NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	77		Excitement	1.8 [1310]		MVP	Keith Van Horn (DAL): +14.3%
Dallas Mavericks	110		Comeback	1.0 [1260]		LVP	Vince Carter (NJN): -5.4%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Scott Padgett	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	4	62%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Wright	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	4	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marc Jackson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	57%	-0.00	2	-0.00	4	100%	0.00
Nenad Krstic	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.04	0.00	0.05	4	83%	0.03	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.01
Clifford Robinson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	0.01	-0.03	6	36%	-0.01	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Lamond Murray	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.00	9	39%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	0.00	0.02	11	79%	0.06	7	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Zoran Planinic	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.09	0.00	-0.07	2	0%	-0.00	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jeff McInnis	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Collins	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jacque Vaughn	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.12	0.00	-0.07	5	18%	-0.02	3	-0.03	1	0%	0.00
Vince Carter	-0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.02	17	40%	-0.02	3	-0.04	8	62%	-0.01

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Keith Van Horn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.22	0.00	0.08	9	115%	0.15	2	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Josh Howard	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.21	0.00	0.11	17	66%	0.09	0	0.00	10	70%	0.02
Jason Terry	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.06	0.00	0.02	9	72%	0.04	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jerry Stackhouse	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.06	7	31%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	11	59%	0.02	2	-0.00	5	80%	-0.00
Adrian Griffin	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	1	50%	0.02	1	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Josh Powell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Darrell Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	5	38%	0.00	2	0.00	3	33%	0.00
DJ Mbenga	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	2	100%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeSagana Diop	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	4	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Erick Dampier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Devin Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.13	0.00	-0.10	9	19%	-0.02	2	-0.01	3	67%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.1	1.7	28.1	16.7	26.5	2.4	28.1	129.7
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +25.0%

DAL +5.5%

NJN -2.2%

DAL +20.4%

DAL +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	DAL	NBA	NJN	DAL	NBA
this game	15.2	15.9	15.6	83.7	118.3	104.4
season	15.7	16.4		102.1	109.0
opponent	15.6	15.7		102.9	100.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	13.6	14.7	16.9	16.0	15.2
DAL	13.6	17.9	17.4	15.3	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marc Jackson	32	32	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.08	-3	-30	27	16.2	14.6	1.62	16.6	15.6	0.96
Antoine Wright	42	42	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.14	-6	-27	21	16.1	14.4	1.66	16.5	15.5	0.94
Zoran Planinic	25	24	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	0.11	-9	-24	15	16.9	14.6	2.31	15.8	16.0	-0.19
Scott Padgett	33	35	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.02	-5	-28	23	16.5	14.4	2.10	15.9	16.0	-0.13
Jacque Vaughn	60	60	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.14	-11	-22	11	14.8	15.9	-1.04	17.2	13.7	3.52
Jason Collins	46	45	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	0.35	-19	-14	-5	13.3	17.1	-3.74	16.1	15.7	0.38
Jeff McInnis	8	10	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.09	-10	-23	13	19.7	14.8	4.99	13.1	16.3	-3.18
Lamond Murray	30	32	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.02	-9	-24	15	15.8	14.9	0.85	14.1	16.9	-2.81
Jason Kidd	55	55	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.50	-27	-6	-21	14.0	16.9	-2.93	16.3	15.3	1.00
Clifford Robinson	30	31	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	0.26	-19	-14	-5	17.7	14.0	3.77	16.1	15.9	0.19
Nenad Krstic	43	43	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	0.26	-20	-13	-7	13.6	16.6	-2.99	15.2	16.5	-1.31
Vince Carter	56	56	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	0.45	-27	-6	-21	14.4	16.5	-2.14	15.4	16.7	-1.27

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Howard	58	58	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.53	32	1	31	16.2	15.5	0.77	14.7	16.0	-1.28
Adrian Griffin	69	68	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.54	30	3	27	16.2	15.2	1.04	14.6	17.0	-2.44
Dirk Nowitzki	53	53	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.58	31	2	29	16.1	15.7	0.37	14.6	16.1	-1.49
Devin Harris	55	52	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.02	12	21	-9	15.6	16.4	-0.78	15.0	15.4	-0.36
Keith Van Horn	36	35	0.29	0.20	0.09	-0.14	15	18	-3	15.4	16.2	-0.80	16.3	14.5	1.85
Jerry Stackhouse	36	35	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.05	7	26	-19	15.4	16.3	-0.89	16.7	14.3	2.36
DeSagana Diop	38	38	0.21	0.29	-0.07	-0.46	23	10	13	16.9	15.3	1.58	14.1	16.0	-1.90
Jason Terry	38	40	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.45	21	12	9	16.4	15.6	0.78	15.4	15.0	0.36
Erick Dampier	30	30	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.13	1	32	-31	15.8	16.0	-0.25	15.3	15.1	0.20
Darrell Armstrong	23	23	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	36	-39	15.3	16.2	-0.90	16.0	14.9	1.13
Josh Powell	17	16	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	38	-43	15.2	16.1	-0.93	15.8	15.1	0.75
DJ Mbenga	12	12	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	32	-31	15.2	16.0	-0.79	17.0	14.9	2.07

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.71,0.73,0.75,0.81,0.87,0.92,0.89,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.93,0.93,0.97,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHH 90, SAC 106	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.54,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.73,0.76,0.78,0.79,0.83,0.88,0.87,0.91,0.92,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	98.4%
CHA 89, ORL 127	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.61,0.65,0.67,0.73,0.76,0.78,0.81,0.87,0.88,0.89,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	98.1%
DEN 96, LAL 104	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.69,0.71,0.77,0.8,0.85,0.88,0.92,0.92,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1,1	98.1%