50%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bill Wennington	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	7	29%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brent Barry	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	7	43%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Kornel David	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	10	60%	0.01	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Keith Booth	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.09	0.00	-0.05	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.02	2	0%	0.00
Charles R. Jones	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	10	36%	-0.04	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00
Toni Kukoc	-0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.08	0.00	-0.03	7	33%	-0.04	1	-0.01	4	50%	-0.00
Rusty LaRue	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.12	0.00	-0.07	6	31%	-0.03	4	-0.02	1	100%	0.00

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Don Reid	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.11	0.00	0.03	9	78%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Dumars	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.14	0.00	0.07	9	90%	0.09	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Bison Dele	0,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	0.00	0.01	7	86%	0.07	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jerome Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	-0.00	4	73%	0.04	0	0.00	7	71%	0.01
Grant Hill	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.06	14	53%	0.03	2	-0.00	6	33%	-0.02
Lindsey Hunter	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.10	0.00	-0.12	12	42%	0.05	4	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Christian Laettner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	0.00	0.02	4	69%	0.00	0	0.00	8	75%	0.01
Eric Montross	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	3	67%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Loy Vaught	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	2	40%	0.00	0	0.00	1	0%	0.00
Khalid Reeves	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.10	0.00	-0.09	1	17%	-0.00	2	0.00	4	25%	-0.00
Jud Buechler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	0.00	0.04	5	60%	-0.03	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.3	2.3	25.4	15.5	26.5	2.4	28.5	123.0
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +33.5%

DET +6.1%

CHI -2.5%

DET +10.9%

DET +2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	DET	NBA	CHI	DET	NBA
this game	17.4	14.8	15.8	84.3	118.9	99.6
season	16.7	16.6		90.6	101.4
opponent	16.1	15.4		97.9	101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	16.2	17.9	21.1	15.1	17.4
DET	12.1	16.4	14.9	16.2	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bill Wennington	26	27	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.06	2	-34	36	17.1	17.5	-0.41	15.8	14.3	1.47
Rusty LaRue	36	36	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	0.28	-11	-21	10	15.4	18.8	-3.43	15.9	14.0	1.93
Kornel David	48	50	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.21	-11	-21	10	16.8	18.1	-1.38	16.6	12.5	4.03
Cory Carr	46	49	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.25	-13	-19	6	15.4	19.5	-4.12	16.3	13.0	3.29
Keith Booth	25	27	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.12	-10	-22	12	14.8	18.4	-3.62	13.7	15.3	-1.60
Dickey Simpkins	61	60	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.41	-25	-7	-18	18.4	15.2	3.14	15.4	13.5	1.93
Charles R. Jones	53	51	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.21	-20	-12	-8	18.8	15.3	3.52	13.4	16.6	-3.13
Toni Kukoc	41	40	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.23	-21	-11	-10	18.1	16.8	1.38	12.5	16.6	-4.03
Brent Barry	48	48	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	0.20	-22	-10	-12	18.9	15.6	3.33	13.8	15.9	-2.09
Mark Bryant	61	62	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	0.35	-29	-3	-26	17.9	16.4	1.48	14.2	16.0	-1.81

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Grant Hill	64	64	0.49	0.01	0.48	-0.33	28	4	24	13.0	19.2	-6.25	18.0	15.9	2.06
Joe Dumars	48	48	0.43	0.07	0.35	-0.13	19	13	6	13.9	15.8	-1.91	19.3	15.2	4.05
Lindsey Hunter	69	69	0.42	0.08	0.33	-0.35	26	6	20	14.3	16.3	-2.01	17.9	15.7	2.13
Don Reid	62	62	0.40	0.10	0.31	-0.51	31	1	30	14.4	15.6	-1.24	18.6	14.6	4.04
Bison Dele	30	30	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.15	15	17	-2	14.9	14.7	0.17	18.9	16.6	2.31
Christian Laettner	39	38	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.10	3	29	-26	13.9	15.5	-1.62	17.3	17.5	-0.15
Jud Buechler	55	53	0.13	0.37	-0.23	-0.28	14	18	-4	16.6	12.0	4.56	15.7	19.9	-4.17
Jerome Williams	46	44	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.19	11	21	-10	16.1	13.4	2.66	15.4	19.3	-3.90
Khalid Reeves	17	17	0.02	0.48	-0.45	-0.09	4	28	-24	16.5	14.4	2.15	15.9	17.8	-1.88
Loy Vaught	8	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.12	4	28	-24	16.1	14.7	1.47	13.0	17.8	-4.84
Eric Montross	12	12	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.15	5	27	-22	18.9	14.2	4.76	14.0	17.9	-3.94

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.59,0.66,0.68,0.72,0.75,0.78,0.84,0.81,0.75,0.81,0.83,0.85,0.89,0.91,0.86,0.88,0.83,0.84,0.83,0.87,0.93,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 86, BOS 103	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.66,0.69,0.72,0.75,0.77,0.77,0.81,0.79,0.82,0.85,0.88,0.88,0.89,0.88,0.84,0.86,0.82,0.81,0.79,0.87,0.9,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.6%
GSW 91, POR 122	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.57,0.63,0.66,0.71,0.74,0.75,0.77,0.79,0.81,0.83,0.78,0.82,0.86,0.87,0.87,0.86,0.84,0.81,0.79,0.88,0.91,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.5%
SAC 89, OKC 102	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.71,0.75,0.8,0.8,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.86,0.82,0.84,0.9,0.86,0.79,0.8,0.84,0.88,0.82,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.5%