NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	90		Excitement	1.7 [1256]		MVP	Billy Owens (SAC): +3.9%
Sacramento Kings	106		Comeback	1.0 [857]		LVP	Glen Rice (CHH): -7.9%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
B.J. Armstrong	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	5	64%	0.03	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Matt Geiger	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.09	0.00	0.08	8	75%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Travis Williams	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corey Beck	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	4	20%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	-0.00
Tony Farmer	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.07	0.00	-0.06	4	25%	-0.01	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dell Curry	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Mason	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.01	7	58%	-0.01	0	0.00	10	60%	-0.00
David Wesley	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	0.00	0.04	11	65%	-0.01	3	-0.01	4	100%	0.00
J.R. Reid	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	3	75%	0.00	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Bobby Phills	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	0.00	0.03	6	58%	-0.03	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vlade Divac	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.08	-0.00	-0.03	4	20%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02
Glen Rice	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	-0.00	-0.01	16	41%	-0.04	2	-0.04	5	100%	0.00

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Billy Owens	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	-0.02	11	64%	0.06	3	-0.02	3	33%	0.00
Terry Dehere	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.00	-0.05	5	83%	0.04	4	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Anthony Johnson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	12	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Olden Polynice	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.06	0.00	0.04	14	64%	0.02	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mitch Richmond	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.10	0.00	-0.11	18	48%	0.02	3	-0.00	12	67%	-0.01
Michael Stewart	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	5	80%	0.03	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mark Hendrickson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	5	40%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Hurley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.03	0.00	0.04	1	125%	-0.00	1	-0.01	2	100%	-0.00
Tariq Abdul-Wahad	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	10	38%	-0.04	0	0.00	6	33%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	2.4	27.5	14.8	27.2	1.5	27.2	122.8
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +26.4%

CHH -0.5%

SAC +12.9%

SAC +11.2%

SAC +0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHH	SAC	NBA	CHH	SAC	NBA
this game	14.4	15.3	15.6	92.8	109.3	102.5
season	15.7	15.2		104.0	98.5
opponent	15.3	15.9		104.3	102.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHH	15.6	16.1	13.3	12.7	14.4
SAC	12.1	15.9	14.4	19.4	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Travis Williams	15	15	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.03	1	-17	18	11.4	15.0	-3.58	14.2	15.5	-1.26
Corey Beck	35	33	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.11	3	-19	22	13.2	15.1	-1.87	14.0	15.9	-1.92
Tony Farmer	19	19	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.08	1	-17	18	14.7	14.3	0.39	12.4	16.0	-3.61
J.R. Reid	38	36	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	0.11	-7	-9	2	14.1	14.6	-0.57	14.7	15.6	-0.87
Matt Geiger	29	28	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.25	4	-20	24	14.6	14.4	0.18	17.9	14.2	3.74
B.J. Armstrong	30	30	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.21	1	-17	18	14.4	14.4	0.02	16.1	14.9	1.25
Bobby Phills	49	49	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	0.08	-11	-5	-6	14.9	13.9	1.04	15.7	14.8	0.90
Dell Curry	23	24	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.17	-16	0	-16	15.3	14.1	1.16	14.6	15.5	-0.85
David Wesley	64	64	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	0.13	-15	-1	-14	14.5	14.2	0.27	15.3	15.3	-0.01
Vlade Divac	43	45	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	0.12	-15	-1	-14	15.1	13.9	1.25	14.6	15.8	-1.25
Glen Rice	71	72	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.07	-11	-5	-6	14.2	15.0	-0.84	16.2	12.7	3.49
Anthony Mason	69	70	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.00	-15	-1	-14	14.8	13.5	1.25	15.1	15.6	-0.45

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Johnson	64	62	0.41	0.09	0.33	-0.20	21	-5	26	13.8	18.1	-4.32	15.2	13.1	2.14
Mitch Richmond	77	76	0.38	0.12	0.25	-0.15	18	-2	20	15.1	15.9	-0.80	15.4	10.9	4.49
Billy Owens	75	75	0.37	0.13	0.25	-0.01	13	3	10	15.2	15.5	-0.36	14.6	14.0	0.61
Tariq Abdul-Wahad	42	42	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.23	20	-4	24	13.1	16.9	-3.87	16.0	13.2	2.82
Olden Polynice	49	48	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.27	1	15	-14	16.4	14.1	2.26	13.5	15.3	-1.74
Mark Hendrickson	58	58	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.26	-2	18	-20	16.7	13.1	3.66	13.4	15.9	-2.47
Michael Stewart	55	57	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.06	9	7	2	14.2	16.6	-2.42	14.3	14.6	-0.30
Terry Dehere	31	32	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.05	5	11	-6	15.9	15.0	0.93	13.2	15.0	-1.75
Bobby Hurley	34	35	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.23	-5	21	-26	18.3	13.6	4.66	12.9	15.3	-2.45

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.54,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.73,0.76,0.78,0.79,0.83,0.88,0.87,0.91,0.92,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 77, DAL 110	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.71,0.73,0.75,0.81,0.87,0.92,0.89,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.93,0.93,0.97,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	98.4%
CHA 89, ORL 127	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.61,0.65,0.67,0.73,0.76,0.78,0.81,0.87,0.88,0.89,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	98.3%
MEM 66, CHI 111	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.57,0.57,0.56,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.69,0.76,0.8,0.84,0.85,0.87,0.89,0.91,0.91,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	98.1%