inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 71 Excitement2.6 [1213] MVPPredrag Drobnjak (SEA): +6.9%
Seattle SuperSonics 100 Comeback1.0 [1192] LVPCaron Butler (MIA): -7.6%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Eddie House0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.000.01-0.031350%0.051-0.012100%0.00
Rasual Butler0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.050.000.031659%0.022-0.0000%0.00
LaPhonso Ellis-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.000.00150%-0.0100.002100%0.00
Anthony Carter-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.0100%0.001-0.0100%0.00
Travis Best-0.010,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.060.00-0.05520%-0.0110.0000%0.00
Sean Lampley-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.050.00-0.0230%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Brian Grant-0.020,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.050.00-0.03333%-0.002-0.0200%0.00
Malik Allen-0.030,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.080.00-0.06325%-0.012-0.0220%0.00
Eddie Jones-0.060,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.100.00-0.04828%-0.032-0.032100%0.01
Mike James-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.00-0.001535%-0.0700.00475%-0.00
Vladimir Stepania-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.110.00-0.04212%-0.062-0.02425%-0.03
Caron Butler-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.10-0.00-0.021733%-0.061-0.012100%0.00

Seattle SuperSonics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Predrag Drobnjak0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.020.01-0.041050%0.0700.0000%0.00
Kenny Anderson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.020.03-0.01475%0.071-0.0100%0.00
Gary Payton0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.040.01-0.011164%0.071-0.01633%-0.01
Rashard Lewis0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.04-0.020.00-0.061150%0.051-0.01475%0.01
Brent Barry0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.010.00-0.021052%0.041-0.011100%0.00
Reggie Evans0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.030.000.01371%0.0200.001100%0.00
Ansu Sesay0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Joseph Forte0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Calvin Booth0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.010.00-0.01150%-0.0000.002100%0.00
Desmond Mason0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.040.00-0.021245%-0.0200.00757%-0.01
Vladimir Radmanovic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.060.090.000.141179%-0.013-0.052100%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game47.22.529.315.727.52.028.0152.0
league avg46.12.328.014.724.52.329.9149.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SEA +48.0%
SEA +4.6%
MIA -7.6%
SEA +4.5%
SEA +0.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIASEANBAMIASEANBA
this game18.615.515.584.5117.6101.6
season16.316.594.6101.7
opponent15.615.9102.0100.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIA19.818.916.319.418.6
SEA13.017.216.515.615.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Sean Lampley16180.03-0.530.56-0.063-323519.018.50.5315.215.6-0.39
Anthony Carter99-0.06-0.440.390.03-3-262317.218.7-1.5117.215.31.89
Vladimir Stepania2425-0.09-0.410.32-0.090-292917.219.1-1.9717.014.92.08
Caron Butler4849-0.10-0.400.29-0.02-3-262317.619.8-2.1615.915.10.82
LaPhonso Ellis1818-0.10-0.400.29-0.100-292917.518.9-1.3619.814.45.39
Mike James4546-0.13-0.370.24-0.161-303118.019.3-1.3316.514.42.16
Rasual Butler5252-0.23-0.270.050.24-16-13-318.119.4-1.3014.916.5-1.61
Eddie House3536-0.24-0.260.030.18-14-15119.617.81.8115.115.8-0.68
Travis Best3030-0.32-0.18-0.130.48-27-2-2519.917.82.0713.516.6-3.14
Brian Grant4444-0.38-0.12-0.260.50-301-3119.617.42.1914.316.9-2.61
Malik Allen4443-0.39-0.11-0.270.55-323-3520.017.03.0014.216.9-2.72
Eddie Jones5555-0.510.01-0.520.20-24-5-1918.019.6-1.5516.214.41.80

Seattle SuperSonics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Rashard Lewis65630.410.090.33-0.141910915.715.10.5618.120.0-1.90
Gary Payton67660.410.090.33-0.352632315.017.6-2.5718.718.20.44
Reggie Evans38390.370.130.24-0.131712514.816.1-1.2917.719.3-1.64
Predrag Drobnjak44440.360.140.22-0.081514114.316.8-2.4618.618.50.04
Brent Barry54530.350.150.210.031118-714.816.7-1.9118.219.2-0.99
Desmond Mason48480.210.29-0.07-0.291712516.015.00.9919.018.10.90
Kenny Anderson20190.150.35-0.20-0.05722-1517.814.83.0319.318.40.96
Calvin Booth35340.130.37-0.24-0.341613317.114.42.6519.118.20.92
Vladimir Radmanovic42410.090.41-0.32-0.231118-716.514.61.9719.218.01.22
Ansu Sesay670.000.50-0.50-0.09326-2314.015.6-1.6519.718.51.25
Joseph Forte660.000.50-0.50-0.09326-2314.015.6-1.6517.218.7-1.51


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.61,0.67,0.73,0.75,0.71,0.68,0.75,0.76,0.81,0.84,0.85,0.9,0.89,0.9,0.93,0.9,0.9,0.88,0.85,0.86,0.85,0.86,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.9,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
BOS 88, WAS 1010.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.64,0.71,0.69,0.66,0.71,0.74,0.76,0.8,0.8,0.82,0.86,0.86,0.85,0.91,0.91,0.89,0.91,0.93,0.93,0.92,0.92,0.91,0.94,0.93,0.91,0.96,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.0%
CHI 70, WAS 870.5,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.68,0.67,0.69,0.68,0.7,0.76,0.73,0.77,0.8,0.85,0.9,0.92,0.88,0.91,0.88,0.91,0.89,0.9,0.9,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.96,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.0%
MIA 68, POR 1060.5,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.62,0.69,0.67,0.72,0.75,0.77,0.8,0.81,0.81,0.83,0.88,0.89,0.9,0.88,0.93,0.89,0.81,0.81,0.82,0.83,0.86,0.94,0.93,0.92,0.94,0.89,0.94,0.92,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.0%