NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	113		Excitement	9.4 [112]		MVP	Quentin Richardson (PHX): +36.6%
Los Angeles Lakers	110		Comeback	79.0 [6]		LVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): -59.6%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Quentin Richardson	0.37	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.37	0.04	0.32	-0.01	19	50%	0.37	0	0.00	4	100%	0.07
Leandro Barbosa	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.08	0.01	0.00	3	117%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Nash	0.08	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	-0.05	0.12	-0.02	13	46%	0.15	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Steven Hunter	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	6	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bo Outlaw	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Marion	-0.01	0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	16	54%	0.03	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.01
Casey Jacobsen	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Joe Johnson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,-0.04,-0.04	0.12	-0.14	0.02	19	66%	0.17	2	-0.21	0	0%	0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire	-0.17	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.17	0.02	-0.18	0.01	10	74%	0.05	4	-0.22	11	82%	-0.08

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lamar Odom	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	-0.02	-0.00	14	66%	0.12	2	-0.07	1	100%	0.01
Chris Mihm	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.07	-0.03	0.01	12	67%	0.05	1	-0.02	3	67%	0.00
Caron Butler	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,-0.1,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	15	58%	0.17	2	-0.14	3	100%	0.01
Tierre Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	6	58%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Cook	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.01	-0.01	17	47%	0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jumaine Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Walton	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chucky Atkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.03	-0.08	-0.01	10	35%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.06,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.3,-0.3,-0.6	-0.60	-0.21	-0.42	-0.03	23	41%	-0.41	8	-0.19	3	67%	-0.11

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.6	2.8	28.2	15.6	23.4	2.5	35.2	133.3
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +83.7%

PHX +11.6%

LAL -36.5%

LAL -12.4%

PHX +3.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	LAL	NBA	PHX	LAL	NBA
this game	13.5	16.6	15.5	118.9	114.6	104.0
season	13.5	15.7		112.9	105.8
opponent	15.3	16.0		108.8	106.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	12.8	12.1	13.8	15.9	13.5
LAL	14.9	16.7	17.5	17.6	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steve Nash	81	81	0.75	-0.25	1.01	0.55	7	-4	11	13.1	16.1	-3.06	16.2	18.9	-2.68
Quentin Richardson	81	82	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.52	5	-2	7	12.8	17.9	-5.07	16.2	19.1	-2.97
Shawn Marion	85	86	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.46	0	3	-3	13.5	14.0	-0.52	16.4	18.0	-1.56
Joe Johnson	86	87	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.38	1	2	-1	14.0	9.2	4.77	16.4	18.4	-2.03
Amar'e Stoudemire	77	77	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.12	9	-6	15	12.8	16.6	-3.79	17.2	14.0	3.25
Leandro Barbosa	24	25	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.20	1	2	-1	13.7	13.5	0.29	18.2	16.0	2.16
Casey Jacobsen	11	10	0.03	0.47	-0.45	-0.00	1	2	-1	16.4	13.2	3.20	19.4	16.3	3.12
Bo Outlaw	3	4	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	-0.01	-2	5	-7	17.3	13.4	3.92	18.5	16.5	1.98
Steven Hunter	27	28	-0.36	0.86	-1.22	-0.16	-7	10	-17	16.1	12.5	3.65	15.7	17.0	-1.26

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tierre Brown	25	25	0.24	-0.74	0.99	0.10	5	-8	13	17.7	16.2	1.51	14.0	13.4	0.68
Chris Mihm	58	56	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.04	3	-6	9	16.5	16.8	-0.31	12.5	15.0	-2.44
Luke Walton	2	2	0.02	-0.52	0.53	0.02	0	-3	3	29.5	16.3	13.17	10.0	13.6	-3.61
Brian Cook	43	44	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.05	-2	-1	-1	17.8	15.7	2.11	15.3	12.0	3.28
Jumaine Jones	30	29	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.05	-5	2	-7	17.3	16.3	1.06	14.2	13.2	0.96
Kobe Bryant	90	89	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.42	-1	-2	1	16.5	18.8	-2.38	13.9	8.0	5.91
Lamar Odom	80	79	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.60	1	-4	5	16.0	19.5	-3.47	13.3	14.7	-1.38
Chucky Atkins	71	70	-0.74	0.24	-0.99	-0.51	-8	5	-13	16.2	17.7	-1.51	13.4	14.0	-0.68
Caron Butler	81	81	-0.85	0.35	-1.19	-0.61	-8	5	-13	16.2	18.7	-2.44	12.9	17.0	-4.06

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.39,0.34,0.37,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.34,0.32,0.32,0.36,0.29,0.29,0.32,0.25,0.34,0.31,0.44,0.27,0.33,0.37,0.29,0.28,0.24,0.36,0.42,0.45,0.58,0.59,0.67,0.68,0.58,0.7,0.68,0.8,0.81,0.92,0.97,0.91,0.75,0.72,0.43,0.58,0
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 100, WAS 96	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.45,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.37,0.42,0.34,0.32,0.28,0.26,0.34,0.29,0.29,0.31,0.27,0.27,0.42,0.46,0.4,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.72,0.81,0.9,0.85,0.83,0.92,0.92,0.81,0.87,0.86,0.54,0.55,0.58,0	90.9%
NOH 84, NJN 82	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.44,0.39,0.33,0.33,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.34,0.36,0.38,0.31,0.29,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.25,0.21,0.22,0.18,0.24,0.28,0.23,0.33,0.33,0.26,0.38,0.44,0.48,0.56,0.48,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.71,0.77,0.83,0.85,0.93,0.9,0.79,0.77,0.59,0	90.6%
IND 82, BOS 79	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.35,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.37,0.39,0.41,0.46,0.42,0.54,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.33,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.63,0.68,0.7,0.66,0.71,0.72,0.81,0.83,0.84,0.78,0.9,0.78,0.71,0.27,0	89.8%