NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	100		Excitement	5.5 [770]		MVP	Donovan Mitchell (UTA): +17.2%
Houston Rockets	89		Comeback	1.7 [501]		LVP	Eric Gordon (HOU): -17.9%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Donovan Mitchell	0.17	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.16	0.05	0.04	25	66%	0.26	3	-0.08	8	75%	-0.02
Dante Exum	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.01	-0.00	6	64%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Derrick Favors	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	5	67%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Alec Burks	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	62%	0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Joe Ingles	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	8	61%	0.08	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Georges Niang	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ekpe Udoh	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Royce O'Neale	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jae Crowder	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	12	35%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Rudy Gobert	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	5	75%	0.08	4	-0.10	6	67%	-0.00
Grayson Allen	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Rubio	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.20	-0.00	-0.02	8	22%	-0.06	6	-0.11	2	100%	0.00

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carmelo Anthony	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.11	0.02	0.06	17	61%	0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Gary Clark	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Hartenstein	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Carter-Williams	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.01	-0.01	7	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
James Harden	0,0,0,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.03	0.00	19	62%	0.13	7	-0.15	9	67%	0.00
PJ Tucker	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	9	33%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	5	36%	-0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Clint Capela	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	9	50%	-0.00	5	-0.09	2	0%	-0.04
Eric Gordon	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.15	-0.01	0.02	21	26%	-0.17	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.2	2.5	27.2	14.6	26.3	2.5	26.6	127.9
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +34.9%

UTA +6.8%

UTA +11.1%

HOU -4.0%

UTA +1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	HOU	NBA	UTA	HOU	NBA
this game	14.2	14.7	14.3	100.0	89.9	109.3
season	14.3	14.8		109.3	114.0
opponent	14.4	14.3		109.3	105.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	14.2	12.6	12.8	17.2	14.2
HOU	14.6	16.2	14.8	13.3	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ricky Rubio	71	69	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.17	15	-4	19	14.0	14.7	-0.64	15.0	14.2	0.83
Joe Ingles	66	66	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.08	16	-5	21	13.6	15.4	-1.79	14.9	14.4	0.53
Rudy Gobert	71	69	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.06	15	-4	19	14.6	13.3	1.25	14.8	14.6	0.21
Donovan Mitchell	81	79	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.13	12	-1	13	14.4	13.4	0.96	14.6	15.1	-0.50
Jae Crowder	62	62	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.19	6	5	1	15.0	12.9	2.02	15.0	14.3	0.76
Derrick Favors	50	50	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.06	1	10	-9	13.3	15.1	-1.84	14.6	14.9	-0.30
Georges Niang	10	10	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.00	3	8	-5	11.6	14.5	-2.89	14.5	14.8	-0.28
Alec Burks	9	11	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.01	1	10	-9	12.0	14.4	-2.42	17.0	14.5	2.53
Grayson Allen	10	9	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	13	-15	14.7	14.1	0.56	12.9	14.9	-2.04
Ekpe Udoh	7	7	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.04	-3	14	-17	14.0	14.2	-0.22	13.0	14.9	-1.88
Royce O'Neale	34	33	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	0.09	-5	16	-21	15.4	13.6	1.79	14.4	14.9	-0.53
Dante Exum	29	30	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.01	-4	15	-19	14.7	14.0	0.64	14.2	15.0	-0.83

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Isaiah Hartenstein	5	5	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.05	4	-15	19	15.4	14.7	0.69	16.2	14.1	2.11
Gerald Green	55	56	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.25	8	-19	27	14.5	15.0	-0.45	15.4	12.6	2.83
Gary Clark	7	6	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.02	-2	-9	7	15.1	14.7	0.43	9.5	14.5	-5.00
James Harden	65	66	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.14	-5	-6	1	14.9	14.5	0.42	13.9	14.8	-0.86
Michael Carter-Williams	44	44	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.02	-11	0	-11	14.6	14.9	-0.28	13.1	15.1	-1.98
Carmelo Anthony	79	80	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.24	-5	-6	1	14.6	15.4	-0.82	14.5	12.9	1.63
PJ Tucker	80	81	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.14	-10	-1	-9	14.9	14.2	0.73	14.3	13.9	0.31
Clint Capela	78	79	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.06	-16	5	-21	14.7	14.8	-0.08	14.1	14.6	-0.47
Eric Gordon	82	83	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.05	-18	7	-25	14.8	14.4	0.41	14.1	14.6	-0.47

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.49,0.41,0.42,0.45,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.63,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.36,0.41,0.27,0.19,0.24,0.2,0.17,0.14,0.09,0.1,0.16,0.14,0.23,0.1,0.15,0.07,0.06,0.11,0.19,0.08,0.15,0.13,0.02,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 106, PHI 95	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.35,0.34,0.38,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.37,0.26,0.23,0.18,0.19,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.12,0.1,0.18,0.15,0.1,0.14,0.17,0.19,0.17,0.16,0.07,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0	94.8%
IND 99, LAC 92	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.45,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.5,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.26,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.18,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.09,0.1,0.05,0.09,0.11,0.14,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0	94.6%
GSW 93, NOH 72	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.33,0.27,0.25,0.29,0.23,0.25,0.24,0.14,0.13,0.17,0.19,0.18,0.19,0.14,0.19,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.01,0,0,0,0	94.5%