NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	102		Excitement	7.2 [394]		MVP	Channing Frye (NYK): +23.5%
New York Knicks	99		Comeback	2.1 [281]		LVP	Antonio Davis (NYK): -12.1%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul Pierce	0.21	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.11	0.09	-0.01	15	62%	0.26	2	-0.05	15	73%	0.00
Ricky Davis	0.14	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.11,0.16,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14	0.05	0.08	-0.01	22	52%	0.17	1	-0.03	8	87%	0.05
Al Jefferson	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.11	-0.01	0.12	-0.00	7	57%	0.16	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Dan Dickau	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.1	0.02	0.08	0.00	0	100%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.05
Delonte West	0.08	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.03	0.01	13	61%	0.10	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Kendrick Perkins	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.04	0.01	4	67%	0.08	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.02
Brian Scalabrine	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raef LaFrentz	-0.01	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0,0,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	0.03	-0.01	7	31%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.03
Justin Reed	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	-0.03	3	33%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Orien Greene	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	5	17%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Mark Blount	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	-0.03	-0.00	6	23%	-0.06	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Channing Frye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.24	0.24	0.15	0.10	0.01	13	71%	0.26	1	-0.02	9	89%	0.02
Jackie Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.2	0.20	0.04	0.16	-0.00	5	77%	0.24	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.02
Quentin Richardson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.00	6	56%	0.02	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Stephon Marbury	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,0,0,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	-0.03	0.01	22	54%	0.14	5	-0.15	21	81%	0.00
Eddy Curry	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Malik Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerome James	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.11	-0.01	-0.02	5	20%	-0.04	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Ariza	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	1	50%	0.00	2	-0.10	4	25%	-0.04
Nate Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.04	0.01	6	46%	-0.03	3	-0.07	1	100%	0.00
Antonio Davis	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.10	-0.03	-0.01	7	25%	-0.06	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	30.6	2.4	29.5	16.3	29.5	2.4	51.8	162.5
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +11.8%

BOS +16.6%

NYK -11.6%

BOS +32.2%

BOS +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	NYK	NBA	BOS	NYK	NBA
this game	14.8	14.8	15.6	104.1	102.1	104.4
season	14.8	15.7		103.3	102.1
opponent	15.4	15.8		108.7	104.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	14.6	14.7	15.5	14.3	14.8
NYK	14.2	13.0	18.0	14.5	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Delonte West	65	66	0.79	-0.29	1.08	0.14	22	-19	41	15.7	13.0	2.69	16.3	11.6	4.61
Paul Pierce	85	85	0.70	-0.20	0.91	0.38	11	-8	19	15.1	12.5	2.64	15.2	11.6	3.65
Raef LaFrentz	49	49	0.66	-0.16	0.81	0.27	13	-10	23	16.1	13.4	2.69	14.8	14.8	-0.06
Ricky Davis	86	85	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.37	6	-3	9	14.8	14.7	0.10	14.5	16.7	-2.24
Kendrick Perkins	29	29	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.09	7	-4	11	15.8	14.3	1.47	15.1	14.6	0.51
Dan Dickau	5	5	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.10	4	-1	5	6.8	15.2	-8.38	7.0	15.2	-8.21
Brian Scalabrine	21	23	0.19	0.31	-0.12	-0.02	7	-4	11	13.2	15.2	-1.99	15.6	14.5	1.02
Al Jefferson	62	60	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.26	-3	6	-9	14.8	14.6	0.18	15.8	13.2	2.58
Mark Blount	29	28	-0.28	0.78	-1.07	0.13	-14	17	-31	14.7	14.8	-0.09	12.9	15.5	-2.61
Justin Reed	29	27	-0.33	0.83	-1.16	0.11	-15	18	-33	12.4	15.7	-3.28	13.5	15.3	-1.80
Orien Greene	30	28	-0.46	0.96	-1.42	0.22	-23	26	-49	13.1	15.5	-2.34	12.2	15.8	-3.61

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jackie Butler	43	46	0.10	-0.60	0.70	-0.22	11	-14	25	12.2	16.9	-4.67	14.6	14.9	-0.36
Jerome James	18	18	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.18	6	-9	15	16.4	14.4	1.97	17.9	14.0	3.84
Malik Rose	8	7	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.02	-2	-1	-1	20.4	14.3	6.09	17.6	14.5	3.03
Antonio Davis	29	27	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	0.00	-7	4	-11	14.2	15.0	-0.82	14.9	14.7	0.18
Nate Robinson	38	35	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.25	1	-4	5	12.2	16.4	-4.23	13.8	15.3	-1.49
Jamal Crawford	39	42	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.07	-10	7	-17	14.8	14.8	0.02	13.3	15.9	-2.57
Trevor Ariza	43	44	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.28	2	-5	7	15.6	14.1	1.43	14.3	15.1	-0.79
Channing Frye	69	71	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.35	2	-5	7	15.0	14.1	0.90	14.5	15.3	-0.75
Quentin Richardson	78	80	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.49	3	-6	9	15.0	13.9	1.04	15.5	11.6	3.85
Eddy Curry	28	27	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	0.03	-16	13	-29	17.0	13.9	3.12	14.2	15.0	-0.79
Stephon Marbury	92	93	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.38	-5	2	-7	15.0	10.4	4.62	14.9	11.4	3.54

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.53,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.64,0.58,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.46,0.5,0.38,0.31,0.25,0.27,0.14,0.16,0.15,0.13,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.15,0.18,0.25,0.2,0.27,0.17,0.2,0.18,0.19,0.22,0.03,0.08,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 90, NOH 81	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.49,0.5,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.44,0.49,0.41,0.33,0.37,0.37,0.3,0.22,0.14,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.13,0.15,0.18,0.25,0.24,0.23,0.21,0.15,0.07,0.11,0.01,0,0,0	93.8%
MIA 92, CHI 87	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.49,0.59,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.59,0.46,0.39,0.41,0.42,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.36,0.36,0.29,0.23,0.12,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.19,0.11,0.2,0.22,0.25,0.11,0.04,0.16,0	93.3%
DET 87, CLE 75	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.57,0.61,0.49,0.53,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.53,0.49,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.41,0.36,0.36,0.41,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.25,0.28,0.17,0.21,0.16,0.13,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.22,0.15,0.18,0.24,0.19,0.13,0.12,0.07,0.14,0.04,0.02,0,0	93.3%