NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	113		Excitement	2.1 [1253]		MVP	Michael Finley (DAL): +12.7%
Phoenix Suns	90		Comeback	1.1 [537]		LVP	Amar'e Stoudemire (PHX): -8.1%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Finley	0.13	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.23	0.01	0.12	23	76%	0.15	2	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Eduardo Najera	0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	5	83%	0.04	2	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Shawn Bradley	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	3	75%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Antoine Walker	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	0.00	0.01	17	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Antawn Jamison	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.04	13	50%	0.02	2	-0.01	4	50%	-0.02
Travis Best	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danny Fortson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.07	0.00	-0.06	4	33%	-0.00	1	-0.00	4	50%	0.00
Marquis Daniels	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.12	0.00	-0.11	10	30%	0.00	2	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01
Scott Williams	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.09	0.00	-0.07	12	31%	-0.02	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Steve Nash	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	0.00	0.01	6	47%	-0.03	2	-0.02	3	100%	0.01

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joe Johnson	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	17	54%	0.01	1	-0.00	3	33%	-0.00
Shawn Marion	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.11	-0.00	0.11	13	70%	0.01	1	-0.00	1	100%	0.00
Donnell Harvey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	3	67%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jahidi White	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Howard Eisley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.06	0.00	-0.05	4	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zarko Cabarkapa	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.06	-0.00	-0.05	10	46%	-0.01	2	0.00	6	100%	0.02
Casey Jacobsen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.11	0.00	-0.09	7	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	4	37%	-0.02	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jake Voskuhl	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.08	0.00	-0.03	3	22%	-0.04	1	-0.01	3	0%	-0.02
Maciej Lampe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.11	-0.00	-0.05	8	25%	-0.05	1	-0.01	4	75%	-0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.00	0.04	16	58%	-0.04	4	-0.04	11	82%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.6	1.7	28.2	16.3	27.6	2.6	27.2	128.1
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +34.3%

PHX -2.4%

DAL +15.8%

PHX -0.0%

DAL +2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	PHX	NBA	DAL	PHX	NBA
this game	15.5	13.6	15.7	114.1	90.9	100.5
season	14.6	14.6		109.2	99.6
opponent	15.9	15.6		103.6	105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	14.1	13.7	17.2	17.3	15.5
PHX	13.1	14.6	12.8	14.0	13.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Finley	77	77	0.45	0.05	0.39	-0.11	19	4	15	15.8	14.3	1.50	13.6	13.5	0.14
Antoine Walker	75	75	0.42	0.08	0.33	-0.14	19	4	15	15.1	16.7	-1.67	13.3	14.7	-1.40
Dirk Nowitzki	54	55	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.30	23	0	23	16.2	14.6	1.62	14.8	12.1	2.73
Shawn Bradley	27	28	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.30	20	3	17	14.7	15.8	-1.13	16.0	12.7	3.29
Steve Nash	57	55	0.29	0.21	0.07	-0.13	14	9	5	14.5	16.8	-2.30	13.7	13.5	0.11
Marquis Daniels	54	55	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.13	14	9	5	16.0	14.9	1.13	13.8	13.4	0.35
Antawn Jamison	65	65	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.08	4	19	-15	15.5	15.4	0.11	13.2	14.4	-1.14
Eduardo Najera	42	42	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.04	5	18	-13	16.2	15.0	1.23	13.0	14.0	-1.01
Scott Williams	8	9	0.10	0.40	-0.31	-0.02	4	19	-15	15.9	15.5	0.42	13.4	13.6	-0.18
Danny Fortson	22	20	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	29	-35	15.0	15.6	-0.62	11.6	14.1	-2.51
Travis Best	14	14	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	24	-25	14.8	15.6	-0.81	11.5	14.0	-2.45

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Donnell Harvey	17	17	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-21	19	12.6	13.8	-1.16	16.2	15.3	0.91
Howard Eisley	11	10	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.01	0	-23	23	14.1	13.5	0.55	22.1	14.7	7.36
Maciej Lampe	25	24	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.04	-1	-22	21	13.3	13.7	-0.44	14.5	15.8	-1.36
Jahidi White	8	9	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	0.00	-3	-20	17	15.1	13.5	1.65	14.8	15.6	-0.78
Jake Voskuhl	33	34	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.05	-2	-21	19	12.9	13.9	-1.00	15.6	15.4	0.16
Casey Jacobsen	49	49	-0.21	-0.28	0.07	0.17	-13	-10	-3	14.8	12.4	2.36	16.5	14.5	2.03
Zarko Cabarkapa	48	48	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	0.19	-17	-6	-11	13.1	14.1	-1.06	14.0	16.9	-2.92
Leandro Barbosa	40	40	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	0.13	-15	-8	-7	14.0	13.3	0.74	14.5	16.2	-1.69
Amar'e Stoudemire	83	83	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	0.15	-20	-3	-17	13.5	13.9	-0.40	15.3	16.6	-1.29
Joe Johnson	95	96	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	0.10	-19	-4	-15	13.4	19.0	-5.62	15.5	14.0	1.53
Shawn Marion	86	85	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	0.18	-23	0	-23	13.7	13.2	0.52	15.8	13.8	1.98

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.32,0.25,0.24,0.2,0.19,0.15,0.17,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 113, CHI 90	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.43,0.39,0.34,0.28,0.19,0.14,0.15,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.8%
LAL 99, SAS 83	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.45,0.42,0.34,0.31,0.25,0.19,0.15,0.16,0.11,0.09,0.12,0.07,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.7%
MIL 104, IND 91	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.4,0.36,0.32,0.31,0.27,0.21,0.2,0.19,0.14,0.13,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.7%