inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Minnesota Timberwolves 82 Excitement1.7 [1310] MVPShane Battier (HOU): +6.7%
Houston Rockets 113 Comeback1.0 [1258] LVPRashad McCants (MIN): -8.3%


Minnesota Timberwolves
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Ryan Gomes0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.070.000.051559%0.031-0.024100%0.01
Sebastian Telfair0.010,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.030.00-0.03422%0.0100.0010%-0.01
Chris Richard0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Greg Buckner-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.00-0.0320%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Gerald Green-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.010.000.01350%-0.0000.00475%-0.00
Antoine Walker-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.070.00-0.0620%-0.002-0.0200%0.00
Craig Smith-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.060.000.071060%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Corey Brewer-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.100.000.12980%-0.011-0.002100%0.00
Marko Jaric-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.070.00-0.05225%-0.012-0.01450%0.01
Michael Doleac-0.050,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.050.030.000.08862%-0.031-0.0200%0.00
Al Jefferson-0.070,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.100.00-0.031025%-0.051-0.02450%-0.01
Rashad McCants-0.080,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.13-0.00-0.041233%-0.053-0.04333%-0.02

Houston Rockets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Shane Battier0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.080.000.025100%0.091-0.0200%0.00
Luis Scola0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.130.000.081069%0.0610.001267%-0.01
Carl Landry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.160.000.137100%0.0300.001100%0.00
Yao Ming0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.070.000.04871%0.051-0.02560%0.00
Charles Hayes0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.020.00-0.03633%0.0100.0000%0.00
Kirk Snyder0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Steve Novak0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.070.000.07675%0.0000.0000%0.00
Rafer Alston0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.040.00-0.031050%0.033-0.032100%0.01
Aaron Brooks0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.110.00-0.10636%-0.014-0.00250%0.00
Luther Head0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.010.000.021354%-0.012-0.002100%-0.00
Mike James0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.090.00-0.061025%-0.0310.0000%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.01.827.117.826.01.826.6124.9
league avg27.92.430.016.226.62.433.3140.1
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
HOU +32.7%
HOU +2.2%
HOU +9.1%
HOU +5.1%
HOU +1.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMINHOUNBAMINHOUNBA
this game14.816.015.487.2121.5105.7
season15.916.2102.2104.6
opponent15.215.0100.3109.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIN14.414.916.613.314.8
HOU14.417.116.916.016.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Greg Buckner1919-0.01-0.490.490.02-1-302916.214.41.7315.716.1-0.37
Gerald Green2323-0.01-0.490.49-0.041-323311.215.9-4.7717.215.61.57
Antoine Walker1616-0.06-0.440.37-0.060-313113.715.0-1.3114.816.3-1.47
Craig Smith4141-0.17-0.330.160.12-10-211115.214.50.7416.315.80.42
Michael Doleac4039-0.18-0.320.140.14-11-20915.014.60.3916.915.41.53
Chris Richard2222-0.21-0.290.080.20-14-17315.814.51.3013.916.7-2.78
Sebastian Telfair5755-0.25-0.250.010.28-18-13-514.515.2-0.6816.615.21.48
Corey Brewer4446-0.27-0.23-0.040.11-13-18513.815.6-1.8414.917.1-2.21
Ryan Gomes5755-0.33-0.17-0.160.37-24-7-1715.214.20.9715.916.2-0.26
Rashad McCants4846-0.33-0.17-0.160.31-22-9-1315.414.11.2716.515.51.01
Marko Jaric4545-0.34-0.16-0.180.36-24-7-1715.713.91.7915.816.3-0.54
Al Jefferson5858-0.35-0.15-0.190.21-19-12-714.615.0-0.4116.315.70.60

Houston Rockets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Rafer Alston57580.460.040.43-0.332742316.115.90.1415.713.32.38
Shane Battier57580.410.090.32-0.272381515.716.5-0.8115.214.11.08
Yao Ming55570.370.130.24-0.282291315.317.1-1.8115.114.30.75
Luis Scola46470.320.180.15-0.352381514.917.1-2.2616.513.03.47
Luther Head64660.300.200.09-0.352291315.716.9-1.2115.014.30.70
Mike James41410.240.26-0.02-0.201516-116.115.90.2014.415.1-0.64
Charles Hayes39390.170.33-0.150.06427-2316.715.61.0913.715.5-1.81
Carl Landry38370.130.37-0.24-0.13922-1317.115.31.8114.315.1-0.75
Aaron Brooks42420.090.41-0.31-0.201021-1116.615.61.0313.316.0-2.65
Kirk Snyder990.000.50-0.50-0.06229-2719.315.73.6513.015.0-1.96
Steve Novak17160.000.50-0.500.06-233-3516.515.90.6112.415.3-2.89


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.67,0.71,0.73,0.75,0.79,0.88,0.88,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
CHA 89, ORL 1270.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.61,0.65,0.67,0.73,0.76,0.78,0.81,0.87,0.88,0.89,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,198.3%
PHX 98, DEN 1180.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.67,0.63,0.63,0.71,0.75,0.78,0.79,0.82,0.87,0.9,0.92,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,198.0%
LAL 77, UTA 1120.5,0.49,0.52,0.59,0.57,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.63,0.69,0.71,0.73,0.72,0.79,0.85,0.92,0.95,0.92,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.9%