NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	87		Excitement	5.8 [507]		MVP	Tayshaun Prince (DET): +26.2%
Cleveland Cavaliers	75		Comeback	1.7 [505]		LVP	Greg Monroe (DET): -17.8%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tayshaun Prince	0.26	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.23,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.29,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.26	0.16	0.07	-0.03	21	63%	0.26	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Jason Maxiell	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.00	-0.00	9	67%	0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Will Bynum	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.04	-0.00	9	40%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Damien Wilkins	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben Wallace	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	1	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Brandon Knight	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	0.01	0.02	15	53%	0.06	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Austin Daye	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	7	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Rodney Stuckey	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jonas Jerebko	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	37%	-0.02	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Greg Monroe	-0.18	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.14	-0.02	0.01	13	29%	-0.12	3	-0.06	2	0%	-0.04

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Samardo Samuels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Omri Casspi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.03	-0.00	7	27%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.03
Manny Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	10	39%	-0.02	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Luke Walton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Parker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	5	50%	0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Donald Sloan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	4	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alonzo Gee	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.03	-0.03	6	25%	-0.06	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kyrie Irving	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.1,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.02	-0.05	0.02	19	54%	0.02	5	-0.12	3	100%	0.01
Antawn Jamison	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.03	-0.00	21	40%	-0.04	3	-0.08	1	100%	0.01
Tristan Thompson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.08	-0.05	-0.00	12	32%	-0.09	1	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.1	2.0	30.0	16.4	21.6	2.4	23.4	118.9
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +56.1%

CLE -11.0%

CLE -7.6%

DET +10.5%

DET +1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	CLE	NBA	DET	CLE	NBA
this game	16.7	15.9	15.6	98.9	84.3	102.8
season	16.3	15.5		99.5	99.5
opponent	15.6	15.4		107.1	104.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	14.3	15.2	15.9	22.4	16.7
CLE	15.1	17.5	15.5	15.5	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tayshaun Prince	68	68	0.65	-0.15	0.79	0.09	19	-7	26	16.7	16.6	0.09	16.0	15.5	0.52
Austin Daye	52	54	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.01	16	-4	20	16.7	16.6	0.15	16.0	15.7	0.31
Brandon Knight	70	72	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.06	14	-2	16	15.8	19.9	-4.05	15.9	15.8	0.14
Greg Monroe	60	63	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.09	6	6	0	15.6	18.9	-3.31	15.3	17.2	-1.91
Jonas Jerebko	27	27	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.10	5	7	-2	16.5	16.7	-0.22	17.9	15.0	2.89
Jason Maxiell	61	62	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.04	7	5	2	16.7	16.5	0.22	15.0	17.9	-2.89
Ben Wallace	28	26	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.06	6	6	0	18.9	15.6	3.31	17.2	15.3	1.91
Will Bynum	36	36	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.13	-4	16	-20	17.6	16.0	1.64	16.1	15.7	0.44
Damien Wilkins	23	23	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	0.11	-5	17	-22	18.0	16.2	1.80	16.2	15.8	0.40
Rodney Stuckey	15	14	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.05	-4	16	-20	15.9	16.8	-0.97	13.5	16.3	-2.82

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Samardo Samuels	34	33	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.05	3	-15	18	16.9	15.2	1.68	16.2	16.9	-0.68
Donald Sloan	19	20	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.03	-2	-10	8	17.7	15.4	2.37	18.1	16.2	1.85
Omri Casspi	22	23	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.06	-4	-8	4	18.2	15.1	3.12	17.5	16.4	1.15
Manny Harris	28	28	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.04	-5	-7	2	17.7	15.0	2.68	16.1	16.9	-0.77
Luke Walton	20	20	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.02	-6	-6	0	19.0	15.0	4.09	15.7	16.9	-1.19
Antawn Jamison	69	68	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.13	-6	-6	0	15.0	19.0	-4.09	16.9	15.7	1.19
Anthony Parker	61	60	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.11	-7	-5	-2	15.0	17.7	-2.68	16.9	16.1	0.77
Alonzo Gee	67	65	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.09	-8	-4	-4	15.1	18.2	-3.12	16.4	17.5	-1.15
Kyrie Irving	70	68	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.11	-10	-2	-8	15.4	17.7	-2.37	16.2	18.1	-1.85
Tristan Thompson	55	55	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.10	-15	3	-18	15.2	16.9	-1.68	16.9	16.2	0.68

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.57,0.61,0.49,0.53,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.53,0.49,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.41,0.36,0.36,0.41,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.25,0.28,0.17,0.21,0.16,0.13,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.22,0.15,0.18,0.24,0.19,0.13,0.12,0.07,0.14,0.04,0.02,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 90, NOH 81	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.49,0.5,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.44,0.49,0.41,0.33,0.37,0.37,0.3,0.22,0.14,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.13,0.15,0.18,0.25,0.24,0.23,0.21,0.15,0.07,0.11,0.01,0,0,0	95.1%
UTA 106, PHI 95	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.35,0.34,0.38,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.37,0.26,0.23,0.18,0.19,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.12,0.1,0.18,0.15,0.1,0.14,0.17,0.19,0.17,0.16,0.07,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0	94.4%
DEN 100, MEM 85	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.43,0.44,0.47,0.51,0.61,0.65,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.52,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.65,0.56,0.42,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.25,0.34,0.37,0.36,0.25,0.16,0.13,0.12,0.06,0.09,0.22,0.28,0.22,0.13,0.18,0.14,0.19,0.21,0.09,0.03,0,0,0,0,0	93.8%