NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	103		Excitement	4.0 [994]		MVP	Reggie Miller (IND): +18.7%
Indiana Pacers	113		Comeback	1.2 [999]		LVP	Vin Baker (SEA): -12.7%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gary Payton	0.08	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.14	0.00	0.06	17	70%	0.09	1	-0.01	6	83%	0.01
Jelani McCoy	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	2	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chuck Person	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Emanual Davis	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	2	60%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Vernon Maxwell	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.03	0.00	0.05	15	53%	0.00	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Brent Barry	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.01	-0.00	0.05	11	52%	-0.02	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Rashard Lewis	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Horace Grant	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.02	0.03	9	45%	-0.06	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Ruben Patterson	-0.09	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.12	-0.00	-0.03	7	14%	-0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Vin Baker	-0.13	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.07	-0.03	0.04	18	57%	-0.00	6	-0.13	6	67%	-0.01

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Reggie Miller	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.25	0.00	0.07	19	79%	0.19	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Sam Perkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.08	0.00	0.03	14	61%	0.06	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Dale Davis	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	-0.04	12	67%	0.13	4	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Rose	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	0.00	0.02	13	68%	0.11	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Austin Croshere	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.01	4	60%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Al Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	8	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Travis Best	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.04	-0.00	0.05	4	70%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Rik Smits	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	9	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Jackson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	-0.01	-0.02	4	37%	-0.03	4	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.7	2.4	25.4	15.4	23.4	2.4	23.7	113.3
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +46.6%

IND +0.1%

SEA -7.0%

IND +8.5%

IND +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	IND	NBA	SEA	IND	NBA
this game	14.7	15.5	15.2	107.3	118.9	101.7
season	14.9	15.4		103.5	106.5
opponent	15.1	15.4		101.8	102.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	14.4	15.5	14.3	14.5	14.7
IND	14.4	14.5	15.1	18.2	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Emanual Davis	13	13	0.04	-0.54	0.57	-0.17	7	-17	24	10.9	15.3	-4.35	16.8	15.3	1.59
Jelani McCoy	23	23	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.16	5	-15	20	13.4	15.1	-1.70	16.5	15.1	1.38
Chuck Person	19	18	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	0.04	-4	-6	2	14.0	14.9	-0.86	14.9	15.6	-0.72
Rashard Lewis	14	12	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	0.05	-7	-3	-4	14.0	14.8	-0.80	12.6	15.9	-3.31
Ruben Patterson	37	37	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	0.06	-10	0	-10	15.9	13.9	1.96	14.2	16.3	-2.06
Brent Barry	69	70	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.16	-4	-6	2	15.1	13.6	1.52	15.7	14.8	0.97
Horace Grant	77	77	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.23	-5	-5	0	15.0	13.6	1.38	15.8	14.2	1.61
Vernon Maxwell	59	58	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.21	-7	-3	-4	14.3	15.3	-1.04	16.0	14.6	1.44
Vin Baker	79	78	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.11	-12	2	-14	14.9	13.5	1.48	15.2	16.9	-1.79
Gary Payton	90	89	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.15	-13	3	-16	14.8	13.2	1.62	15.5	15.3	0.15

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Reggie Miller	87	88	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.19	11	-1	12	15.4	16.1	-0.71	14.5	16.9	-2.39
Jalen Rose	82	81	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.21	9	1	8	15.3	16.5	-1.23	15.0	12.9	2.16
Dale Davis	81	82	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.17	6	4	2	15.8	13.9	1.90	14.3	16.9	-2.54
Sam Perkins	51	51	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.19	4	6	-2	16.2	14.6	1.56	14.6	14.7	-0.09
Mark Jackson	54	54	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.01	9	1	8	14.8	16.3	-1.53	14.0	15.6	-1.66
Rik Smits	44	45	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.02	6	4	2	14.6	16.2	-1.56	14.7	14.6	0.09
Austin Croshere	14	14	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.04	4	6	-2	13.9	15.8	-1.90	16.9	14.3	2.54
Travis Best	30	30	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.18	-1	11	-12	17.3	14.6	2.67	15.9	14.1	1.76
Al Harrington	32	35	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.03	2	8	-6	15.5	15.5	-0.01	14.5	14.8	-0.32

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.57,0.52,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.67,0.7,0.64,0.69,0.64,0.75,0.75,0.75,0.74,0.82,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.92,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.94,0.95,0.9,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 73, ORL 94	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.67,0.74,0.7,0.61,0.76,0.74,0.77,0.8,0.78,0.79,0.77,0.85,0.87,0.9,0.94,0.93,0.91,0.92,0.92,0.96,0.9,0.91,0.91,0.96,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.2%
NOK 73, MEM 89	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.56,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.65,0.69,0.64,0.69,0.73,0.75,0.8,0.79,0.79,0.83,0.85,0.93,0.96,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.2%
ORL 89, GSW 103	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.62,0.64,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.61,0.63,0.69,0.72,0.73,0.75,0.78,0.71,0.74,0.89,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.94,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.2%