inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Orlando Magic 100 Excitement8.1 [182] MVPPat Garrity (ORL): +30.4%
Washington Wizards 96 Comeback12.0 [69] LVPMitch Richmond (WAS): -27.2%


Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Pat Garrity0.300,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.04,0.30.070.23-0.00771%0.3000.0000%0.00
Tracy McGrady0.100,0,0.02,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.020.05-0.032152%0.131-0.036100%0.06
Darrell Armstrong0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.07,-0.01,-0.01,0.060.070.010.011162%0.0600.004100%0.02
Mike Miller0.060,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.06-0.00-0.00871%0.101-0.0410%-0.01
Don Reid-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,00.01-0.010.00175%-0.0000.00250%-0.03
Monty Williams-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.010.00275%0.032-0.054100%0.02
Michael Doleac-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.00-0.00729%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Andrew DeClercq-0.050,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.03-0.010.01333%-0.031-0.0200%0.00
Troy Hudson-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06-0.05-0.01-0.01636%-0.021-0.042100%0.03
John Amaechi-0.100,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.06-0.040.00845%-0.052-0.06475%-0.00
Bo Outlaw-0.160,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.06,-0.16,-0.16-0.02-0.15-0.00557%-0.141-0.02450%-0.02

Washington Wizards
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Calvin Booth0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.20.200.090.11-0.00975%0.2000.00667%-0.02
Chris Whitney0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.020.01-0.011452%0.081-0.031100%0.01
Popeye Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Michael Smith0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.03-0.00-0.00567%0.073-0.092100%0.01
Jahidi White0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.00-0.030.00360%-0.0300.00450%-0.05
Tyrone Nesby0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.05-0.02956%0.092-0.1200%0.00
Rod Strickland0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.04-0.00-0.0010%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Juwan Howard0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.26,-0.26-0.26-0.12-0.140.001741%-0.183-0.087100%0.04
Richard Hamilton0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.27-0.27-0.10-0.150.011536%-0.102-0.16367%0.01
Mitch Richmond0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.11,-0.29,-0.27-0.27-0.10-0.18-0.011133%-0.232-0.042100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.22.731.215.523.42.435.6136.9
league avg28.82.228.916.626.22.233.1139.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ORL +38.5%
ORL +7.3%
WAS -17.6%
ORL +24.6%
WAS -2.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsORLWASNBAORLWASNBA
this game14.817.115.5108.7107.9100.9
season14.615.2101.698.6
opponent15.215.8105.5100.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
ORL13.013.917.415.014.8
WAS16.316.916.019.317.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Bo Outlaw80780.78-0.281.060.548-41214.913.51.4517.017.8-0.82
Darrell Armstrong61620.64-0.140.790.505-1614.714.8-0.1217.715.81.90
Don Reid16160.52-0.020.540.1712-82015.714.61.1221.016.24.75
Tracy McGrady75750.440.060.380.4113-214.416.4-2.0317.614.43.17
Pat Garrity41370.400.100.290.168-41215.614.11.4918.016.51.49
Michael Doleac28260.210.29-0.080.24-15-614.614.8-0.1716.417.4-1.01
Troy Hudson34290.100.40-0.300.0713-214.015.2-1.2115.417.9-2.50
Mike Miller42440.010.49-0.48-0.0831215.514.21.2716.617.6-0.92
Andrew DeClercq1516-0.010.51-0.520.05-26-818.114.13.9516.217.3-1.04
John Amaechi3130-0.260.76-1.02-0.11-59-1413.715.3-1.5916.117.6-1.46
Monty Williams3732-0.330.83-1.16-0.04-1014-2413.415.7-2.2716.217.6-1.43

Washington Wizards
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Richard Hamilton46480.14-0.640.78-0.098-122016.617.7-1.0614.914.60.33
Jahidi White20220.02-0.520.540.08-2-2020.016.23.8014.214.9-0.76
Rod Strickland1416-0.12-0.380.26-0.00-40-415.117.5-2.4115.214.70.52
Popeye Jones1416-0.12-0.380.26-0.00-40-415.117.5-2.4115.214.70.52
Tyrone Nesby4751-0.16-0.340.18-0.05-40-417.816.31.5414.615.0-0.43
Michael Smith5857-0.20-0.300.09-0.200-4416.618.0-1.4315.014.30.72
Calvin Booth5452-0.36-0.14-0.22-0.422-6816.617.9-1.3915.413.91.52
Chris Whitney7576-0.38-0.12-0.26-0.380-4417.515.12.4114.715.2-0.52
Juwan Howard7073-0.47-0.03-0.44-0.41-2-2016.818.2-1.4114.615.5-0.90
Mitch Richmond4749-0.840.34-1.19-0.43-1410-2417.916.21.7214.215.4-1.23


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.45,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.37,0.42,0.34,0.32,0.28,0.26,0.34,0.29,0.29,0.31,0.27,0.27,0.42,0.46,0.4,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.72,0.81,0.9,0.85,0.83,0.92,0.92,0.81,0.87,0.86,0.54,0.55,0.58,0
GameSimilarity Score
DAL 81, MEM 800.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.41,0.43,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.28,0.3,0.34,0.36,0.38,0.37,0.41,0.44,0.46,0.36,0.33,0.37,0.49,0.37,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.45,0.55,0.69,0.73,0.77,0.75,0.81,0.84,0.9,0.86,0.77,0.83,0.86,0.91,0.85,0.64,0.76,0.42,091.2%
MIN 94, PHI 900.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.44,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.34,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.44,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.64,0.7,0.72,0.86,0.8,0.9,0.86,0.91,0.94,0.89,0.72,0.78,0.58,091.1%
PHX 113, LAL 1100.5,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.39,0.34,0.37,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.34,0.32,0.32,0.36,0.29,0.29,0.32,0.25,0.34,0.31,0.44,0.27,0.33,0.37,0.29,0.28,0.24,0.36,0.42,0.45,0.58,0.59,0.67,0.68,0.58,0.7,0.68,0.8,0.81,0.92,0.97,0.91,0.75,0.72,0.43,0.58,090.9%