inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 118 Excitement2.9 [1212] MVPJason Williams (MIA): +16.1%
Portland Trail Blazers 89 Comeback1.3 [458] LVPJuan Dixon (POR): -9.3%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jason Williams0.160,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.150.010.001187%0.192-0.031100%0.00
Dwyane Wade0.160,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.210.010.071777%0.182-0.02683%0.00
James Posey0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.130.000.046100%0.0900.0000%0.00
Antoine Walker0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.130.010.07984%0.0710.001100%0.00
Alonzo Mourning0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.00-0.00387%0.0410.00250%-0.01
Gary Payton0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.000.00657%0.0110.002100%0.00
Wayne Simien0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.030.00-0.04540%0.0110.0000%0.00
Jason Kapono0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.010.000.01450%0.0000.0000%0.00
Shandon Anderson0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.00-0.0320%0.0000.0000%0.00
Michael Doleac0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.070.00-0.0730%0.0010.0000%0.00
Udonis Haslem-0.030,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.00-0.00540%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Shaquille O'Neal-0.070,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.08-0.00-0.02943%-0.023-0.051040%-0.05

Portland Trail Blazers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Joel Przybilla0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.050.010.01278%0.0500.00560%-0.00
Ruben Patterson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.100.000.071062%0.0300.00667%-0.01
Zach Randolph0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.05-0.000.03964%0.051-0.02450%-0.02
Theo Ratliff0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.040.01-0.06636%0.031-0.00250%-0.01
Viktor Khryapa0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.010.00-0.02550%0.011-0.0000%0.00
Martell Webster0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.050.00-0.05325%0.0010.002100%0.00
Ha Seung-Jin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Steve Blake0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.02-0.00-0.01647%0.021-0.02580%0.00
Jarrett Jack0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.040.00-0.02638%0.011-0.021100%0.01
Travis Outlaw0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.01-0.000.03955%-0.011-0.014100%0.01
Sebastian Telfair0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.11-0.00-0.06719%-0.032-0.02250%0.00
Juan Dixon0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.06-0.010.021040%-0.033-0.06580%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game28.31.834.814.828.32.724.2134.9
league avg33.92.429.514.726.72.434.0144.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +50.3%
POR -6.2%
MIA +4.1%
MIA +5.3%
POR -3.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIAPORNBAMIAPORNBA
this game13.916.115.6124.291.8104.4
season15.516.6106.199.4
opponent15.715.5109.8102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIA11.815.712.016.213.9
POR17.515.717.213.816.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jason Williams55560.58-0.080.66-0.242812712.416.0-3.6617.813.84.01
James Posey64660.320.180.13-0.332271513.415.0-1.6716.714.72.00
Shaquille O'Neal52520.310.190.12-0.161613313.214.8-1.6617.314.72.58
Udonis Haslem38390.250.25-0.00-0.161415-112.115.1-3.0018.414.53.82
Dwyane Wade55570.240.26-0.01-0.311910912.715.5-2.7517.414.23.14
Antoine Walker47500.220.28-0.06-0.101118-715.012.82.2114.617.6-3.00
Wayne Simien26250.220.28-0.06-0.131217-514.613.60.9815.316.3-1.07
Alonzo Mourning28310.190.31-0.12-0.221415-114.113.80.3415.316.4-1.10
Gary Payton55550.170.33-0.15-0.151118-715.411.93.5114.218.5-4.37
Jason Kapono25260.000.50-0.500.00029-2916.612.93.6613.617.0-3.41
Shandon Anderson15140.000.50-0.500.03-130-3116.113.52.5713.316.5-3.26
Michael Doleac15140.000.50-0.500.03-130-3116.113.52.5713.316.5-3.26

Portland Trail Blazers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Martell Webster2223-0.00-0.500.500.06-2-272513.316.9-3.5616.413.13.28
Ha Seung-Jin1819-0.03-0.470.44-0.030-292913.416.7-3.2916.313.32.95
Viktor Khryapa2825-0.15-0.350.190.20-12-17515.416.3-0.9012.814.3-1.50
Ruben Patterson4139-0.20-0.300.100.33-18-11-715.316.6-1.3114.213.70.51
Sebastian Telfair5048-0.20-0.300.100.21-14-15114.218.1-3.9114.613.21.45
Jarrett Jack5148-0.21-0.290.080.32-18-11-714.517.8-3.3414.513.31.12
Joel Przybilla3435-0.22-0.280.07-0.01-7-221517.715.22.4712.814.5-1.75
Theo Ratliff4541-0.25-0.25-0.010.39-22-7-1515.916.2-0.2613.814.0-0.26
Juan Dixon4343-0.28-0.22-0.060.01-10-19917.415.02.3813.014.6-1.57
Steve Blake4747-0.30-0.20-0.100.14-15-14-118.114.23.9113.214.6-1.45
Travis Outlaw5859-0.31-0.19-0.120.10-14-15117.114.62.4413.814.1-0.38
Zach Randolph4848-0.34-0.16-0.190.04-13-16317.714.53.1613.414.4-0.95


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.5,0.54,0.54,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.38,0.4,0.36,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.29,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.24,0.2,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.12,0.11,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
ATL 105, MIN 880.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.41,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.29,0.38,0.27,0.22,0.21,0.24,0.2,0.17,0.18,0.2,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,096.5%
DEN 109, SAC 960.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.35,0.32,0.28,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.25,0.22,0.24,0.25,0.16,0.12,0.09,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,096.4%
CHI 98, PHI 840.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.47,0.44,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.27,0.25,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.18,0.11,0.14,0.06,0.09,0.14,0.16,0.07,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,096.3%