NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	66		Excitement	1.8 [1301]		MVP	Ben Gordon (CHI): +9.8%
Chicago Bulls	111		Comeback	1.0 [1274]		LVP	Damon Stoudamire (MEM): -8.7%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Hakim Warrick	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.04	3	40%	0.01	1	-0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Brian Cardinal	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gay	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.17	0.00	-0.16	7	12%	-0.01	4	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tarence Kinsey	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.15	0.00	-0.14	9	11%	-0.01	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dahntay Jones	-0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.01	7	50%	-0.01	1	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Lawrence Roberts	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chucky Atkins	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.00	0.01	0.04	5	70%	-0.01	4	-0.02	10	80%	-0.03
Alexander Johnson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.07	0.00	-0.04	4	25%	-0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Pau Gasol	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.10	-0.00	-0.06	14	37%	-0.03	2	-0.00	15	53%	-0.03
Mike Miller	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.00	0.02	13	50%	-0.01	4	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Damon Stoudamire	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.15	-0.00	-0.06	3	0%	-0.03	4	-0.06	2	0%	-0.00

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ben Gordon	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.21	0.00	0.11	10	100%	0.11	2	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Kirk Hinrich	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.16	0.00	0.11	11	80%	0.06	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.01
Michael Sweetney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	-0.00	10	54%	0.04	1	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Luol Deng	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.08	0.00	0.05	13	64%	0.03	1	-0.00	2	100%	-0.00
Tyrus Thomas	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.09	0.00	-0.10	5	40%	0.01	4	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Barrett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	3	33%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adrian Griffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	40%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Viktor Khryapa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0.01	11	50%	-0.00	1	0.00	2	100%	-0.00
Chris Duhon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	5	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Thabo Sefolosha	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.10	0.00	-0.07	10	36%	-0.01	3	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02
P.J. Brown	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.13	0.00	-0.06	8	12%	-0.05	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.8	2.4	28.5	16.3	27.6	2.3	26.6	130.6
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +23.5%

CHI +6.7%

CHI +7.7%

CHI +11.2%

CHI +0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	CHI	NBA	MEM	CHI	NBA
this game	14.4	13.8	15.4	65.3	107.8	104.5
season	15.1	14.5		105.1	103.1
opponent	15.9	15.1		98.1	110.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	14.9	13.3	14.4	15.2	14.4
CHI	11.4	14.4	13.3	16.7	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tarence Kinsey	38	40	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.49	-19	-26	7	14.1	14.6	-0.58	15.7	12.6	3.11
Rudy Gay	53	54	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	0.32	-14	-31	17	14.2	14.7	-0.48	14.9	12.7	2.20
Alexander Johnson	31	29	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.17	-10	-35	25	14.6	14.3	0.24	12.9	14.2	-1.34
Brian Cardinal	15	16	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.11	-9	-36	27	14.3	14.4	-0.18	14.5	13.7	0.80
Lawrence Roberts	26	30	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	0.41	-20	-25	5	14.0	14.6	-0.61	13.6	13.9	-0.27
Hakim Warrick	42	43	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	0.39	-21	-24	3	15.0	14.0	1.08	13.5	14.0	-0.50
Chucky Atkins	39	40	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.46	-24	-21	-3	13.9	14.8	-0.89	12.3	14.8	-2.41
Damon Stoudamire	40	40	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.21	-16	-29	13	14.5	14.4	0.14	13.6	14.0	-0.33
Pau Gasol	88	88	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.55	-30	-15	-15	14.2	15.8	-1.55	14.2	11.5	2.76
Dahntay Jones	56	58	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	0.25	-20	-25	5	15.1	13.6	1.51	12.8	15.2	-2.44
Mike Miller	77	77	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	0.72	-42	-3	-39	14.5	14.2	0.33	13.8	14.0	-0.18

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luol Deng	55	55	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.54	33	12	21	12.9	14.9	-2.00	14.6	14.2	0.44
Kirk Hinrich	67	66	0.41	0.09	0.31	-0.50	31	14	17	12.7	16.0	-3.30	14.2	14.9	-0.72
Ben Gordon	61	60	0.39	0.11	0.29	-0.34	25	20	5	12.3	16.0	-3.67	14.6	14.1	0.45
P.J. Brown	58	57	0.30	0.20	0.11	-0.55	29	16	13	13.3	14.4	-1.10	13.9	15.0	-1.08
Viktor Khryapa	38	38	0.20	0.30	-0.09	-0.30	17	28	-11	13.1	14.2	-1.14	14.9	14.1	0.81
Chris Duhon	39	38	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.56	26	19	7	15.3	12.9	2.34	13.2	15.1	-1.93
Michael Sweetney	51	50	0.20	0.30	-0.11	-0.39	20	25	-5	14.7	12.9	1.82	14.6	14.3	0.29
Thabo Sefolosha	48	47	0.19	0.31	-0.13	-0.43	21	24	-3	15.9	12.0	3.96	14.5	14.4	0.14
Tyrus Thomas	42	41	0.17	0.33	-0.15	-0.12	10	35	-25	14.1	13.7	0.42	14.9	14.1	0.74
Adrian Griffin	34	32	0.00	0.50	-0.49	-0.23	8	37	-29	15.9	12.8	3.16	14.5	14.4	0.17
Andre Barrett	22	21	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.15	5	40	-35	13.3	14.0	-0.70	15.1	14.2	0.92

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.57,0.57,0.56,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.69,0.76,0.8,0.84,0.85,0.87,0.89,0.91,0.91,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 111, PHX 132	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.63,0.66,0.67,0.72,0.78,0.83,0.85,0.9,0.89,0.92,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	98.2%
CHA 89, ORL 127	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.61,0.65,0.67,0.73,0.76,0.78,0.81,0.87,0.88,0.89,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	98.1%
CHH 90, SAC 106	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.54,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.73,0.76,0.78,0.79,0.83,0.88,0.87,0.91,0.92,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	98.1%