inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Toronto Raptors 113 Excitement1.8 [782] MVPVince Carter (TOR): +8.8%
Chicago Bulls 90 Comeback1.1 [309] LVPToni Kukoc (CHI): -10.6%


Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Vince Carter0.090,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.06-0.00-0.031955%0.0900.004100%0.01
Tracy McGrady0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.010.00-0.01750%0.0200.002100%0.01
Dee Brown0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.15-0.000.131678%0.063-0.0400%0.00
Charles Oakley0.010,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.000.00-0.01657%0.031-0.022100%0.00
John Wallace0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.020.00-0.02960%0.012-0.00743%-0.00
Michael Stewart0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.010.00-0.02375%0.022-0.012100%0.00
Sean Marks0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.00-0.002100%0.0020.0000%0.00
Doug Christie-0.010,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.010.000.021065%0.013-0.0200%0.00
John Thomas-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.06-0.00-0.04643%-0.002-0.012100%0.00
Alvin Williams-0.050,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.03-0.000.02550%-0.002-0.0500%0.00

Chicago Bulls
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Rusty LaRue0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.110.000.107100%0.022-0.001100%0.00
Cory Carr0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.000.000.00475%-0.002-0.0000%0.00
Charles R. Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.010.00-0.01861%0.003-0.01250%0.00
Kornel David0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.010.000.00955%-0.0110.00450%-0.01
Bill Wennington0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.030.00-0.02737%-0.0100.002100%0.01
Keith Booth0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.13-0.00-0.12933%-0.0220.0160%-0.00
Brent Barry0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.03-0.010.021048%-0.022-0.041100%-0.00
Randy Brown0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.070.00-0.01946%-0.042-0.02683%-0.00
Dickey Simpkins0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.12-0.00-0.03725%-0.081-0.02650%-0.02
Mark Bryant0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.15-0.00-0.0570%-0.072-0.0300%0.00
Toni Kukoc0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.04-0.030.03837%-0.091-0.0200%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.12.424.516.328.92.025.3123.6
league avg26.93.042.016.026.32.245.7163.5
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
TOR +51.2%
TOR +3.7%
CHI -2.9%
CHI -3.1%
TOR +1.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsTORCHINBATORCHINBA
this game15.214.815.8117.793.899.6
season15.616.799.090.6
opponent15.415.9101.1101.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
TOR13.213.816.117.815.2
CHI17.516.212.812.714.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Vince Carter70700.470.030.44-0.6538-155314.816.4-1.6515.612.62.97
Dee Brown62630.460.040.42-0.4832-94114.416.7-2.3515.413.61.74
Charles Oakley44440.380.120.27-0.4428-53314.116.2-2.0815.414.31.12
Michael Stewart53520.360.140.220.19617-1115.914.41.4514.115.6-1.49
Tracy McGrady56580.300.200.110.011013-314.516.3-1.8114.615.1-0.54
Doug Christie63630.280.220.06-0.041112-115.414.90.5215.014.30.68
John Thomas47460.130.37-0.23-0.04617-1115.415.00.4515.114.50.67
John Wallace38390.070.43-0.360.04122-2116.714.32.3814.215.2-0.97
Alvin Williams34330.040.46-0.420.31-932-4116.714.42.3513.615.4-1.74
Sean Marks13120.000.50-0.500.23-831-3916.215.11.0811.215.3-4.13

Chicago Bulls
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Charles R. Jones4748-0.01-0.490.48-0.3612-354712.716.8-4.0316.713.72.94
Bill Wennington2830-0.05-0.450.39-0.081-242514.714.8-0.1415.515.10.46
Rusty LaRue4444-0.10-0.400.31-0.162-252713.715.7-1.9516.514.12.37
Cory Carr3433-0.12-0.380.270.03-5-181313.015.8-2.8014.815.4-0.66
Kornel David6261-0.17-0.330.160.12-10-13313.716.7-3.0315.015.5-0.47
Keith Booth4545-0.19-0.310.120.05-8-15713.715.7-2.0616.014.61.39
Dickey Simpkins4645-0.30-0.20-0.110.11-14-9-516.113.62.5115.515.00.55
Toni Kukoc2829-0.32-0.18-0.150.06-13-10-317.413.73.7414.915.4-0.51
Brent Barry4544-0.38-0.12-0.260.24-21-2-1916.713.13.6315.115.3-0.28
Mark Bryant5151-0.43-0.07-0.360.39-285-3315.414.01.3913.916.8-2.89
Randy Brown5050-0.43-0.07-0.360.48-318-3916.213.32.8813.816.8-3.00


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.43,0.39,0.34,0.28,0.19,0.14,0.15,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
LAL 99, SAS 830.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.45,0.42,0.34,0.31,0.25,0.19,0.15,0.16,0.11,0.09,0.12,0.07,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,098.3%
DAL 113, PHX 900.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.32,0.25,0.24,0.2,0.19,0.15,0.17,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,097.8%
SEA 111, POR 990.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.39,0.33,0.23,0.19,0.16,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,097.4%