NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	107		Excitement	5.1 [774]		MVP	Brandon Rush (IND): +10.7%
Indiana Pacers	97		Comeback	1.9 [370]		LVP	Roy Hibbert (IND): -7.2%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Willie Green	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.00	0.07	-0.02	10	48%	0.10	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.01
Elton Brand	0.09	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.01	0.02	-0.06	21	48%	0.12	2	-0.03	6	83%	0.02
Thaddeus Young	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.03	16	61%	0.12	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
Lou Williams	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	0.01	0.02	10	54%	0.04	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Andre Iguodala	0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.02	9	50%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marreese Speights	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.01	4	60%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Rodney Carney	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jrue Holiday	-0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	6	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Allen Iverson	-0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.00	16	50%	0.03	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Samuel Dalembert	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	5	17%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brandon Rush	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.06	0.03	-0.02	11	64%	0.13	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
A.J. Price	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.09	0.02	0.05	8	81%	0.12	3	-0.05	5	60%	-0.00
Dahntay Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	-0.01	-0.03	6	50%	0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Solomon Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	9	42%	0.00	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Luther Head	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	7	36%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Troy Murphy	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	10	48%	0.01	2	-0.03	3	67%	-0.00
Earl Watson	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.01	0.01	4	50%	0.01	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Danny Granger	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	0.04	13	67%	0.12	7	-0.15	7	100%	0.02
Roy Hibbert	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	6	29%	-0.04	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.4	2.0	29.6	15.8	25.4	2.4	29.3	131.8
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +2.7%

PHI +4.4%

PHI +15.4%

PHI +26.3%

PHI +1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	IND	NBA	PHI	IND	NBA
this game	15.9	12.5	15.3	105.9	95.1	106.0
season	15.1	14.2		104.2	102.2
opponent	15.1	15.8		105.3	108.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	14.7	15.1	16.6	17.3	15.9
IND	13.0	13.2	10.7	13.2	12.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Elton Brand	77	76	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.13	16	-6	22	16.1	15.2	0.92	12.8	11.5	1.26
Andre Iguodala	84	85	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.12	14	-4	18	15.8	16.4	-0.60	12.7	11.2	1.56
Willie Green	64	65	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.16	10	0	10	15.6	16.4	-0.78	12.4	12.6	-0.22
Samuel Dalembert	45	44	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.00	12	-2	14	16.3	15.6	0.72	13.5	11.7	1.75
Jrue Holiday	24	24	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.03	9	1	8	15.7	16.0	-0.27	13.7	12.1	1.61
Allen Iverson	56	57	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.11	4	6	-2	16.1	15.7	0.44	12.4	12.6	-0.21
Thaddeus Young	56	57	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.22	-1	11	-12	15.7	16.2	-0.44	11.9	13.2	-1.21
Lou Williams	58	58	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.18	-3	13	-16	16.1	15.6	0.49	12.2	12.9	-0.75
Rodney Carney	6	7	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.03	-2	12	-14	15.5	15.9	-0.44	11.0	12.6	-1.59
Marreese Speights	35	37	-0.14	0.64	-0.77	0.13	-9	19	-28	15.5	16.1	-0.56	11.1	13.2	-2.11

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike Dunleavy	48	46	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-14	18	12.8	12.2	0.55	15.9	15.9	-0.04
Solomon Jones	17	16	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.07	1	-11	12	10.1	13.0	-2.84	15.4	16.0	-0.64
Dahntay Jones	48	49	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.22	4	-14	18	12.3	12.6	-0.36	17.0	14.9	2.12
A.J. Price	48	47	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.18	2	-12	14	12.4	12.6	-0.24	16.3	15.5	0.80
Troy Murphy	60	60	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.15	1	-11	12	12.9	11.9	1.02	17.4	13.7	3.71
Luther Head	18	17	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.00	-8	-2	-6	12.3	12.5	-0.25	13.4	16.4	-3.08
Earl Watson	61	61	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.04	-12	2	-14	12.2	12.9	-0.62	15.4	16.7	-1.35
Brandon Rush	73	74	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.15	-10	0	-10	13.1	10.9	2.26	16.4	14.5	1.95
Roy Hibbert	53	52	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	0.03	-17	7	-24	12.9	12.0	0.85	14.6	17.3	-2.71
Danny Granger	84	83	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.14	-15	5	-20	12.1	14.3	-2.25	15.3	18.6	-3.29

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.41,0.49,0.59,0.55,0.63,0.57,0.6,0.66,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.6,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.3,0.26,0.21,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.07,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.15,0.06,0.11,0.15,0.14,0.23,0.1,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 107, BOS 95	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.68,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.48,0.41,0.41,0.42,0.41,0.36,0.3,0.34,0.23,0.17,0.13,0.07,0.11,0.12,0.13,0.12,0.09,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.06,0.12,0.06,0.09,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	94.5%
MIN 112, ATL 96	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.52,0.59,0.61,0.66,0.67,0.65,0.6,0.57,0.56,0.47,0.55,0.65,0.61,0.56,0.53,0.48,0.44,0.41,0.46,0.42,0.32,0.26,0.22,0.19,0.2,0.18,0.1,0.16,0.2,0.14,0.15,0.13,0.16,0.18,0.17,0.19,0.1,0.07,0.09,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	94.3%
UTA 106, PHI 95	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.35,0.34,0.38,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.37,0.26,0.23,0.18,0.19,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.12,0.1,0.18,0.15,0.1,0.14,0.17,0.19,0.17,0.16,0.07,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0	94.3%