inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Charlotte Hornets 89 Excitement1.9 [1296] MVPEvan Fournier (ORL): +6.4%
Orlando Magic 127 Comeback1.0 [1009] LVPKemba Walker (CHA): -10.8%


Charlotte Hornets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Willy Hernangomez0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.02240%0.0000.00667%0.01
Frank Kaminsky0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.040.000.04383%0.0000.0000%0.00
Dwayne Bacon0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.030.00-0.0220%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Cody Zeller-0.010,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.020.000.031050%-0.0100.00683%0.01
Miles Bridges-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.030.00-0.02650%-0.0120.0000%0.00
Jeremy Lamb-0.010,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.050.000.061064%-0.011-0.00250%-0.00
Devonte' Graham-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.060.00-0.04520%-0.0210.0000%0.00
Malik Monk-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.030.020.000.051647%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Shelvin Mack-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.020.000.01540%-0.021-0.02580%-0.01
Nicolas Batum-0.040,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.030.000.01750%-0.013-0.03475%-0.00
Marvin Williams-0.060,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.020.000.04736%-0.0600.0000%0.00
Kemba Walker-0.110,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.09,-0.1,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.15-0.00-0.042023%-0.1100.00367%-0.01

Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Evan Fournier0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.010.00-0.061246%0.0600.00250%-0.01
Terrence Ross0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.130.000.081564%0.0500.00367%-0.00
Isaiah Briscoe0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.010.00-0.03560%0.051-0.0100%0.00
Khem Birch0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.080.000.054100%0.0300.0000%0.00
D.J. Augustin0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.070.000.04580%0.0200.0000%0.00
Jonathan Isaac0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.110.000.09980%0.031-0.012100%0.00
Wes Iwundu0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.100.000.082110%0.021-0.00683%0.01
Melvin Frazier Jr.0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.02367%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jerian Grant0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.060.000.06386%0.0000.001100%0.00
Jarell Martin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.060.000.063100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Amile Jefferson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Nikola Vucevic0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.040.000.051359%-0.012-0.00367%-0.00
Aaron Gordon0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.130.00-0.051729%-0.062-0.021100%-0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.21.828.215.225.41.723.2122.7
league avg25.32.227.814.627.62.231.9132.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ORL +48.1%
CHA -0.1%
ORL +1.4%
ORL +0.6%
CHA -0.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCHAORLNBACHAORLNBA
this game14.015.014.389.0128.3109.3
season14.614.9110.4107.2
opponent14.314.3107.2111.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
CHA15.013.512.614.714.0
ORL14.313.117.415.315.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Frank Kaminsky10110.00-0.500.500.21-7-312417.213.63.5912.115.3-3.25
Dwayne Bacon16160.00-0.500.500.18-6-322615.813.62.1916.114.81.29
Malik Monk5149-0.11-0.390.280.45-19-19013.914.0-0.0615.214.80.44
Willy Hernangomez2119-0.12-0.380.270.06-6-322614.213.90.2816.314.71.59
Devonte' Graham4243-0.15-0.350.200.26-14-241015.313.02.3115.014.90.12
Shelvin Mack2424-0.16-0.340.180.04-7-312413.014.3-1.2817.014.32.67
Miles Bridges4745-0.22-0.280.060.54-26-12-1414.113.80.3013.915.9-1.96
Jeremy Lamb3938-0.25-0.250.000.19-15-23813.114.6-1.5115.314.80.50
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist2726-0.27-0.23-0.040.11-13-251214.013.90.0915.914.71.23
Marvin Williams4849-0.27-0.23-0.040.05-11-271613.414.5-1.1015.114.90.16
Nicolas Batum5354-0.31-0.19-0.110.22-18-20213.714.2-0.5014.815.2-0.36
Cody Zeller6262-0.31-0.19-0.120.36-23-15-813.614.6-1.0715.214.70.49
Kemba Walker6059-0.34-0.16-0.180.39-25-13-1213.914.1-0.2613.916.6-2.76

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Aaron Gordon66680.340.160.18-0.252018215.713.52.1513.415.1-1.70
Isaiah Briscoe52510.330.170.17-0.342315815.114.80.3314.913.01.98
Terrence Ross44440.310.190.12-0.131523-816.114.12.0414.113.90.18
Wes Iwundu40420.300.200.10-0.382315815.414.70.7113.814.1-0.28
Evan Fournier58590.290.210.08-0.211721-414.815.2-0.3713.614.5-0.88
Khem Birch34350.270.230.04-0.171523-815.814.61.2414.313.80.53
Jonathan Isaac56570.260.240.02-0.271820-214.815.2-0.4113.314.8-1.48
Nikola Vucevic54550.230.27-0.04-0.241622-615.114.90.1713.215.0-1.79
D.J. Augustin47490.170.33-0.17-0.271523-814.815.1-0.3313.014.9-1.98
Melvin Frazier Jr.11100.000.50-0.50-0.21731-2412.115.3-3.2517.213.63.59
Jerian Grant11100.000.50-0.50-0.21731-2412.115.3-3.2517.213.63.59
Jarell Martin11100.000.50-0.50-0.21731-2412.115.3-3.2517.213.63.59
Amile Jefferson11100.000.50-0.50-0.21731-2412.115.3-3.2517.213.63.59


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.61,0.65,0.67,0.73,0.76,0.78,0.81,0.87,0.88,0.89,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
CHH 90, SAC 1060.5,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.54,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.73,0.76,0.78,0.79,0.83,0.88,0.87,0.91,0.92,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,198.3%
MIN 82, HOU 1130.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.67,0.71,0.73,0.75,0.79,0.88,0.88,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,198.3%
SAS 100, GSW 1360.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.62,0.64,0.68,0.73,0.69,0.76,0.81,0.81,0.87,0.91,0.93,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,198.3%