NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	99		Excitement	1.7 [1302]		MVP	Pau Gasol (LAL): +7.6%
San Antonio Spurs	83		Comeback	1.1 [556]		LVP	Manu Ginobili (SAS): -6.0%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Pau Gasol	0.08	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.12	0.00	0.04	12	70%	0.09	2	-0.01	6	100%	0.00
Shannon Brown	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	10	60%	0.03	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	-0.00	0.03	25	51%	0.02	1	-0.00	1	100%	0.00
Steve Blake	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.08	0.00	-0.10	5	0%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Barnes	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.00	-0.02	6	42%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lamar Odom	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.05	-0.00	0.03	13	56%	0.01	1	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Derek Fisher	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.00	7	57%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Bynum	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	0.00	0.03	2	100%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Walton	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Smith	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Caracter	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Metta World Peace	-0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	8	44%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gary Neal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	0.00	0.04	11	60%	0.01	2	0.00	3	100%	0.00
Steve Novak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.06	0.00	0.06	7	64%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tiago Splitter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	40%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
James Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.06	0.00	0.06	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	3	100%	0.00
DeJuan Blair	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.06	-0.00	-0.05	7	33%	-0.01	1	0.00	4	50%	-0.00
Tony Parker	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	14	45%	-0.01	1	-0.00	3	67%	0.00
Matt Bonner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	5	30%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio McDyess	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.02	4	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
George Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	13	52%	0.00	4	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Tim Duncan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	0.00	-0.04	7	14%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	3	12%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	0.00
Manu Ginobili	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.09	-0.00	-0.03	10	29%	-0.05	1	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.0	2.8	29.1	17.8	27.2	2.7	31.0	134.5
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +39.2%

LAL +0.1%

LAL +6.4%

LAL +4.7%

SAS -0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	SAS	NBA	LAL	SAS	NBA
this game	17.2	15.9	15.5	112.5	96.5	105.7
season	15.9	15.5		108.8	109.3
opponent	15.2	15.5		103.6	103.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	15.8	17.6	18.0	17.4	17.2
SAS	18.5	15.9	15.4	13.9	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kobe Bryant	57	54	0.42	0.08	0.33	-0.41	28	-12	40	17.2	17.3	-0.11	16.8	14.2	2.58
Lamar Odom	53	54	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.06	10	6	4	16.2	18.8	-2.58	15.9	15.8	0.05
Pau Gasol	65	62	0.34	0.15	0.19	-0.04	13	3	10	17.6	16.0	1.59	16.0	15.6	0.40
Derek Fisher	48	46	0.32	0.18	0.15	-0.29	21	-5	26	17.7	16.7	0.99	16.7	14.9	1.86
Metta World Peace	37	37	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.35	23	-7	30	17.7	16.9	0.79	17.4	14.7	2.69
Andrew Bynum	47	47	0.31	0.19	0.11	-0.16	16	0	16	18.0	16.4	1.59	16.9	14.7	2.16
Shannon Brown	51	49	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.38	-7	23	-30	16.9	17.7	-0.79	14.7	17.4	-2.69
Steve Blake	40	40	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.32	-5	21	-26	16.7	17.7	-0.99	14.9	16.7	-1.86
Matt Barnes	25	26	0.08	0.42	-0.33	0.32	-8	24	-32	17.8	17.0	0.82	15.2	16.2	-1.03
Luke Walton	7	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	20	-24	17.0	17.2	-0.23	10.3	16.3	-5.95
Joe Smith	4	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	19	-22	15.7	17.3	-1.54	9.0	16.1	-7.12
Derrick Caracter	6	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	20	-24	15.2	17.4	-2.20	10.3	16.3	-5.95

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
James Anderson	26	26	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.44	15	-31	46	13.9	16.7	-2.85	16.5	17.5	-0.96
Tiago Splitter	34	35	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.42	14	-30	44	14.1	17.0	-2.85	16.7	17.5	-0.83
Steve Novak	37	38	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.30	9	-25	34	14.4	17.0	-2.53	15.6	18.5	-2.93
Gary Neal	45	47	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.47	13	-29	42	14.3	17.6	-3.23	17.3	17.1	0.18
Antonio McDyess	16	18	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.02	-3	-13	10	15.8	15.9	-0.07	19.6	16.6	3.01
DeJuan Blair	40	40	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.37	8	-24	32	15.0	16.6	-1.63	17.4	17.0	0.43
Manu Ginobili	41	42	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	0.16	-14	-2	-12	16.0	15.8	0.20	18.1	16.4	1.64
George Hill	38	40	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	0.14	-16	0	-16	17.2	14.8	2.45	17.0	17.4	-0.44
Matt Bonner	35	36	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.36	-24	8	-32	16.1	15.7	0.31	17.3	17.2	0.15
Richard Jefferson	35	35	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	0.36	-25	9	-34	17.8	14.5	3.30	18.1	16.6	1.44
Tim Duncan	40	40	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.44	-29	13	-42	17.6	14.3	3.32	16.8	17.5	-0.67
Tony Parker	43	43	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.41	-28	12	-40	17.4	14.3	3.09	17.1	17.3	-0.15

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.45,0.42,0.34,0.31,0.25,0.19,0.15,0.16,0.11,0.09,0.12,0.07,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 113, CHI 90	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.43,0.39,0.34,0.28,0.19,0.14,0.15,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	98.3%
POR 122, GSW 91	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.32,0.21,0.17,0.15,0.16,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.8%
SAS 118, WAS 94	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.4,0.37,0.32,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.17,0.13,0.09,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.8%