NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	121		Excitement	9.2 [126]		MVP	Boris Diaw (PHX): +82.3%
Dallas Mavericks	118		Comeback	32.2 [24]		LVP	Leandro Barbosa (PHX): -20.9%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Boris Diaw	0.82	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.22,0.19,0.27,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.82	0.14	0.67	-0.02	23	61%	0.94	3	-0.12	10	80%	0.01
Steve Nash	0.22	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.04,0.22,0.22	0.12	0.10	0.01	18	69%	0.30	3	-0.08	3	100%	0.01
Shawn Marion	0.19	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.19	0.09	0.12	0.03	15	71%	0.29	3	-0.10	4	100%	0.02
Raja Bell	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.05	0.03	-0.00	5	67%	0.09	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Tim Thomas	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	0.00	0.01	11	61%	0.08	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.01
James Jones	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddie House	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	60%	0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Leandro Barbosa	-0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.18	-0.06	-0.02	7	17%	-0.11	4	-0.09	4	25%	-0.06

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Devin Harris	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.27,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.46	0.46	0.18	0.30	0.01	17	73%	0.67	3	-0.21	7	86%	0.01
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.04	0.07	-0.01	18	54%	0.18	3	-0.07	10	90%	0.04
Marquis Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.03	-0.00	4	82%	0.14	2	-0.07	3	100%	0.02
Erick Dampier	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.03	0.00	4	75%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Howard	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	4	75%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darrell Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerry Stackhouse	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.09,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,-0.03	-0.03	0.02	-0.07	-0.01	13	59%	0.21	3	-0.24	1	100%	0.01
Adrian Griffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	3	67%	0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Keith Van Horn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	11	32%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Terry	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.08	-0.05	0.01	17	42%	-0.03	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	30.9	3.6	30.3	20.6	29.3	3.0	37.4	155.2
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +60.1%

DAL -14.2%

DAL -24.6%

PHX +29.7%

DAL -1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	DAL	NBA	PHX	DAL	NBA
this game	13.0	15.8	15.6	121.0	118.0	104.4
season	13.8	16.4		110.2	109.0
opponent	15.6	16.1		102.9	105.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	11.9	13.6	10.9	15.8	13.0
DAL	14.8	15.2	18.7	14.8	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tim Thomas	69	71	1.02	-0.52	1.55	0.56	16	-13	29	13.2	12.4	0.83	16.0	15.4	0.55
Steve Nash	82	83	0.65	-0.15	0.81	0.48	6	-3	9	12.5	15.0	-2.49	16.1	14.8	1.30
Shawn Marion	83	85	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.42	6	-3	9	12.4	15.8	-3.38	15.7	16.6	-0.89
Leandro Barbosa	70	71	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.38	4	-1	5	13.3	12.1	1.18	15.7	16.1	-0.37
Boris Diaw	82	81	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.28	5	-2	7	12.7	14.1	-1.34	15.7	16.4	-0.65
Eddie House	18	17	-0.15	0.65	-0.81	-0.07	-3	6	-9	15.0	12.5	2.49	14.8	16.1	-1.30
Raja Bell	74	73	-0.25	0.75	-1.00	-0.04	-7	10	-17	12.6	14.1	-1.51	16.6	13.7	2.98
James Jones	22	19	-0.30	0.80	-1.09	0.06	-12	15	-27	15.4	12.3	3.14	13.7	16.3	-2.66

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Erick Dampier	35	36	0.48	-0.98	1.45	0.18	10	-13	23	14.8	16.4	-1.64	12.9	13.0	-0.02
Keith Van Horn	44	45	0.30	-0.80	1.10	0.33	-1	-2	1	17.1	14.8	2.31	14.2	11.9	2.29
Jason Terry	80	83	0.17	-0.67	0.84	0.35	-6	3	-9	16.6	12.9	3.61	13.0	12.6	0.38
Darrell Armstrong	14	14	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.04	2	-5	7	16.6	15.7	0.93	15.1	12.6	2.54
Josh Howard	14	14	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.02	-3	0	-3	16.1	15.8	0.35	10.2	13.4	-3.19
Jerry Stackhouse	71	72	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.48	9	-12	21	15.1	17.6	-2.46	13.7	11.2	2.47
Marquis Daniels	33	31	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.70	5	-8	13	14.2	16.6	-2.38	13.4	12.8	0.67
Adrian Griffin	59	57	-0.75	0.25	-0.99	-0.75	0	-3	3	15.7	16.0	-0.23	11.8	14.6	-2.80
Dirk Nowitzki	85	85	-0.90	0.40	-1.31	-0.49	-14	11	-25	15.7	16.6	-0.89	12.6	14.8	-2.16
Devin Harris	65	63	-0.97	0.47	-1.44	-0.47	-17	14	-31	16.3	15.1	1.20	12.6	13.5	-0.92

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.41,0.42,0.43,0.41,0.37,0.35,0.35,0.44,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.34,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.37,0.44,0.66,0.85,0.75,0.8,0.81,0.74,0.81,0.78,0.89,0.96,0.9,0.74,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 94, PHI 90	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.44,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.34,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.44,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.64,0.7,0.72,0.86,0.8,0.9,0.86,0.91,0.94,0.89,0.72,0.78,0.58,0	91.6%
LAC 105, MIL 103	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.29,0.28,0.31,0.34,0.29,0.35,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.32,0.31,0.34,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.42,0.29,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.56,0.46,0.57,0.75,0.62,0.58,0.83,0.89,0.83,0.93,0.9,0.91,0.58,0	90.8%
GSW 118, CLE 113	0.5,0.49,0.56,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.45,0.43,0.51,0.55,0.45,0.35,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.44,0.39,0.33,0.35,0.43,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.56,0.78,0.7,0.66,0.75,0.76,0.77,0.69,0.66,0.78,0.76,0.89,0.89,0.83,0	90.3%