NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	94		Excitement	8.0 [214]		MVP	Doug Overton (PHI): +12.9%
Philadelphia 76ers	90		Comeback	17.1 [42]		LVP	Jerry Stackhouse (PHI): -23.5%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stanley Roberts	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.08	-0.04	0.12	-0.00	4	30%	0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Cherokee Parks	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.01	-0.01	9	60%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Chris Carr	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.03	-0.00	7	56%	0.06	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
DeJuan Wheat	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Jordan	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Mitchell	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.02	-0.01	3	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.02
Stephon Marbury	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.08,-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	8	54%	-0.04	0	0.00	10	70%	0.01
Kevin Garnett	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.03	-0.04	17	42%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Tom Gugliotta	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.13,-0.07,0.01,-0.06	0.00	-0.06	-0.01	25	56%	0.05	4	-0.11	4	100%	0.07
Terry Porter	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.11	-0.05	0.00	10	20%	-0.12	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Doug Overton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.04	0.09	0.00	4	75%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jim Jackson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.03	0.03	-0.03	11	50%	0.08	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.03
Eric Montross	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	9	44%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scott Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	5	36%	-0.03	1	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01
Clar. Weatherspoon	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.04	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.05
Tim Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.01	-0.00	7	37%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Mark Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.03	-0.01	6	36%	-0.03	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.02
Terry Cummings	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.02	-0.10	0.00	9	45%	-0.12	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.05
Allen Iverson	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.06,-0.15	-0.15	0.00	-0.15	0.00	17	52%	-0.12	1	-0.04	8	62%	0.01
Jerry Stackhouse	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.15,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.24	-0.24	-0.16	-0.09	-0.01	11	41%	-0.08	5	-0.16	7	43%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.3	25.5	15.6	23.9	1.7	41.0	133.3
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +15.1%

MIN +8.0%

MIN +19.0%

MIN +9.0%

PHI -1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	PHI	NBA	MIN	PHI	NBA
this game	14.8	15.2	15.6	97.9	93.8	102.5
season	14.8	15.4		105.3	99.7
opponent	15.5	15.7		102.1	104.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	14.5	14.6	15.6	14.5	14.8
PHI	14.8	14.8	13.7	17.4	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tom Gugliotta	85	84	0.81	-0.31	1.11	0.40	14	-10	24	14.4	18.0	-3.58	15.3	14.3	0.95
Stanley Roberts	42	44	0.78	-0.28	1.06	0.51	9	-5	14	15.3	14.5	0.85	16.6	14.0	2.59
Chris Carr	54	55	0.75	-0.25	0.99	0.45	10	-6	16	15.2	14.4	0.80	16.6	13.2	3.36
Stephon Marbury	80	81	0.66	-0.16	0.83	0.40	9	-5	14	15.3	12.2	3.10	15.7	12.5	3.12
Kevin Garnett	70	71	0.60	-0.10	0.69	0.51	3	1	2	14.9	14.8	0.09	15.8	13.2	2.61
Reggie Jordan	3	2	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.04	-1	5	-6	0.0	15.3	-15.31	5.5	15.4	-9.87
DeJuan Wheat	16	15	-0.16	0.66	-0.83	-0.02	-5	9	-14	12.2	15.3	-3.10	12.5	15.7	-3.12
Terry Porter	39	39	-0.26	0.76	-1.02	-0.11	-5	9	-14	15.5	14.4	1.10	13.6	16.2	-2.57
Cherokee Parks	46	44	-0.32	0.82	-1.15	-0.15	-6	10	-16	15.6	14.2	1.41	14.0	16.2	-2.24
Sam Mitchell	45	45	-0.36	0.86	-1.22	-0.12	-8	12	-20	14.4	15.2	-0.86	13.7	16.5	-2.78

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tim Thomas	34	34	0.28	-0.78	1.06	0.13	5	-9	14	13.2	16.2	-3.04	13.5	15.5	-2.02
Scott Williams	42	41	0.27	-0.77	1.04	0.13	5	-9	14	14.2	15.9	-1.69	15.3	14.5	0.89
Doug Overton	19	19	0.26	-0.76	1.02	0.06	7	-11	18	15.3	15.1	0.12	18.4	14.0	4.41
Mark Davis	31	32	0.17	-0.67	0.84	0.14	1	-5	6	15.2	15.2	0.04	16.2	14.1	2.08
Eric Montross	42	42	0.10	-0.60	0.70	-0.08	6	-10	16	15.0	15.3	-0.34	15.2	14.5	0.72
Clar. Weatherspoon	58	60	-0.58	0.08	-0.67	-0.44	-5	1	-6	15.7	14.3	1.45	14.9	14.7	0.22
Terry Cummings	46	45	-0.63	0.13	-0.77	-0.31	-11	7	-18	16.2	14.2	1.98	15.2	14.5	0.61
Jim Jackson	64	63	-0.69	0.19	-0.88	-0.52	-6	2	-8	15.2	15.1	0.06	14.3	15.9	-1.64
Allen Iverson	77	77	-0.76	0.26	-1.02	-0.44	-11	7	-18	15.1	15.3	-0.12	14.0	18.4	-4.41
Jerry Stackhouse	67	67	-0.92	0.42	-1.33	-0.59	-11	7	-18	15.6	14.1	1.57	14.5	15.6	-1.08

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.44,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.34,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.44,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.64,0.7,0.72,0.86,0.8,0.9,0.86,0.91,0.94,0.89,0.72,0.78,0.58,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 121, DAL 118	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.41,0.42,0.43,0.41,0.37,0.35,0.35,0.44,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.34,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.37,0.44,0.66,0.85,0.75,0.8,0.81,0.74,0.81,0.78,0.89,0.96,0.9,0.74,0	91.6%
SAC 110, WAS 108	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.5,0.48,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.55,0.45,0.42,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.38,0.36,0.38,0.39,0.37,0.34,0.31,0.36,0.39,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.58,0.69,0.59,0.67,0.6,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.67,0.81,0.69,0.76,0.78,0.81,0.79,0.43,0.58,0	91.2%
ORL 100, WAS 96	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.45,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.37,0.42,0.34,0.32,0.28,0.26,0.34,0.29,0.29,0.31,0.27,0.27,0.42,0.46,0.4,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.72,0.81,0.9,0.85,0.83,0.92,0.92,0.81,0.87,0.86,0.54,0.55,0.58,0	91.1%