NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	73		Excitement	4.3 [984]		MVP	Tracy McGrady (HOU): +18.5%
Houston Rockets	91		Comeback	1.1 [1140]		LVP	Ricky Davis (BOS): -14.6%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Delonte West	0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.01	-0.03	8	75%	0.08	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Paul Pierce	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.07	-0.01	0.05	10	61%	0.05	2	-0.04	13	100%	0.05
Al Jefferson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.01	9	57%	0.04	2	-0.04	3	67%	0.00
Orien Greene	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Gomes	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dan Dickau	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	2	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Justin Reed	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.01	-0.02	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.01	6	33%	-0.06
Brian Scalabrine	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	17%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Mark Blount	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	6	44%	-0.01	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
Kendrick Perkins	-0.09	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.00	-0.00	6	33%	-0.02	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Raef LaFrentz	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.11	-0.00	-0.01	6	6%	-0.10	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.04
Ricky Davis	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.10	-0.04	0.01	12	42%	-0.05	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tracy McGrady	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.16,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.18	0.20	0.03	0.05	20	73%	0.22	2	-0.04	8	62%	-0.01
Stromile Swift	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.02	0.00	9	46%	0.02	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.03
Yao Ming	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	9	55%	0.04	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Luther Head	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.01	6	92%	0.09	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Lonny Baxter	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jon Barry	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Moochie Norris	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Juwan Howard	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	10	40%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Derek Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.08	-0.00	-0.06	9	42%	0.01	3	-0.03	6	100%	0.03
Ryan Bowen	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	5	18%	-0.02	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00
David Wesley	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.15	-0.00	-0.04	8	12%	-0.05	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	2.4	34.9	16.4	28.4	2.4	36.7	147.4
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +38.0%

HOU +4.1%

HOU +0.8%

HOU +3.5%

HOU +3.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	HOU	NBA	BOS	HOU	NBA
this game	15.4	17.5	15.6	83.9	103.4	104.4
season	14.8	16.1		103.3	99.9
opponent	16.1	15.8		101.4	104.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	16.4	14.7	15.8	14.9	15.4
HOU	18.7	16.0	15.5	20.0	17.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Orien Greene	15	16	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	0.16	-6	-12	6	12.8	16.0	-3.17	16.7	17.6	-0.89
Ryan Gomes	19	20	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	0.03	-2	-16	14	14.2	15.8	-1.62	17.4	17.5	-0.10
Mark Blount	34	37	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.12	1	-19	20	15.4	15.4	-0.02	17.8	17.3	0.53
Justin Reed	23	21	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	0.22	-12	-6	-6	16.3	15.1	1.25	16.9	17.7	-0.75
Al Jefferson	37	36	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.07	-3	-15	12	16.1	14.9	1.14	17.1	17.8	-0.71
Brian Scalabrine	9	7	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.02	-5	-13	8	14.2	15.6	-1.34	23.3	17.0	6.31
Kendrick Perkins	34	33	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.02	-6	-12	6	16.1	15.0	1.04	16.0	18.4	-2.36
Dan Dickau	19	18	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	0.14	-12	-6	-6	17.2	14.9	2.28	19.6	16.9	2.61
Paul Pierce	54	57	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.06	-8	-10	2	15.0	16.1	-1.12	18.3	15.9	2.43
Delonte West	71	73	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.11	-7	-11	4	15.2	16.6	-1.47	17.8	15.9	1.86
Raef LaFrentz	42	43	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.03	-12	-6	-6	15.7	15.1	0.60	16.4	18.5	-2.16
Ricky Davis	78	79	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.03	-18	0	-18	15.5	15.1	0.35	17.2	20.2	-3.06

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Yao Ming	68	69	0.49	0.01	0.49	-0.15	22	-4	26	16.5	20.7	-4.24	15.0	17.1	-2.13
Tracy McGrady	69	69	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.21	22	-4	26	17.9	15.9	1.95	15.9	13.7	2.15
Luther Head	51	51	0.41	0.09	0.31	-0.06	16	2	14	17.4	17.5	-0.11	14.7	16.5	-1.83
Stromile Swift	38	38	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.10	8	10	-2	18.0	17.1	0.97	15.7	15.2	0.51
Derek Anderson	56	56	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.07	13	5	8	18.1	16.4	1.68	14.9	16.4	-1.54
Ryan Bowen	55	52	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.08	7	11	-4	17.8	16.9	0.86	15.3	15.6	-0.24
David Wesley	42	41	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.02	5	13	-8	17.0	17.9	-0.96	15.9	15.0	0.95
Juwan Howard	54	52	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.04	3	15	-12	17.5	17.5	-0.04	16.1	14.4	1.72
Lonny Baxter	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	19	-20	10.5	17.6	-7.14	17.5	15.4	2.12
Moochie Norris	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	19	-20	10.5	17.6	-7.14	17.5	15.4	2.12
Jon Barry	3	3	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	0.05	-4	22	-26	22.7	17.3	5.37	15.0	15.4	-0.44

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.51,0.5,0.6,0.66,0.6,0.67,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.61,0.7,0.7,0.76,0.84,0.86,0.85,0.87,0.9,0.95,0.93,0.92,0.88,0.84,0.79,0.9,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 76, MIA 88	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.52,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.72,0.68,0.69,0.66,0.61,0.73,0.86,0.79,0.86,0.85,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.98,0.95,0.89,0.86,0.92,0.94,0.91,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%
DEN 86, HOU 98	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.53,0.49,0.52,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.63,0.71,0.69,0.71,0.72,0.73,0.8,0.84,0.86,0.89,0.91,0.96,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.93,0.85,0.92,0.89,0.85,0.86,0.87,0.94,0.97,0.93,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	95.8%
SEA 103, IND 113	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.57,0.52,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.67,0.7,0.64,0.69,0.64,0.75,0.75,0.75,0.74,0.82,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.92,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.94,0.95,0.9,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1	95.6%