NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	91		Excitement	2.2 [1222]		MVP	Shawn Kemp (POR): +5.9%
Portland Trail Blazers	122		Comeback	1.0 [1247]		LVP	Arvydas Sabonis (POR): -6.0%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mookie Blaylock	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	5	90%	0.06	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Vonteego Cummings	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.06	0.00	-0.07	9	39%	0.03	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Larry Hughes	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.08	0.00	-0.09	18	45%	0.01	3	-0.00	4	100%	0.01
Adam Keefe	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corie Blount	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	4	75%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marc Jackson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	9	58%	-0.01	2	0.00	6	50%	0.01
Antawn Jamison	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	0.00	0.04	20	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.00
Erick Dampier	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	5	42%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Bob Sura	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	0.00	-0.03	3	0%	-0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Adonal Foyle	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	11	36%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Porter	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.14	0.00	-0.09	8	11%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shawn Kemp	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.11	0.00	0.05	4	100%	0.06	0	0.00	6	100%	0.01
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	-0.00	0.00	9	61%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scottie Pippen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.00	-0.03	8	69%	0.07	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Bonzi Wells	0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.10	0.00	0.06	10	78%	0.04	1	-0.00	3	100%	0.01
Detlef Schrempf	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.07	6	50%	0.05	2	-0.02	2	50%	0.00
Dale Davis	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	0.00	0.02	9	60%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Damon Stoudamire	0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.09	0.00	0.07	14	61%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steven Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.02	12	58%	0.03	2	-0.02	7	86%	0.01
Erick Barkley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	7	43%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stacey Augmon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	3	67%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Arvydas Sabonis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.10	0.00	-0.04	9	20%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.3	1.7	25.2	15.5	20.4	1.7	26.2	118.0
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +27.1%

POR +7.2%

POR +6.7%

POR +5.4%

POR +3.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	POR	NBA	GSW	POR	NBA
this game	14.5	15.5	15.5	94.8	127.1	100.9
season	15.0	15.8		95.3	103.9
opponent	15.8	14.9		100.3	104.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	17.0	13.3	16.4	11.8	14.5
POR	15.0	17.4	15.5	14.3	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Adam Keefe	7	7	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-29	27	14.3	14.5	-0.22	14.7	15.6	-0.86
Corie Blount	34	35	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	0.08	-3	-28	25	12.2	15.8	-3.58	14.9	15.9	-1.03
Marc Jackson	36	36	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.08	1	-32	33	12.0	16.0	-4.03	15.9	15.3	0.61
Erick Dampier	28	29	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.08	-6	-25	19	13.9	14.7	-0.84	16.3	15.2	1.10
Vonteego Cummings	49	50	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	0.19	-10	-21	11	13.6	15.4	-1.83	15.4	15.6	-0.19
Chris Porter	44	45	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.09	-3	-28	25	14.2	14.7	-0.53	14.6	16.3	-1.63
Bob Sura	28	28	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	0.42	-25	-6	-19	17.9	13.1	4.80	15.6	15.5	0.09
Mookie Blaylock	47	46	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	0.22	-21	-10	-11	15.4	13.6	1.83	15.6	15.4	0.19
Adonal Foyle	49	47	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.36	-26	-5	-21	15.9	13.0	2.96	15.5	15.5	-0.04
Larry Hughes	73	72	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	0.47	-32	1	-33	15.2	12.2	2.99	16.0	14.1	1.85
Antawn Jamison	85	85	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	0.34	-28	-3	-25	14.3	16.2	-1.91	15.5	15.7	-0.24

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rasheed Wallace	44	44	0.47	0.03	0.44	-0.50	33	-2	35	15.3	15.7	-0.44	16.6	12.7	3.88
Damon Stoudamire	54	55	0.41	0.09	0.33	-0.50	31	0	31	15.1	16.0	-0.96	16.2	12.2	4.05
Scottie Pippen	54	54	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.36	26	5	21	15.8	15.1	0.74	15.6	13.0	2.56
Bonzi Wells	45	45	0.40	0.10	0.29	-0.48	30	1	29	15.3	15.7	-0.42	16.7	12.5	4.18
Dale Davis	61	61	0.24	0.26	-0.03	-0.12	12	19	-7	16.2	14.3	1.93	14.6	14.2	0.41
Shawn Kemp	32	33	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.27	17	14	3	14.4	16.0	-1.61	14.3	14.6	-0.28
Steven Smith	64	64	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.01	6	25	-19	15.9	14.7	1.23	12.9	17.7	-4.75
Detlef Schrempf	54	53	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.05	3	28	-25	15.5	15.5	0.06	12.5	16.9	-4.34
Arvydas Sabonis	30	30	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.00	1	30	-29	16.8	14.9	1.88	13.0	15.2	-2.22
Erick Barkley	20	19	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	32	-33	14.4	15.8	-1.34	11.6	15.2	-3.56
Stacey Augmon	22	22	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	34	-37	14.2	15.9	-1.66	12.4	15.1	-2.76

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.57,0.63,0.66,0.71,0.74,0.75,0.77,0.79,0.81,0.83,0.78,0.82,0.86,0.87,0.87,0.86,0.84,0.81,0.79,0.88,0.91,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 75, DET 107	0.5,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.59,0.66,0.68,0.72,0.75,0.78,0.84,0.81,0.75,0.81,0.83,0.85,0.89,0.91,0.86,0.88,0.83,0.84,0.83,0.87,0.93,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.5%
MIN 83, DAL 103	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.62,0.61,0.63,0.69,0.71,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.81,0.82,0.8,0.82,0.86,0.82,0.84,0.79,0.82,0.79,0.77,0.84,0.88,0.91,0.94,0.93,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.5%
LAL 87, HOU 99	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.66,0.72,0.71,0.75,0.79,0.76,0.75,0.75,0.76,0.82,0.79,0.77,0.88,0.84,0.84,0.85,0.84,0.82,0.87,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.3%