NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	106		Excitement	5.4 [713]		MVP	Carlos Boozer (UTA): +21.2%
Philadelphia 76ers	95		Comeback	1.6 [916]		LVP	Kyle Korver (PHI): -8.7%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carlos Boozer	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.14	0.07	-0.01	17	72%	0.26	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Ronnie Brewer	0.08	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.07	0.01	0.01	9	68%	0.15	3	-0.08	10	70%	0.01
Jason Hart	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Harpring	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.00	6	60%	0.05	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Paul Millsap	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.02	0.02	5	62%	0.05	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.03
Mehmet Okur	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.04	0.01	12	53%	0.08	2	-0.05	6	83%	0.00
Deron Williams	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	12	58%	0.05	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Andrei Kirilenko	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	5	50%	0.05	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Jarron Collins	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ronnie Price	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	3	12%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	-0.01	-0.02	12	71%	0.14	5	-0.10	4	50%	-0.03
Rodney Carney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.00	4	70%	0.05	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Lou Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.02	0.03	8	57%	0.04	1	-0.02	7	71%	-0.00
Jason Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	6	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Thaddeus Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	0.01	0.03	7	55%	0.02	3	-0.06	6	83%	0.01
Reggie Evans	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	4	60%	0.00	2	-0.04	2	0%	-0.04
Willie Green	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.03	0.01	10	41%	-0.04	1	-0.03	7	86%	0.01
Andre Miller	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	16	46%	-0.00	3	-0.07	3	67%	-0.00
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	9	21%	-0.09	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.9	2.3	29.8	15.0	28.1	1.8	32.2	135.2
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +50.7%

UTA +7.3%

PHI -14.5%

UTA +10.3%

PHI -3.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	PHI	NBA	UTA	PHI	NBA
this game	15.1	17.1	15.4	117.8	106.7	105.7
season	15.5	15.2		111.2	104.0
opponent	16.2	15.0		104.2	105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	16.0	13.0	14.4	17.1	15.1
PHI	16.7	17.8	18.3	15.6	17.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Deron Williams	69	68	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.12	17	-6	23	15.7	12.9	2.83	19.0	11.0	7.94
Andrei Kirilenko	63	60	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.04	16	-5	21	15.5	14.1	1.33	17.5	16.4	1.09
Carlos Boozer	73	73	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.15	12	-1	13	15.6	12.8	2.85	17.1	17.1	-0.02
Ronnie Brewer	64	63	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.05	12	-1	13	15.3	14.5	0.81	16.7	18.0	-1.25
Mehmet Okur	45	46	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.06	10	1	9	15.6	14.5	1.13	18.9	15.2	3.73
Paul Millsap	47	46	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.15	-1	12	-13	14.5	15.7	-1.14	15.1	19.3	-4.24
Matt Harpring	30	31	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.12	-3	14	-17	14.0	15.6	-1.67	16.6	17.4	-0.82
Ronnie Price	15	13	0.03	0.47	-0.45	-0.00	1	10	-9	12.5	15.6	-3.13	18.0	17.0	1.04
Jarron Collins	11	11	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.01	-1	12	-13	13.5	15.3	-1.75	17.7	17.0	0.70
Jason Hart	33	34	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	0.18	-8	19	-27	14.0	15.7	-1.70	13.7	19.2	-5.51

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rodney Carney	19	18	0.00	-0.50	0.51	-0.17	6	-17	23	14.9	17.7	-2.82	15.3	15.0	0.25
Thaddeus Young	1	1	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-11	11	13.0	17.2	-4.16	10.0	15.1	-5.13
Kyle Korver	41	41	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.12	3	-14	17	15.9	18.2	-2.29	14.8	15.3	-0.46
Lou Williams	45	44	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.14	3	-14	17	14.7	19.6	-4.86	14.9	15.2	-0.33
Jason Smith	38	38	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.07	-4	-7	3	16.4	17.6	-1.21	14.4	15.6	-1.18
Samuel Dalembert	42	45	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.11	-7	-4	-3	18.4	16.0	2.40	16.8	13.4	3.44
Reggie Evans	62	61	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.03	-13	2	-15	17.7	15.8	1.86	14.5	16.2	-1.72
Willie Green	52	54	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.03	-14	3	-17	18.8	14.8	3.99	14.5	15.9	-1.40
Andre Iguodala	79	80	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.08	-14	3	-17	16.4	22.5	-6.07	14.8	16.9	-2.05
Andre Miller	66	68	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.13	-15	4	-19	18.8	12.3	6.48	15.8	12.8	2.99

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.35,0.34,0.38,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.37,0.26,0.23,0.18,0.19,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.12,0.1,0.18,0.15,0.1,0.14,0.17,0.19,0.17,0.16,0.07,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 100, HOU 89	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.49,0.41,0.42,0.45,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.63,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.36,0.41,0.27,0.19,0.24,0.2,0.17,0.14,0.09,0.1,0.16,0.14,0.23,0.1,0.15,0.07,0.06,0.11,0.19,0.08,0.15,0.13,0.02,0,0,0,0	94.8%
DET 87, CLE 75	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.57,0.61,0.49,0.53,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.53,0.49,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.41,0.36,0.36,0.41,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.25,0.28,0.17,0.21,0.16,0.13,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.22,0.15,0.18,0.24,0.19,0.13,0.12,0.07,0.14,0.04,0.02,0,0	94.4%
PHI 107, IND 97	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.41,0.49,0.59,0.55,0.63,0.57,0.6,0.66,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.6,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.3,0.26,0.21,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.07,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.15,0.06,0.11,0.15,0.14,0.23,0.1,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	94.3%