NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	81		Excitement	8.0 [260]		MVP	Erick Dampier (DAL): +15.6%
Memphis Grizzlies	80		Comeback	16.8 [47]		LVP	Mike Miller (MEM): -24.7%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Erick Dampier	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.16	0.04	0.12	0.00	1	75%	0.16	0	0.00	6	67%	0.00
Josh Howard	0.10	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.05	0.05	0.00	10	68%	0.18	3	-0.08	8	87%	0.02
Jason Terry	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,0.17,0.05	0.03	0.03	0.01	15	50%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeSagana Diop	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	2	67%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Darrell Armstrong	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.2,-0.31,-0.01	-0.08	0.07	0.00	18	45%	0.12	4	-0.13	4	100%	0.15
Marquis Daniels	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adrian Griffin	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Keith Van Horn	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	6	50%	0.02	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Devin Harris	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	2	33%	-0.02	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Jerry Stackhouse	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.07,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	13	33%	-0.07	2	-0.08	1	0%	-0.02

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chucky Atkins	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,-0.02,0.12	0.12	0.07	0.05	-0.01	9	75%	0.35	3	-0.23	6	67%	-0.19
Shane Battier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.04	-0.01	6	62%	0.10	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Brian Cardinal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.00	3	75%	0.05	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Lorenzen Wright	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	2	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jake Tsakalidis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Pau Gasol	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	0.03	-0.09	0.01	22	49%	-0.04	1	-0.03	9	89%	0.02
Bobby Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.11	-0.02	-0.01	8	12%	-0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Jones	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.16,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.15	-0.05	-0.01	10	20%	-0.09	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Mike Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0,0,-0.25	-0.25	-0.08	-0.17	-0.01	12	36%	-0.20	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.1	2.4	30.6	18.0	24.0	2.5	35.5	138.1
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM -2.6%

DAL +35.0%

DAL +15.4%

DAL +4.9%

MEM -2.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	MEM	NBA	DAL	MEM	NBA
this game	16.8	16.0	15.6	92.0	90.9	104.4
season	16.4	17.1		109.0	103.5
opponent	15.7	15.6		100.0	102.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	15.4	17.4	17.9	16.3	16.8
MEM	15.2	16.0	14.8	18.0	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Terry	68	68	0.86	-0.36	1.22	0.54	11	-10	21	16.2	18.7	-2.59	17.0	12.6	4.37
Josh Howard	65	66	0.71	-0.21	0.93	0.48	8	-7	15	16.2	18.3	-2.10	15.7	16.8	-1.12
Adrian Griffin	52	53	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.65	-3	4	-7	17.9	15.1	2.77	15.5	16.6	-1.08
Erick Dampier	36	37	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.24	10	-9	19	17.1	16.5	0.56	16.7	15.5	1.21
Dirk Nowitzki	68	68	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.50	-2	3	-5	16.9	16.2	0.71	16.0	15.8	0.16
Marquis Daniels	8	8	0.06	0.44	-0.39	-0.03	3	-2	5	15.7	16.8	-1.10	17.9	15.8	2.09
Jerry Stackhouse	47	44	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.13	-6	7	-13	16.0	17.6	-1.61	16.0	15.9	0.14
Devin Harris	22	22	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	-0.04	-1	2	-3	18.7	16.1	2.64	14.2	16.6	-2.39
DeSagana Diop	41	42	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	-0.00	-4	5	-9	16.5	16.9	-0.40	16.0	15.9	0.09
Darrell Armstrong	3	2	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	-0.01	-5	6	-11	8.3	17.0	-8.71	12.5	16.1	-3.56
Keith Van Horn	30	30	-0.29	0.79	-1.07	-0.11	-6	7	-13	17.7	16.3	1.39	15.0	16.5	-1.43

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brian Cardinal	44	44	0.32	-0.82	1.13	0.11	7	-8	15	16.7	15.2	1.55	16.8	16.7	0.14
Lorenzen Wright	30	30	0.23	-0.73	0.97	0.03	7	-8	15	15.2	16.4	-1.23	17.2	16.5	0.68
Bobby Jackson	37	37	0.01	-0.51	0.53	0.07	-2	1	-3	16.8	15.4	1.34	16.8	16.7	0.15
Jake Tsakalidis	14	14	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.01	-2	1	-3	14.8	16.2	-1.42	16.6	16.8	-0.21
Shane Battier	70	71	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.54	5	-6	11	15.1	19.4	-4.29	17.1	15.2	1.88
Eddie Jones	60	59	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.46	-1	0	-1	16.3	15.3	1.01	16.7	16.8	-0.01
Mike Miller	60	61	-0.62	0.12	-0.73	-0.47	-5	4	-9	16.3	15.3	0.96	16.3	17.8	-1.54
Chucky Atkins	54	55	-0.64	0.14	-0.77	-0.55	-3	2	-5	15.6	16.6	-0.95	16.6	17.0	-0.40
Pau Gasol	71	69	-0.87	0.37	-1.24	-0.55	-11	10	-21	16.3	14.7	1.58	16.7	17.1	-0.39

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.41,0.43,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.28,0.3,0.34,0.36,0.38,0.37,0.41,0.44,0.46,0.36,0.33,0.37,0.49,0.37,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.45,0.55,0.69,0.73,0.77,0.75,0.81,0.84,0.9,0.86,0.77,0.83,0.86,0.91,0.85,0.64,0.76,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 97, TOR 96	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.37,0.35,0.33,0.36,0.35,0.32,0.31,0.38,0.4,0.47,0.51,0.58,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.33,0.42,0.34,0.34,0.42,0.4,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.73,0.74,0.85,0.85,0.87,0.85,0.86,0.94,0.83,0.85,0.73,0.81,0.72,0.76,0.42,0	93.0%
ORL 100, WAS 96	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.45,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.37,0.42,0.34,0.32,0.28,0.26,0.34,0.29,0.29,0.31,0.27,0.27,0.42,0.46,0.4,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.72,0.81,0.9,0.85,0.83,0.92,0.92,0.81,0.87,0.86,0.54,0.55,0.58,0	91.2%
MIL 93, CHA 89	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.37,0.38,0.39,0.35,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.41,0.5,0.51,0.43,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.62,0.78,0.77,0.71,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.79,0.67,0.63,0.79,0.88,0.83,0.86,0.96,0.77,0.59,0	91.1%