NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	111		Excitement	1.6 [1318]		MVP	Rashard Lewis (SEA): +16.6%
Portland Trail Blazers	99		Comeback	1.0 [627]		LVP	Joel Przybilla (POR): -6.0%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rashard Lewis	0.17	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.11,0.12,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.27	0.00	0.11	19	77%	0.17	1	-0.01	10	70%	-0.00
Nick Collison	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.03	5	85%	0.09	1	-0.00	3	100%	0.00
Vitaly Potapenko	0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.08	0.00	0.04	4	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronald Murray	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.06	8	44%	0.02	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danny Fortson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	0.00	0.03	1	100%	0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Robert Swift	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mateen Cleaves	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Ridnour	-0.00	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.05	0.00	0.05	11	55%	0.01	1	-0.01	7	86%	0.01
Damien Wilkins	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.00	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Reggie Evans	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.06	0.00	-0.04	6	21%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Ray Allen	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.01	19	62%	0.03	7	-0.04	1	100%	0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Charles Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.13	0.00	0.10	8	94%	0.03	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Viktor Khryapa	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.10	0.00	0.08	12	68%	0.02	1	-0.00	4	50%	0.00
Theo Ratliff	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	2	100%	0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ha Seung-Jin	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarrett Jack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Ruben Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	0.00	0.03	2	100%	0.01	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Sergei Monia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.04	3	75%	-0.01	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00
Martell Webster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	5	27%	-0.02	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Steve Blake	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.02	-0.00	0.05	14	59%	-0.01	3	-0.03	4	75%	0.01
Zach Randolph	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.07	-0.00	0.11	12	72%	-0.02	4	-0.03	8	50%	-0.02
Juan Dixon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	0.00	-0.00	6	17%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joel Przybilla	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	-0.00	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01	4	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.5	1.8	25.6	15.0	25.1	2.5	36.3	129.9
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +34.5%

SEA +5.3%

SEA +2.2%

SEA +8.9%

POR -0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	POR	NBA	SEA	POR	NBA
this game	16.1	15.7	15.6	123.3	108.8	104.4
season	15.0	16.6		108.9	99.4
opponent	15.7	15.8		109.8	112.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	14.0	17.6	16.3	16.6	16.1
POR	17.9	16.7	16.4	12.2	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nick Collison	59	61	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.06	13	-1	14	16.3	15.9	0.42	15.2	16.6	-1.42
Ray Allen	75	76	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.15	7	5	2	16.3	15.6	0.65	16.6	10.9	5.76
Rashard Lewis	73	74	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.09	9	3	6	16.1	16.5	-0.47	15.1	18.1	-3.00
Luke Ridnour	70	72	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.29	2	10	-8	16.2	15.8	0.44	14.7	19.3	-4.53
Ronald Murray	33	33	0.29	0.21	0.09	-0.18	16	-4	20	16.1	16.2	-0.08	15.7	15.7	0.07
Danny Fortson	13	13	0.27	0.23	0.04	-0.26	18	-6	24	14.5	16.4	-1.88	19.0	15.1	3.87
Reggie Evans	67	68	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.43	-7	19	-26	16.9	13.8	3.11	16.1	14.3	1.84
Damien Wilkins	26	26	0.15	0.35	-0.20	-0.05	7	5	2	15.0	16.6	-1.56	14.6	16.1	-1.49
Vitaly Potapenko	25	25	0.10	0.40	-0.29	-0.10	7	5	2	14.7	16.7	-1.97	18.5	14.6	3.91
Mateen Cleaves	2	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	13	-14	9.5	16.3	-6.80	10.0	15.7	-5.74
Robert Swift	7	6	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	0.28	-11	23	-34	20.4	15.8	4.65	7.7	16.2	-8.58

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Charles Smith	39	38	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.55	19	-31	50	12.5	18.1	-5.59	16.8	15.7	1.12
Ha Seung-Jin	2	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-16	20	5.5	15.9	-10.41	17.3	16.1	1.23
Viktor Khryapa	51	51	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.64	21	-33	54	15.2	16.2	-1.01	17.7	14.2	3.51
Martell Webster	31	30	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.03	-4	-8	4	14.5	16.3	-1.77	15.1	16.7	-1.62
Zach Randolph	69	70	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.31	3	-15	18	15.9	15.1	0.78	16.1	16.2	-0.07
Joel Przybilla	47	45	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	0.04	-9	-3	-6	16.7	14.5	2.20	14.9	17.4	-2.56
Jarrett Jack	13	12	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	0.17	-14	2	-16	17.6	15.4	2.26	14.4	16.4	-1.99
Steve Blake	78	78	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.32	2	-14	16	15.4	17.6	-2.26	16.4	14.4	1.99
Theo Ratliff	41	40	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.04	-8	-4	-4	15.1	16.2	-1.06	17.8	14.8	3.02
Sergei Monia	28	28	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.20	-17	5	-22	15.9	15.6	0.36	16.0	16.2	-0.16
Juan Dixon	22	22	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	0.47	-30	18	-48	20.3	14.2	6.06	13.7	16.9	-3.26
Ruben Patterson	34	33	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	0.32	-27	15	-42	17.4	14.7	2.67	15.4	16.6	-1.19

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.39,0.33,0.23,0.19,0.16,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 126, GSW 89	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.46,0.4,0.35,0.37,0.32,0.32,0.24,0.21,0.18,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.6%
TOR 113, CHI 90	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.43,0.39,0.34,0.28,0.19,0.14,0.15,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.4%
CLE 92, DEN 73	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.35,0.33,0.29,0.25,0.19,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.3%